Tennis · W50 Elvas · 01/07, 11:00
Matilde Jorge vs Lauryn John-Baptiste
Our model (Elo on clay, opponent-adjusted) gives 57% to Lauryn John-Baptiste; the market gives 61% to Matilde Jorge (odds 1.25).
61%1
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Matilde Jorge 1530 · Lauryn John-Baptiste 1576
| Matilde Jorge | Lauryn John-Baptiste | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 43% | 57% |
| Market | 75% | 25% |
The bar above blends our model with the market. The value indicator marks where our model sees the odds underpriced (possible value).
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Lauryn John-Baptiste (rating 1530 vs 1576).
- Matilde Jorge dominates on serve: 9.1 aces and 44.6% break avg.
- Head-to-head: Matilde Jorge 1–0 Lauryn John-Baptiste (1).
- Note: Matilde Jorge makes many double faults (5.6/match).
Statistics
| Matilde Jorge | Lauryn John-Baptiste | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 60% | 80% |
| Win % · Clay | 50% (2) | – |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.2-0.9 | 1.8-0.5 |
| Games (G-P) | 10.1-9 | 12.4-6.8 |
| Aces | 9.1 | 1.4 |
| Double faults | 5.6 | 2.2 |
| 1st serve % | 65.4% | 67.7% |
| Break % | 44.6% | 51.4% |
Estimated total games (ours)
20.8
H2H · Matilde Jorge 1 – 0 Lauryn John-Baptiste (1)
Head-to-head (H2H) · Matilde Jorge 1–0 Lauryn John-Baptiste
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|
| 04/06/26 W50 Montemor-o-Novo | 2-1 | 15-12 | W |
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Matilde Jorge
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16/06 | Jil Teichmann WTA Figueira da Foz · Hard |
0-2 | 6-13 | L |
| 12/06 | Savannah Broadus W50 Guimaraes |
0-2 | 7-13 | L |
| 11/06 | Anastasia Kulikova W50 Guimaraes |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 10/06 | Polina Isakova W50 Guimaraes |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 06/06 | Francisca Jorge W50 Montemor-o-Novo |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 05/06 | Viktoria Morvayova W50 Montemor-o-Novo |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 04/06 | Lauryn John-Baptiste W50 Montemor-o-Novo |
2-1 | 15-12 | W |
| 02/06 | Sachia Vickery W50 Montemor-o-Novo |
2-0 | 10-0 | W |
| 20/05 | Mary Stoiana French Open Women · Clay |
0-2 | 8-12 | L |
| 18/05 | Elvina Kalieva French Open Women · Clay |
2-0 | 14-11 | W |
Lauryn John-Baptiste
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29/06 | Emma Mazzoni W50 Elvas |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 28/06 | Coral Valle W50 Elvas |
2-0 | 12-2 | W |
| 11/06 | Katarina Kuzmova W50 Guimaraes |
1-2 | 12-13 | L |
| 10/06 | Viktoria Hruncakova W50 Guimaraes |
2-0 | 13-7 | W |
| 09/06 | Belle Thompson W50 Guimaraes |
2-1 | 14-10 | W |
| 08/06 | Carla Tomai W50 Guimaraes |
2-0 | 12-0 | W |
| 04/06 | Matilde Jorge W50 Montemor-o-Novo |
1-2 | 12-15 | L |
| 03/06 | Ana Filipa Santos W50 Montemor-o-Novo |
2-0 | 13-9 | W |
| 01/06 | Laima Vladson W50 Montemor-o-Novo |
2-0 | 12-8 | W |
| 31/05 | Giulia Pereira De Aguiar W50 Montemor-o-Novo |
2-0 | 12-1 | W |