Tennis · Challenger Milan · 01/07, 13:00
Daniel Rincon vs Mathys Erhard
Our model (Elo on clay, opponent-adjusted) gives 57% to Mathys Erhard; the market gives 51% to Mathys Erhard (odds 2.00).
51%2
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Daniel Rincon 1520 · Mathys Erhard 1570
| Daniel Rincon | Mathys Erhard | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 43% | 57% |
| Market | 54% | 46% |
The bar above blends our model with the market. The value indicator marks where our model sees the odds underpriced (possible value).
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Mathys Erhard (rating 1520 vs 1570).
- Head-to-head: Daniel Rincon 0–1 Mathys Erhard (1).
Statistics
| Daniel Rincon | Mathys Erhard | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 70% | 70% |
| Win % · Clay | 50% (6) | 70% (10) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.4-0.9 | 1.6-1 |
| Games (G-P) | 10.9-9.6 | 13.4-10.6 |
| Aces | 3 | 2.8 |
| Double faults | 1.7 | 2.5 |
| 1st serve % | 63.6% | 73.8% |
| Break % | 48.9% | 50.4% |
Estimated total games (ours)
22.1
H2H · Daniel Rincon 0 – 1 Mathys Erhard (1)
Head-to-head (H2H) · Daniel Rincon 0–1 Mathys Erhard
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| Date | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|
| 05/06/24 Challenger Zagreb | 0-2 | 7-13 | L |
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Daniel Rincon
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19/06 | Luca Van Assche Challenger Parma · Clay |
0-2 | 3-12 | L |
| 18/06 | Buvaysar Gadamauri Challenger Parma · Clay |
2-1 | 18-11 | W |
| 16/06 | Pedro Martinez Challenger Parma · Clay |
2-0 | 14-12 | W |
| 11/06 | Dali Blanch Challenger Lyon · Clay |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
| 08/06 | Lorenzo Giustino Challenger Lyon · Clay |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 19/05 | Dimitar Kuzmanov Challenger Istanbul · Clay |
0-2 | 2-12 | L |
| 17/05 | Sergi Perez Contri M25 Vic |
2-1 | 15-10 | W |
| 16/05 | Jack Kennedy M25 Vic |
2-1 | 16-12 | W |
| 15/05 | Ryan Nijboer M25 Vic |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 14/05 | Esteban Talavera Cortes M25 Vic |
2-0 | 13-5 | W |
Mathys Erhard
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30/06 | Jurij Rodionov Challenger Milan · Clay |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 29/06 | Alejo Sanchez Quilez Challenger Milan · Clay |
2-0 | 13-8 | W |
| 28/06 | Jacopo Bilardo Challenger Milan · Clay |
2-1 | 18-11 | W |
| 24/06 | Inaki Montes-De La Torre Challenger Plovdiv · Clay |
1-2 | 12-15 | L |
| 23/06 | Thomas Fancutt Challenger Plovdiv · Clay |
2-1 | 15-9 | W |
| 16/06 | Frederico Ferreira Silva Challenger Poznan · Clay |
0-2 | 7-12 | L |
| 15/06 | Norbert Gombos Challenger Poznan · Clay |
2-1 | 16-15 | W |
| 15/06 | Rudolf Molleker Challenger Poznan · Clay |
2-1 | 18-13 | W |
| 08/06 | Martin Krumich Challenger Bratislava · Clay |
1-2 | 11-15 | L |
| 07/06 | Fares Zakaria Challenger Bratislava · Clay |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |