Tennis · W15 Getxo · 01/07, 11:30
Cayetana Gay vs Lucia Natal
Our model (Elo on clay, opponent-adjusted) gives 51% to Cayetana Gay; the market gives 55% to Cayetana Gay (odds 1.57).
55%1
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Cayetana Gay 1480 · Lucia Natal 1474
| Cayetana Gay | Lucia Natal | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 51% | 49% |
| Market | 59% | 41% |
The bar above blends our model with the market. The value indicator marks where our model sees the odds underpriced (possible value).
Match keys
- Note: Lucia Natal makes many double faults (5.7/match).
Statistics
| Cayetana Gay | Lucia Natal | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 40% | 40% |
| Win % · Clay | 50% (2) | 67% (3) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1-1.2 | 0.8-1.5 |
| Games (G-P) | 8.9-10.9 | 7.9-11.4 |
| Aces | 1 | 0.2 |
| Double faults | 3 | 5.7 |
| 1st serve % | 56.1% | 53.4% |
| Break % | 38.1% | 37.5% |
Estimated total games (ours)
20.5
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Cayetana Gay
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23/06 | Carolyn Ansari W50 Palma del Rio · ~Clay |
1-2 | 11-16 | L |
| 22/06 | Valentina Losciale W50 Palma del Rio · ~Clay |
2-0 | 13-10 | W |
| 11/06 | Ruth Roura Llaverias W15 Madrid |
0-1 | 8-11 | L |
| 10/06 | Nicole Gadient W15 Madrid |
2-0 | 13-5 | W |
| 09/06 | Andrea Burguete Beltran W15 Madrid |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 02/06 | Camila Rodero W15 Ontinyent |
1-2 | 9-16 | L |
| 20/05 | Stephanie Judith Visscher W35 Estepona |
0-2 | 1-12 | L |
| 19/05 | Raquel Caballero Chica W35 Estepona |
2-1 | 10-10 | W |
| 29/10 | Rose Marie Nijkamp ITF W15 Sumter |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 21/10 | Rose Marie Nijkamp ITF W35 Norman · Hard |
0-2 | 7-13 | L |
Lucia Natal
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29/06 | Georgina Hays W15 Getxo |
2-1 | 13-13 | W |
| 13/05 | Cristiana Nicoleta Todoni W15 Bucharest · ~Clay |
2-1 | 10-10 | W |
| 06/05 | Polona Hercog W35 Platja d'Aro |
0-2 | 1-12 | L |
| 05/05 | Isis Louise Van den Broek W35 Platja d'Aro |
0-2 | 7-13 | L |
| 17/03 | Despina Papamichail W50 Chihuahua |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
| 16/03 | Jenna Dean W50 Chihuahua |
2-0 | 13-6 | W |
| 18/02 | Maria Sara Popa W15 Antalya · ~Hard |
0-2 | 3-12 | L |
| 17/02 | Yujia Huang W15 Antalya · ~Hard |
0-2 | 7-11 | L |
| 06/12 | Franziska Sziedat ITF W15 Melilla · Clay |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 05/12 | Gaia Squarcialupi ITF W15 Melilla · Clay |
2-1 | 16-13 | W |