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Tennis · Wimbledon Women · 02/07, 12:00

Karolina Pliskova vs Iga Swiatek

Our model (Elo on clay, opponent-adjusted) gives 55% to Iga Swiatek; the market gives 68% to Iga Swiatek (odds 1.22).

68%2
32% 68%
Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Karolina Pliskova 1525 · Iga Swiatek 1560
Karolina PliskovaIga Swiatek
Our model45%55%
Market22%78%

The bar above blends our model with the market. The value indicator marks where our model sees the odds underpriced (possible value).

Match keys

  • Karolina Pliskova dominates on serve: 8.8 aces and 55.1% break avg.
  • Head-to-head: Karolina Pliskova 0–3 Iga Swiatek (3).
  • Note: Karolina Pliskova makes many double faults (6.5/match).

Statistics

Karolina PliskovaIga Swiatek
Win %60%70%
Win % · Clay 33% (3) 75% (8)
Sets (G-P)1.3-1.11.6-0.7
Games (G-P)10.8-11.611.8-7.5
Aces8.82.1
Double faults6.53.8
1st serve %65.6%67.9%
Break %55.1%54.8%
Estimated total games (ours) 21.4 · Bet365 line 21.5
Over 21.5: 49% · 1.90 Under 21.5: 51% · 1.80

H2H · Karolina Pliskova 0 – 3 Iga Swiatek (3)

Head-to-head (H2H) · Karolina Pliskova 0–3 Iga Swiatek

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DateSetsGamesRes.
09/08/23
WTA Montreal
0-28-13L
21/04/23
WTA Stuttgart
1-29-16L
16/05/21
WTA Rome
0-20-12L

Last 10 matches played

Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Karolina Pliskova

WWWLW

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Date Opponent Sets Games Res.
30/06 Tereza Valentova
Wimbledon Women · Grass
 2-0 12-7 W
20/06 Marie Bouzkova
WTA Nottingham · Grass
 0-2 5-12 L
19/06 Talia Gibson
WTA Nottingham · Grass
 2-0 13-9 W
18/06 Caty McNally
WTA Nottingham · Grass
 2-0 13-10 W
16/06 Sara Bejlek
WTA Nottingham · Grass
 2-1 15-14 W
12/06 Donna Vekic
WTA Queens · Grass
 1-2 13-16 L
08/06 McCartney Kessler
WTA Queens · Grass
 2-1 18-14 W
20/05 Marina Bassols Ribera
French Open Women · Clay
 0-2 5-12 L
19/05 Yeon Woo Ku
French Open Women · Clay
 2-1 12-10 W
11/05 Elena Rybakina
WTA Rome · Clay
 0-2 2-12 L

Iga Swiatek

WWLLW

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Date Opponent Sets Games Res.
30/06 Taylor Townsend
Wimbledon Women · Grass
 2-1 14-10 W
24/06 Emma Navarro
WTA Bad Homburg · Grass
 1-2 14-15 L
31/05 Marta Kostyuk
French Open Women · Clay
 0-2 6-13 L
29/05 Magda Linette
French Open Women · Clay
 2-0 12-8 W
27/05 Sara Bejlek
French Open Women · Clay
 2-0 12-5 W
25/05 Emerson Jones
French Open Women · Clay
 2-0 12-3 W
14/05 Elina Svitolina
WTA Rome · Clay
 1-2 12-14 L
13/05 Jessica Pegula
WTA Rome · Clay
 2-0 12-3 W
11/05 Naomi Osaka
WTA Rome · Clay
 2-0 12-3 W
10/05 Elisabetta Cocciaretto
WTA Rome · Clay
 2-0 12-1 W