Tennis · M15 Getxo · 01/07, 10:00
David Naharro vs Pavlos Tsitsipas
Our model (Elo on clay, opponent-adjusted) gives 54% to Pavlos Tsitsipas; the market gives 50% to David Naharro (odds 1.73).
50%1
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · David Naharro 1505 · Pavlos Tsitsipas 1535
| David Naharro | Pavlos Tsitsipas | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 46% | 54% |
| Market | 54% | 46% |
The bar above blends our model with the market. The value indicator marks where our model sees the odds underpriced (possible value).
Match keys
- Note: Pavlos Tsitsipas makes many double faults (5.2/match).
Statistics
| David Naharro | Pavlos Tsitsipas | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 50% | 60% |
| Win % · Clay | – | 80% (5) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.2-0.9 | 1.4-0.9 |
| Games (G-P) | 9.4-8.4 | 11.6-10.4 |
| Aces | 0.3 | 4.2 |
| Double faults | 3.5 | 5.2 |
| 1st serve % | 63.2% | 71% |
| Break % | 43.2% | 43.2% |
Estimated total games (ours)
20.7
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
David Naharro
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29/06 | Maximo Nagele M15 Getxo |
2-0 | 12-1 | W |
| 24/06 | Bor Artnak M15 Slovenska Bistrica |
1-2 | 11-18 | L |
| 23/06 | Jan Kobierski M15 Slovenska Bistrica |
2-0 | 12-1 | W |
| 15/06 | Alvaro Jimenez M15 Mungia-Laukariz |
1-1 | 8-9 | L |
| 21/05 | Jack Kennedy M25 Mataro |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 20/05 | Benoit Torcq M25 Mataro |
2-0 | 13-7 | W |
| 19/05 | Jan Montero Diaz M25 Mataro |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 12/05 | Ryan Nijboer M25 Vic |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 30/04 | Max Alcala Gurri M25 Castelldefels |
0-2 | 3-12 | L |
| 29/04 | Hugo Ruiz Rodriguez M25 Castelldefels |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
Pavlos Tsitsipas
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25/06 | Kalin Ivanovski M25 Zagreb |
0-2 | 11-14 | L |
| 24/06 | Kirill Kivattsev M25 Zagreb |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 17/06 | Ryan Nijboer M15 Mungia-Laukariz |
1-2 | 14-18 | L |
| 16/06 | Peru Bayo M15 Mungia-Laukariz |
2-1 | 14-11 | W |
| 30/05 | Pavel Lagutin UTR Pro Match Series · Clay |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 29/05 | Xavier Ferrer Mateo UTR Pro Match Series · Clay |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 28/05 | Alvaro Peiro Serrano UTR Pro Match Series · Clay |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 27/05 | Ausias Martin Melo UTR Pro Match Series · Clay |
2-0 | 13-9 | W |
| 26/05 | Diego Augusto Barreto Sanchez UTR Pro Match Series · Clay |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 19/05 | Tomas Martinez M15 Maringa |
1-2 | 11-15 | L |