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Tennis · Wimbledon Women · 01/07, 13:30

Karolina Muchova vs Shuai Zhang

Our model (Elo on grass, opponent-adjusted) gives 58% to Karolina Muchova; the market gives 72% to Karolina Muchova (odds 1.13).

72%1
72% 28%
Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Karolina Muchova 1578 · Shuai Zhang 1522
Karolina MuchovaShuai Zhang
Our model58%42%
Market84%16%

The bar above blends our model with the market. The value indicator marks where our model sees the odds underpriced (possible value).

Match keys

  • Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Karolina Muchova (rating 1578 vs 1522).
  • Head-to-head: Karolina Muchova 3–0 Shuai Zhang (3).

Statistics

Karolina MuchovaShuai Zhang
Win %70%50%
Win % · Grass 83% (6) 63% (8)
Sets (G-P)1.4-0.71.1-1.1
Games (G-P)10.6-810.4-10.6
Aces3.81.8
Double faults2.22
1st serve %72.4%64.2%
Break %58.9%48%
Estimated total games (ours) 21.1 · Bet365 line 19.5 · +1.6
Over 19.5: 61% · 1.80 Under 19.5: 39% · 1.90

H2H · Karolina Muchova 3 – 0 Shuai Zhang (3)

Head-to-head (H2H) · Karolina Muchova 3–0 Shuai Zhang

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DateSetsGamesRes.
16/06/26
WTA Berlin
2-012-4W
30/06/21
Wimbledon Women
2-012-6W
20/10/20
WTA Ostrava
2-012-2W

Last 10 matches played

Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Karolina Muchova

LWWWW

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Date Opponent Sets Games Res.
29/06 Anastasia Zakharova
Wimbledon Women · Grass
 2-0 12-5 W
26/06 Elena-Gabriela Ruse
WTA Bad Homburg · Grass
 2-0 12-8 W
25/06 Clara Tauson
WTA Bad Homburg · Grass
 2-1 13-12 W
24/06 Irina-Camelia Begu
WTA Bad Homburg · Grass
 2-0 12-2 W
18/06 Madison Keys
WTA Berlin · Grass
 0-2 9-13 L
16/06 Shuai Zhang
WTA Berlin · Grass
 2-0 12-4 W
29/05 Jil Teichmann
French Open Women · Clay
 0-2 6-13 L
27/05 Kamilla Rakhimova
French Open Women · Clay
 2-0 12-4 W
25/05 Anastasia Zakharova
French Open Women · Clay
 2-0 13-7 W
08/05 Anastasia Potapova
WTA Rome · Clay
 0-2 5-12 L

Shuai Zhang

WWLLW

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Date Opponent Sets Games Res.
29/06 Bianca Andreescu
Wimbledon Women · Grass
 2-0 14-12 W
20/06 Elena-Gabriela Ruse
WTA Bad Homburg · Grass
 0-2 9-13 L
16/06 Karolina Muchova
WTA Berlin · Grass
 0-2 4-12 L
15/06 Magdalena Frech
WTA Berlin · Grass
 2-0 12-6 W
13/06 Milena Steinkamp
WTA Berlin · Grass
 2-0 12-5 W
09/06 Alexandra Eala
WTA Queens · Grass
 0-2 5-12 L
07/06 Heather Watson
WTA Queens · Grass
 2-0 12-7 W
07/06 Hannah Klugman
WTA Queens · Grass
 2-1 16-12 W
26/05 Ann Li
French Open Women · Clay
 0-2 6-12 L
21/05 Emma Navarro
WTA Strasbourg · Clay
 1-2 14-15 L