Tennis · M15 Getxo · 01/07, 15:00
Marcel Zielinski vs Mario Arce Fernandez
Our model (Elo on clay, opponent-adjusted) gives 68% to Marcel Zielinski; the market gives 80% to Marcel Zielinski (odds 1.04).
80%1
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Marcel Zielinski 1564 · Mario Arce Fernandez 1437
| Marcel Zielinski | Mario Arce Fernandez | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 68% | 32% |
| Market | 90% | 10% |
The bar above blends our model with the market. The value indicator marks where our model sees the odds underpriced (possible value).
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Marcel Zielinski (rating 1564 vs 1437).
- Marcel Zielinski is in better form: 70% recent wins.
- Head-to-head: Marcel Zielinski 1–0 Mario Arce Fernandez (1).
Statistics
| Marcel Zielinski | Mario Arce Fernandez | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 70% | 30% |
| Win % · Clay | 75% (4) | – |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.4-0.9 | 0.6-1.6 |
| Games (G-P) | 11.4-9.8 | 8.5-10.8 |
| Aces | 2.7 | 0.8 |
| Double faults | 1.3 | 3.6 |
| 1st serve % | 67.6% | 61.5% |
| Break % | 40.9% | 44.9% |
Estimated total games (ours)
21
H2H · Marcel Zielinski 1 – 0 Mario Arce Fernandez (1)
Head-to-head (H2H) · Marcel Zielinski 1–0 Mario Arce Fernandez
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|
| 29/07/25 ITF M15 Xativa | 2-0 | 12-3 | W |
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Marcel Zielinski
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20/06 | Marlon Vankan M15 Saarlouis |
0-2 | 6-13 | L |
| 19/06 | Yannik Kelm M15 Saarlouis |
2-1 | 17-15 | W |
| 18/06 | Vincent Marysko M15 Saarlouis |
2-1 | 16-11 | W |
| 17/06 | Kaspar Mathes M15 Saarlouis |
2-0 | 13-10 | W |
| 12/06 | Gabriele Piraino M15 Messina · ~Clay |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
| 11/06 | Gian Marco Ortenzi M15 Messina · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 10/06 | Giacomo Crisostomo M15 Messina · ~Clay |
2-1 | 16-9 | W |
| 09/06 | Jacopo Antonelli M15 Messina · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 05/06 | Fons Van Sambeek M15 Rosbach |
0-2 | 6-13 | L |
| 04/06 | Johan Oscar Lien M15 Rosbach |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
Mario Arce Fernandez
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29/06 | Luis Garcia Paez M15 Getxo |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 15/06 | Esteban Talavera Cortes M15 Mungia-Laukariz |
0-2 | 7-12 | L |
| 04/05 | Esteban Talavera Cortes M25 Loule |
0-2 | 7-10 | L |
| 20/04 | Justas Trainauskas M15 Sanxenxo |
0-2 | 10-13 | L |
| 15/04 | Pavel Lagutin M15 Ceuta |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 14/04 | Jose Dominguez Alonso M15 Ceuta |
2-1 | 16-11 | W |
| 13/04 | Ilan Hediger M15 Ceuta |
2-1 | 9-9 | W |
| 10/02 | Sergi Fita Juan M15 Almoradi |
0-2 | 8-11 | L |
| 09/12 | Constantin Bittoun Kouzmine M15 Ceuta |
0-2 | 7-12 | L |
| 07/10 | Alejandro Juan Mano ITF M15 Pontevedra · Hard |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |