Tennis · Challenger Milan · 02/07, 10:00
Facundo Diaz Acosta vs Daniele Rapagnetta
Our model (Elo on clay, opponent-adjusted) gives 56% to Facundo Diaz Acosta; the market gives 70% to Facundo Diaz Acosta (odds 1.14).
70%1
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Facundo Diaz Acosta 1575 · Daniele Rapagnetta 1534
| Facundo Diaz Acosta | Daniele Rapagnetta | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 56% | 44% |
| Market | 81% | 19% |
The bar above blends our model with the market. The value indicator marks where our model sees the odds underpriced (possible value).
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Facundo Diaz Acosta (rating 1575 vs 1534).
Statistics
| Facundo Diaz Acosta | Daniele Rapagnetta | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 70% | 50% |
| Win % · Clay | 78% (9) | 56% (9) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.7-1 | 1.4-1 |
| Games (G-P) | 13.9-11.7 | 11.8-10.4 |
| Aces | 3.9 | 1.5 |
| Double faults | 1.4 | 1.6 |
| 1st serve % | 70.2% | 66.3% |
| Break % | 34.3% | 41.1% |
Estimated total games (ours)
23.5
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Facundo Diaz Acosta
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30/06 | Miguel Tobon Challenger Milan · Clay |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 22/06 | Alexis Galarneau Wimbledon · Grass |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
| 20/06 | Gustavo Heide Challenger Poznan · Clay |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
| 19/06 | Michele Ribecai Challenger Poznan · Clay |
2-1 | 14-11 | W |
| 18/06 | Florian Broska Challenger Poznan · Clay |
2-1 | 17-15 | W |
| 17/06 | Hynek Barton Challenger Poznan · Clay |
2-0 | 13-8 | W |
| 15/06 | Franco Roncadelli Challenger Poznan · Clay |
2-0 | 13-7 | W |
| 28/05 | Learner Tien French Open · Clay |
2-3 | 26-27 | L |
| 26/05 | Zhizhen Zhang French Open · Clay |
3-0 | 18-8 | W |
| 21/05 | August Holmgren French Open · Clay |
2-1 | 18-13 | W |
Daniele Rapagnetta
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30/06 | Michele Ribecai Challenger Milan · Clay |
2-0 | 13-10 | W |
| 29/06 | Fausto Tabacco Challenger Milan · Clay |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 28/06 | Vadym Ursu Challenger Milan · Clay |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 24/06 | Matthew William Donald M15 Bergamo · ~Clay |
1-2 | 12-17 | L |
| 09/06 | Gabriele Piraino M15 Messina · ~Clay |
1-2 | 14-14 | L |
| 02/06 | Matteo Sciahbasi M25 Caltanissetta |
1-2 | 13-13 | L |
| 25/05 | Tomasz Berkieta Challenger Kosice · Clay |
1-2 | 11-16 | L |
| 24/05 | Imanol Lopez Morillo Challenger Kosice · Clay |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 05/05 | Max Schoenhaus Challenger Francavilla · Clay |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 04/05 | Tristan Boyer Challenger Francavilla · Clay |
2-0 | 13-9 | W |