Tennis · Wimbledon Women · 02/07, 12:00
Katie Swan vs Madison Keys
Our model (Elo on grass, opponent-adjusted) gives 53% to Madison Keys; the market gives 72% to Madison Keys (odds 1.08).
72%2
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Katie Swan 1583 · Madison Keys 1603
| Katie Swan | Madison Keys | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 47% | 53% |
| Market | 12% | 88% |
The bar above blends our model with the market. The value indicator marks where our model sees the odds underpriced (possible value).
Match keys
- Head-to-head: Katie Swan 0–2 Madison Keys (2).
Statistics
| Katie Swan | Madison Keys | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 90% | 80% |
| Win % · Grass | 75% (4) | 88% (8) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.8-0.3 | 1.7-0.6 |
| Games (G-P) | 12.3-7 | 13.2-9.6 |
| Aces | 4 | 3.6 |
| Double faults | 3.1 | 2.7 |
| 1st serve % | 74.8% | 78.5% |
| Break % | 60.9% | 46.6% |
Estimated total games (ours)
22.1 · Bet365 line 18.5 · +3.6
Over 18.5: 74% · 1.72
Under 18.5: 26% · 2.00
H2H · Katie Swan 0 – 2 Madison Keys (2)
Head-to-head (H2H) · Katie Swan 0–2 Madison Keys
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| Date | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|
| 04/01/23 United Cup Women | 1-2 | 13-14 | L |
| 28/06/21 Wimbledon Women | 0-2 | 7-12 | L |
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Katie Swan
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30/06 | Irina-Camelia Begu Wimbledon Women · Grass |
2-0 | 12-8 | W |
| 12/06 | Viktorija Golubic WTA Ilkley · Grass |
2-0 | 13-10 | W |
| 10/06 | Tereza Martincova WTA Ilkley · Grass |
2-0 | 13-7 | W |
| 04/06 | Taylah Preston WTA Birmingham · Grass |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 17/05 | Kyoka Okamura W75 Kurume |
2-0 | 13-6 | W |
| 16/05 | Mei Yamaguchi W75 Kurume |
2-0 | 12-2 | W |
| 15/05 | Sara Saito W75 Kurume |
2-0 | 12-8 | W |
| 14/05 | Dalayna Hewitt W75 Kurume |
2-1 | 18-13 | W |
| 13/05 | Chika Miyahara W75 Kurume |
2-0 | 12-0 | W |
| 10/05 | Rina Saigo W35 Fukuoka · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
Madison Keys
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30/06 | Kayla Day Wimbledon Women · Grass |
2-1 | 18-14 | W |
| 27/06 | Tatjana Maria WTA Eastbourne · Grass |
2-0 | 13-9 | W |
| 25/06 | McCartney Kessler WTA Eastbourne · Grass |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 24/06 | Jessica Bouzas Maneiro WTA Eastbourne · Grass |
2-0 | 12-1 | W |
| 23/06 | Talia Gibson WTA Eastbourne · Grass |
2-0 | 12-8 | W |
| 19/06 | Jessica Pegula WTA Berlin · Grass |
0-2 | 12-14 | L |
| 18/06 | Karolina Muchova WTA Berlin · Grass |
2-0 | 13-9 | W |
| 16/06 | Xinyu Wang WTA Berlin · Grass |
2-0 | 13-7 | W |
| 01/06 | Diana Shnaider French Open Women · Clay |
1-2 | 9-15 | L |
| 30/05 | Victoria Mboko French Open Women · Clay |
2-1 | 18-15 | W |