Tennis · Wimbledon · 02/07, 12:00
Gabriel Diallo vs Lorenzo Sonego
Our model (Elo on grass, opponent-adjusted) gives 54% to Lorenzo Sonego; the market gives 52% to Lorenzo Sonego (odds 1.91).
52%2
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Gabriel Diallo 1463 · Lorenzo Sonego 1491
| Gabriel Diallo | Lorenzo Sonego | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 46% | 54% |
| Market | 50% | 50% |
The bar above blends our model with the market. The value indicator marks where our model sees the odds underpriced (possible value).
Match keys
- Head-to-head: Gabriel Diallo 0–1 Lorenzo Sonego (1).
Statistics
| Gabriel Diallo | Lorenzo Sonego | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 30% | 40% |
| Win % · Grass | 40% (5) | 50% (6) |
| Sets (G-P) | 0.7-1.6 | 1.1-1.7 |
| Games (G-P) | 9.5-12 | 12.9-15.2 |
| Aces | 6 | 6.7 |
| Double faults | 2.2 | 1.7 |
| 1st serve % | 65.3% | 70.5% |
| Break % | 39.5% | 32.9% |
Estimated total games (ours)
24.7 · Bet365 line 41.5 · -16.8
Over 41.5: 1% · 1.83
Under 41.5: 99% · 1.83
H2H · Gabriel Diallo 0 – 1 Lorenzo Sonego (1)
Head-to-head (H2H) · Gabriel Diallo 0–1 Lorenzo Sonego
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| Date | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|
| 06/01/25 ATP Auckland | 1-2 | 18-16 | L |
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Gabriel Diallo
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25/06 | Jack Draper ATP Eastbourne · Grass |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 24/06 | Tomas Martin Etcheverry ATP Eastbourne · Grass |
2-1 | 18-12 | W |
| 22/06 | Terence Atmane ATP Eastbourne · Grass |
2-1 | 19-16 | W |
| 16/06 | Alex De Minaur ATP Queens · Grass |
0-2 | 9-13 | L |
| 09/06 | Adrian Mannarino ATP Hertogenbosch · Grass |
1-2 | 15-16 | L |
| 16/04 | Alexander Zverev ATP Munich · Clay |
0-2 | 3-12 | L |
| 13/04 | Vitaliy Sachko ATP Munich · Clay |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 06/04 | Joao Fonseca ATP Monte Carlo · Clay |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 01/04 | Alex Molcan ATP Bucharest · Clay |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
| 21/03 | Ugo Humbert ATP Miami · Hard |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
Lorenzo Sonego
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30/06 | Tomas Martin Etcheverry Wimbledon · Grass |
3-1 | 25-21 | W |
| 23/06 | Miomir Kecmanovic ATP Mallorca · Grass |
1-2 | 16-15 | L |
| 21/06 | Mariano Navone ATP Mallorca · Grass |
2-1 | 15-16 | W |
| 17/06 | Ben Shelton ATP Halle · Grass |
0-2 | 8-13 | L |
| 14/06 | Nikoloz Basilashvili ATP Halle · Grass |
0-2 | 8-12 | L |
| 13/06 | Filip Cristian Jianu ATP Halle · Grass |
2-0 | 13-8 | W |
| 27/05 | Tommy Paul French Open · Clay |
0-3 | 9-18 | L |
| 24/05 | Pierre-Hugues Herbert French Open · Clay |
3-2 | 25-25 | W |
| 18/05 | Edas Butvilas ATP Geneva · Clay |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
| 07/05 | Ignacio Buse ATP Rome · Clay |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |