Tennis · Wimbledon Women · 02/07, 12:00
Karolina Pliskova vs Iga Swiatek
Our model (Elo on clay, opponent-adjusted) gives 55% to Iga Swiatek; the market gives 68% to Iga Swiatek (odds 1.22).
68%2
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Karolina Pliskova 1525 · Iga Swiatek 1560
| Karolina Pliskova | Iga Swiatek | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 45% | 55% |
| Market | 22% | 78% |
The bar above blends our model with the market. The value indicator marks where our model sees the odds underpriced (possible value).
Match keys
- Karolina Pliskova dominates on serve: 8.8 aces and 55.1% break avg.
- Head-to-head: Karolina Pliskova 0–3 Iga Swiatek (3).
- Note: Karolina Pliskova makes many double faults (6.5/match).
Statistics
| Karolina Pliskova | Iga Swiatek | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 60% | 70% |
| Win % · Clay | 33% (3) | 75% (8) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.3-1.1 | 1.6-0.7 |
| Games (G-P) | 10.8-11.6 | 11.8-7.5 |
| Aces | 8.8 | 2.1 |
| Double faults | 6.5 | 3.8 |
| 1st serve % | 65.6% | 67.9% |
| Break % | 55.1% | 54.8% |
Estimated total games (ours)
21.4 · Bet365 line 21.5
Over 21.5: 49% · 1.90
Under 21.5: 51% · 1.80
H2H · Karolina Pliskova 0 – 3 Iga Swiatek (3)
Head-to-head (H2H) · Karolina Pliskova 0–3 Iga Swiatek
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| Date | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|
| 09/08/23 WTA Montreal | 0-2 | 8-13 | L |
| 21/04/23 WTA Stuttgart | 1-2 | 9-16 | L |
| 16/05/21 WTA Rome | 0-2 | 0-12 | L |
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Karolina Pliskova
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30/06 | Tereza Valentova Wimbledon Women · Grass |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 20/06 | Marie Bouzkova WTA Nottingham · Grass |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 19/06 | Talia Gibson WTA Nottingham · Grass |
2-0 | 13-9 | W |
| 18/06 | Caty McNally WTA Nottingham · Grass |
2-0 | 13-10 | W |
| 16/06 | Sara Bejlek WTA Nottingham · Grass |
2-1 | 15-14 | W |
| 12/06 | Donna Vekic WTA Queens · Grass |
1-2 | 13-16 | L |
| 08/06 | McCartney Kessler WTA Queens · Grass |
2-1 | 18-14 | W |
| 20/05 | Marina Bassols Ribera French Open Women · Clay |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 19/05 | Yeon Woo Ku French Open Women · Clay |
2-1 | 12-10 | W |
| 11/05 | Elena Rybakina WTA Rome · Clay |
0-2 | 2-12 | L |
Iga Swiatek
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30/06 | Taylor Townsend Wimbledon Women · Grass |
2-1 | 14-10 | W |
| 24/06 | Emma Navarro WTA Bad Homburg · Grass |
1-2 | 14-15 | L |
| 31/05 | Marta Kostyuk French Open Women · Clay |
0-2 | 6-13 | L |
| 29/05 | Magda Linette French Open Women · Clay |
2-0 | 12-8 | W |
| 27/05 | Sara Bejlek French Open Women · Clay |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 25/05 | Emerson Jones French Open Women · Clay |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 14/05 | Elina Svitolina WTA Rome · Clay |
1-2 | 12-14 | L |
| 13/05 | Jessica Pegula WTA Rome · Clay |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 11/05 | Naomi Osaka WTA Rome · Clay |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 10/05 | Elisabetta Cocciaretto WTA Rome · Clay |
2-0 | 12-1 | W |

