Tennis · Wimbledon · 01/07, 15:30
Shintaro Mochizuki vs Ethan Quinn
Our model (Elo on grass, opponent-adjusted) gives 51% to Ethan Quinn; the market gives 62% to Ethan Quinn (odds 1.36).
62%2
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Shintaro Mochizuki 1550 · Ethan Quinn 1560
| Shintaro Mochizuki | Ethan Quinn | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 49% | 51% |
| Market | 30% | 70% |
The bar above blends our model with the market. The value indicator marks where our model sees the odds underpriced (possible value).
Match keys
- Shintaro Mochizuki dominates on serve: 7.5 aces and 53.8% break avg.
- Ethan Quinn dominates on serve: 8.1 aces and 44.4% break avg.
- Note: Ethan Quinn makes many double faults (4.6/match).
Statistics
| Shintaro Mochizuki | Ethan Quinn | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 60% | 60% |
| Win % · Grass | 67% (9) | 75% (8) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.6-1.2 | 1.4-1.2 |
| Games (G-P) | 13.9-12.8 | 13.7-12.7 |
| Aces | 7.5 | 8.1 |
| Double faults | 3.3 | 4.6 |
| 1st serve % | 72.1% | 77.1% |
| Break % | 53.8% | 44.4% |
Estimated total games (ours)
25.8 · Bet365 line 39.5 · -13.7
Over 39.5: 1% · 1.83
Under 39.5: 99% · 1.83
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Shintaro Mochizuki
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29/06 | Max Basing Wimbledon · Grass |
3-0 | 18-3 | W |
| 25/06 | Clement Tabur Wimbledon · Grass |
3-2 | 22-21 | W |
| 24/06 | Gauthier Onclin Wimbledon · Grass |
2-1 | 16-11 | W |
| 22/06 | Vitaliy Sachko Wimbledon · Grass |
2-0 | 13-9 | W |
| 18/06 | Remy Bertola Challenger Nottingham · Grass |
0-2 | 7-12 | L |
| 16/06 | Mackenzie McDonald Challenger Nottingham · Grass |
2-0 | 14-11 | W |
| 14/06 | Michael Zheng Challenger Nottingham · Grass |
2-1 | 17-18 | W |
| 06/06 | Sander Jong ATP Hertogenbosch · Grass |
1-2 | 13-16 | L |
| 03/06 | Sho Shimabukuro Challenger Birmingham · Grass |
0-2 | 10-13 | L |
| 18/05 | Remy Bertola French Open · Clay |
1-2 | 9-14 | L |
Ethan Quinn
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29/06 | Luciano Darderi Wimbledon · Grass |
3-0 | 20-13 | W |
| 27/06 | Alejandro Davidovich Fokina ATP Mallorca · Grass |
0-2 | 9-13 | L |
| 26/06 | Nuno Borges ATP Mallorca · Grass |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 25/06 | Vit Kopriva ATP Mallorca · Grass |
2-1 | 18-15 | W |
| 24/06 | Murphy Cassone ATP Mallorca · Grass |
2-1 | 18-13 | W |
| 22/06 | Valentin Royer ATP Mallorca · Grass |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 18/06 | Ben Shelton ATP Halle · Grass |
1-2 | 15-17 | L |
| 16/06 | Karen Khachanov ATP Halle · Grass |
2-1 | 13-14 | W |
| 26/05 | Francisco Comesana French Open · Clay |
0-3 | 16-20 | L |
| 17/05 | Tommy Paul ATP Hamburg · Clay |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |