Tennis · M25 Marburg · 01/07, 11:30
Pepijn Bastiaansen vs Lucas Gerch
Our model (Elo on hard, opponent-adjusted) gives 60% to Pepijn Bastiaansen; the market gives 58% to Lucas Gerch (odds 1.28).
58%2
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Pepijn Bastiaansen 1537 · Lucas Gerch 1465
| Pepijn Bastiaansen | Lucas Gerch | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 60% | 40% |
| Market | 27% | 73% |
The bar above blends our model with the market. The value indicator marks where our model sees the odds underpriced (possible value).
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Pepijn Bastiaansen (rating 1537 vs 1465).
- Note: Lucas Gerch makes many double faults (5.2/match).
Statistics
| Pepijn Bastiaansen | Lucas Gerch | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 60% | 40% |
| Win % · Hard | 75% (4) | 0% (3) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.3-0.8 | 1.2-1.2 |
| Games (G-P) | 10.3-7.2 | 11.8-11.1 |
| Aces | 2.2 | 4.9 |
| Double faults | 1.3 | 5.2 |
| 1st serve % | 72.8% | 71.3% |
| Break % | 56.7% | 53.6% |
Estimated total games (ours)
20.4
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Pepijn Bastiaansen
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30/06 | Ben Patrick Ostheimer M25 Marburg |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 11/06 | Stefan Horia Haita M15 Curtea de Arges · ~Clay |
0-2 | 7-12 | L |
| 10/06 | Matei Varbanciu M15 Curtea de Arges · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-1 | W |
| 09/06 | Nicolas Rafael Goldberg Alviani M15 Curtea de Arges · ~Clay |
2-0 | 13-7 | W |
| 02/06 | Piotr Galus M15 Szentendre |
1-2 | 9-9 | L |
| 12/03 | Sebastian Chodura UTR Pro Trnava · Hard |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 11/03 | Andrea Brignacca UTR Pro Trnava · Hard |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 10/03 | Felix Einig UTR Pro Trnava · Hard |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 09/03 | Jiri Vesely UTR Pro Trnava · Hard |
0-2 | 3-12 | L |
| 03/03 | Louis Dussin M15 Poitiers |
0-2 | 11-14 | L |
Lucas Gerch
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28/01 | Carl Emil Overbeck M25 Nussloch |
0-2 | 9-13 | L |
| 14/10 | Alec Deckers ITF M15 Offenbach · Hard |
1-2 | 15-14 | L |
| 28/09 | Adrian Oetzbach Challenger Villena · Hard |
1-2 | 14-18 | L |
| 23/09 | Kristjan Tamm ITF M25 Falun · Hard |
1-2 | 14-15 | L |
| 07/09 | Henry Bernet ITF M25 Lausanne |
0-2 | 8-12 | L |
| 06/09 | Ioannis Xilas ITF M25 Lausanne |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 05/09 | Luca Staeheli ITF M25 Lausanne |
2-0 | 11-8 | W |
| 04/09 | Gian Luca Tanner ITF M25 Lausanne |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 03/09 | Tymur Bieldiugin ITF M25 Lausanne |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 29/08 | Remy Bertola ITF M25 Sion · Clay |
1-2 | 11-16 | L |