Tennis · Challenger Troyes · 01/07, 10:00
Lorenzo Giustino vs Marko Topo
Our model (Elo on clay, opponent-adjusted) gives 51% to Lorenzo Giustino; the market gives 51% to Marko Topo (odds 1.73).
51%2
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Lorenzo Giustino 1461 · Marko Topo 1452
| Lorenzo Giustino | Marko Topo | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 51% | 49% |
| Market | 46% | 54% |
The bar above blends our model with the market. The value indicator marks where our model sees the odds underpriced (possible value).
Match keys
- Lorenzo Giustino dominates on serve: 7.8 aces and 50.4% break avg.
- Head-to-head: Lorenzo Giustino 1–2 Marko Topo (3).
- Note: Lorenzo Giustino makes many double faults (4.7/match).
- Note: Marko Topo makes many double faults (4.1/match).
Statistics
| Lorenzo Giustino | Marko Topo | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 30% | 30% |
| Win % · Clay | 33% (9) | 30% (10) |
| Sets (G-P) | 0.9-1.6 | 0.9-1.7 |
| Games (G-P) | 11.2-13.2 | 11.2-13.5 |
| Aces | 7.8 | 3.4 |
| Double faults | 4.7 | 4.1 |
| 1st serve % | 66.4% | 64.9% |
| Break % | 50.4% | 29.3% |
Estimated total games (ours)
23.6
H2H · Lorenzo Giustino 1 – 2 Marko Topo (3)
Head-to-head (H2H) · Lorenzo Giustino 1–2 Marko Topo
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| Date | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|
| 01/06/26 Challenger Heilbronn | 1-2 | 12-14 | L |
| 25/05/26 Challenger Chisinau | 2-1 | 17-13 | W |
| 27/02/25 M25 Faro | 0-2 | 5-12 | L |
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Lorenzo Giustino
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30/06 | Svyatoslav Gulin Challenger Troyes · Clay |
2-1 | 13-14 | W |
| 22/06 | Gauthier Onclin Wimbledon · Grass |
0-2 | 8-13 | L |
| 16/06 | Maks Kasnikowski Challenger Poznan · Clay |
0-2 | 10-13 | L |
| 08/06 | Daniel Rincon Challenger Lyon · Clay |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 01/06 | Marko Topo Challenger Heilbronn · Clay |
1-2 | 12-14 | L |
| 27/05 | Luca Nardi Challenger Chisinau · Clay |
1-2 | 15-18 | L |
| 25/05 | Marko Topo Challenger Chisinau · Clay |
2-1 | 17-13 | W |
| 19/05 | Kyrian Jacquet French Open · Clay |
0-2 | 9-13 | L |
| 03/04 | Mili Poljicak Challenger Barletta · Clay |
1-2 | 10-15 | L |
| 02/04 | Laurent Lokoli Challenger Barletta · Clay |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
Marko Topo
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30/06 | Leo Raquillet Challenger Troyes · Clay |
2-1 | 16-12 | W |
| 24/06 | Martin Krumich Challenger Targu Mures · Clay |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 23/06 | Ilia Simakin Challenger Targu Mures · Clay |
2-1 | 16-12 | W |
| 14/06 | Ryan Seggerman Challenger Parma · Clay |
1-2 | 17-19 | L |
| 08/06 | Federico Cina Challenger Bratislava · Clay |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 03/06 | Emilio Nava Challenger Heilbronn · Clay |
0-2 | 7-12 | L |
| 01/06 | Lorenzo Giustino Challenger Heilbronn · Clay |
2-1 | 14-12 | W |
| 25/05 | Lorenzo Giustino Challenger Chisinau · Clay |
1-2 | 13-17 | L |
| 16/05 | Hugo Gaston ATP Hamburg · Clay |
0-2 | 3-12 | L |
| 11/05 | Eero Vasa Challenger Oeiras · Clay |
1-2 | 15-15 | L |