Tennis · M15 Kursumlijska Banja · 01/07, 15:00
Timofei Derepasko vs Luc Wieland
Our model (Elo on clay, opponent-adjusted) gives 66% to Luc Wieland; the market gives 51% to Timofei Derepasko (odds 1.44).
51%1
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Timofei Derepasko 1441 · Luc Wieland 1553
| Timofei Derepasko | Luc Wieland | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 34% | 66% |
| Market | 65% | 35% |
The bar above blends our model with the market. The value indicator marks where our model sees the odds underpriced (possible value).
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Luc Wieland (rating 1441 vs 1553).
- Luc Wieland is in better form: 70% recent wins.
Statistics
| Timofei Derepasko | Luc Wieland | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 30% | 70% |
| Win % · Clay | 0% (1) | 100% (1) |
| Sets (G-P) | 0.8-1.4 | 1.4-0.9 |
| Games (G-P) | 9.5-10.8 | 10.2-10 |
| Aces | 3.6 | 1.2 |
| Double faults | 2.4 | 1.9 |
| 1st serve % | 67.7% | 60.7% |
| Break % | 39.2% | 32.6% |
Estimated total games (ours)
20.9
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Timofei Derepasko
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24/06 | Matteo Mesaglio M15 Kursumlijska Banja · ~Clay |
0-2 | 10-14 | L |
| 02/06 | Daniel Phillips M15 Kayseri · ~Hard |
1-2 | 10-15 | L |
| 27/05 | Henry Jefferson M15 Kayseri · ~Hard |
1-2 | 13-15 | L |
| 22/05 | Cooper Williams M15 Gaborone |
0-2 | 7-13 | L |
| 21/05 | Preston Brown M15 Gaborone |
2-0 | 12-8 | W |
| 20/05 | Matt Kleiman M15 Gaborone |
2-0 | 12-2 | W |
| 14/05 | James Weber M15 Gaborone |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 12/05 | Dillon Beckles M15 Gaborone |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 05/05 | Lev Seidman M15 Mbombela |
0-2 | 8-13 | L |
| 01/04 | Nikola Djosic M15 Sharm El Sheikh · ~Hard |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
Luc Wieland
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30/06 | Michael Minasyan M15 Kursumlijska Banja · ~Clay |
2-1 | 10-7 | W |
| 14/03 | Lucca Liu UTR Pro Newport Beach · Hard |
0-2 | 3-12 | L |
| 14/03 | Matteo Huarte UTR Pro Newport Beach · Hard |
2-1 | 16-14 | W |
| 12/03 | Daniel Jankoski UTR Pro Newport Beach · Hard |
2-0 | 12-8 | W |
| 10/03 | Jacob Brumm UTR Pro Newport Beach · Hard |
2-0 | 13-8 | W |
| 10/03 | Jonathan Mridha UTR Pro Newport Beach · Hard |
2-0 | 13-10 | W |
| 23/11 | Lambert Ruland UTR Pro Newport Beach · Hard |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
| 22/11 | Carson Baker UTR Pro Newport Beach · Hard |
2-1 | 13-11 | W |
| 21/11 | Gianluca Brunkow UTR Pro Newport Beach · Hard |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 20/11 | Andre Alcantara UTR Pro Newport Beach · Hard |
2-0 | 13-6 | W |