Tennis · M25 Figueira da Foz · 01/07, 12:00
Sebastian Dominko vs Mert Alkaya
Our model (Elo on hard, opponent-adjusted) gives 55% to Sebastian Dominko; the market gives 57% to Mert Alkaya (odds 1.40).
57%2
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Sebastian Dominko 1570 · Mert Alkaya 1534
| Sebastian Dominko | Mert Alkaya | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 55% | 45% |
| Market | 34% | 66% |
The bar above blends our model with the market. The value indicator marks where our model sees the odds underpriced (possible value).
Match keys
- Sebastian Dominko dominates on serve: 7.4 aces and 48.5% break avg.
- Head-to-head: Sebastian Dominko 0–1 Mert Alkaya (1).
Statistics
| Sebastian Dominko | Mert Alkaya | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 70% | 50% |
| Win % · Hard | 75% (8) | 0% (2) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.5-0.7 | 1.2-1.3 |
| Games (G-P) | 12.2-8.7 | 11.9-11.2 |
| Aces | 7.4 | 4.1 |
| Double faults | 1.7 | 3.9 |
| 1st serve % | 78.2% | 70.5% |
| Break % | 48.5% | 41.1% |
Estimated total games (ours)
21.4
H2H · Sebastian Dominko 0 – 1 Mert Alkaya (1)
Head-to-head (H2H) · Sebastian Dominko 0–1 Mert Alkaya
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| Date | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|
| 06/02/26 Davis Cup | 0-2 | 11-14 | L |
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Sebastian Dominko
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29/06 | Daniel Lara Salmeron M25 Figueira da Foz |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 06/02 | Mert Alkaya Davis Cup |
0-2 | 11-14 | L |
| 11/01 | Perry Gregg UTR Pro South Bend · Hard |
2-1 | 17-17 | W |
| 10/01 | Poonthong Komopisut UTR Pro South Bend · Hard |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 08/01 | Noah Becker UTR Pro South Bend · Hard |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 07/01 | Luis Llorens Saracho UTR Pro South Bend · Hard |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 05/01 | Alexander Antonopoulos UTR Pro South Bend · Hard |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 29/10 | Ozan Baris ITF M25 Harlingen · Hard |
0-2 | 10-14 | L |
| 28/10 | Sebastian Eriksson ITF M25 Harlingen · Hard |
2-0 | 11-7 | W |
| 16/09 | Andre Ilagan Challenger Columbus · Hard |
1-2 | 13-15 | L |
Mert Alkaya
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28/06 | Carl Emil Overbeck M25 Porto |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 27/06 | Francisco Rocha M25 Porto |
2-1 | 17-13 | W |
| 26/06 | Fabrizio Andaloro M25 Porto |
2-1 | 16-9 | W |
| 25/06 | Ivan Dreycopp M25 Porto |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 23/06 | Robin Catry M25 Porto |
2-1 | 14-13 | W |
| 17/06 | Matisse Bobichon M25 Lourinha |
1-2 | 13-15 | L |
| 07/06 | Pierre-Hugues Herbert ATP Stuttgart · Grass |
0-2 | 10-13 | L |
| 06/06 | Michalis Sakellaridis ATP Stuttgart · Grass |
2-0 | 12-2 | W |
| 01/06 | Arda Azkara Challenger Centurion · Hard |
1-2 | 11-16 | L |
| 26/05 | Yusuke Takahashi Challenger Centurion · Hard |
0-2 | 9-13 | L |