Tennis · Wimbledon · 01/07, 18:00
Stefanos Tsitsipas vs Novak Djokovic
Our model (Elo on clay, opponent-adjusted) gives 53% to Novak Djokovic; the market gives 70% to Novak Djokovic (odds 1.14).
70%2
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Stefanos Tsitsipas 1497 · Novak Djokovic 1521
| Stefanos Tsitsipas | Novak Djokovic | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 47% | 53% |
| Market | 17% | 83% |
The bar above blends our model with the market. The value indicator marks where our model sees the odds underpriced (possible value).
Match keys
- Novak Djokovic dominates on serve: 7.5 aces and 40.1% break avg.
- Head-to-head: Stefanos Tsitsipas 0–10 Novak Djokovic (10).
Statistics
| Stefanos Tsitsipas | Novak Djokovic | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 50% | 60% |
| Win % · Clay | 50% (8) | 50% (4) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.3-1.2 | 2.1-1.7 |
| Games (G-P) | 14.1-13.2 | 19.4-17.7 |
| Aces | 7.4 | 7.5 |
| Double faults | 2 | 2.9 |
| 1st serve % | 78.1% | 72.6% |
| Break % | 34.4% | 40.1% |
Estimated total games (ours)
28.9 · Bet365 line 36.5 · -7.6
Over 36.5: 9% · 1.83
Under 36.5: 91% · 1.83
H2H · Stefanos Tsitsipas 0 – 10 Novak Djokovic (10)
Head-to-head (H2H) · Stefanos Tsitsipas 0–10 Novak Djokovic
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| Date | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|
| 01/08/24 Olympics 2024 - Men | 0-2 | 9-13 | L |
| 29/01/23 Australian Open | 0-3 | 15-20 | L |
| 14/11/22 ATP World Tour Finals | 0-2 | 10-13 | L |
| 05/11/22 ATP Paris | 1-2 | 14-16 | L |
| 09/10/22 ATP Astana | 0-2 | 7-12 | L |
| 15/05/22 ATP Rome | 0-2 | 6-13 | L |
| 13/06/21 French Open | 2-3 | 22-26 | L |
| 14/05/21 ATP Rome | 1-2 | 16-18 | L |
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Stefanos Tsitsipas
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29/06 | Hugo Gaston Wimbledon · Grass |
3-0 | 18-7 | W |
| 23/06 | Ignacio Buse ATP Mallorca · Grass |
0-2 | 9-13 | L |
| 28/05 | Matteo Arnaldi French Open · Clay |
1-3 | 18-24 | L |
| 20/05 | Learner Tien ATP Geneva · Clay |
0-2 | 12-14 | L |
| 18/05 | Giovanni Mpetshi Perricard ATP Geneva · Clay |
2-0 | 13-10 | W |
| 07/05 | Tomas Machac ATP Rome · Clay |
0-2 | 10-13 | L |
| 28/04 | Casper Ruud ATP Madrid · Clay |
1-2 | 19-20 | L |
| 27/04 | Daniel Merida Aguilar ATP Madrid · Clay |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 25/04 | Alexander Bublik ATP Madrid · Clay |
2-0 | 13-7 | W |
| 23/04 | Patrick Kypson ATP Madrid · Clay |
2-1 | 17-18 | W |
Novak Djokovic
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29/06 | Yibing Wu Wimbledon · Grass |
3-1 | 23-19 | W |
| 29/05 | Joao Fonseca French Open · Clay |
2-3 | 25-28 | L |
| 27/05 | Valentin Royer French Open · Clay |
3-1 | 24-15 | W |
| 24/05 | Giovanni Mpetshi Perricard French Open · Clay |
3-1 | 24-17 | W |
| 08/05 | Dino Prizmic ATP Rome · Clay |
1-2 | 12-14 | L |
| 12/03 | Jack Draper ATP Indian Wells · Hard |
1-2 | 16-17 | L |
| 09/03 | Aleksandar Kovacevic ATP Indian Wells · Hard |
2-1 | 13-14 | W |
| 07/03 | Kamil Majchrzak ATP Indian Wells · Hard |
2-1 | 16-9 | W |
| 01/02 | Carlos Alcaraz Garfia Australian Open · Hard |
1-3 | 16-21 | L |
| 30/01 | Jannik Sinner Australian Open · Hard |
3-2 | 25-23 | W |