Tennis · Wimbledon Women · 01/07, 12:00
Janice Tjen vs Daria Kasatkina
Our model (Elo on grass, opponent-adjusted) gives 58% to Daria Kasatkina; the market gives 55% to Daria Kasatkina (odds 1.80).
55%2
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Janice Tjen 1454 · Daria Kasatkina 1510
| Janice Tjen | Daria Kasatkina | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 42% | 58% |
| Market | 47% | 53% |
The bar above blends our model with the market. The value indicator marks where our model sees the odds underpriced (possible value).
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Daria Kasatkina (rating 1454 vs 1510).
- Note: Daria Kasatkina makes many double faults (5.7/match).
Statistics
| Janice Tjen | Daria Kasatkina | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 30% | 50% |
| Win % · Grass | 33% (6) | 40% (5) |
| Sets (G-P) | 0.8-1.5 | 1.2-1.2 |
| Games (G-P) | 9.6-12 | 11.2-11.4 |
| Aces | 2.9 | 1.7 |
| Double faults | 3.1 | 5.7 |
| 1st serve % | 65.3% | 59.4% |
| Break % | 27% | 55.3% |
Estimated total games (ours)
22.2 · Bet365 line 22.5
Over 22.5: 48% · 1.83
Under 22.5: 52% · 1.83
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Janice Tjen
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29/06 | Leylah Annie Fernandez Wimbledon Women · Grass |
2-0 | 13-7 | W |
| 23/06 | Caty McNally WTA Eastbourne · Grass |
1-2 | 15-19 | L |
| 15/06 | Tatjana Maria WTA Nottingham · Grass |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 09/06 | Greet Minnen WTA Hertogenbosch · Grass |
0-2 | 7-13 | L |
| 04/06 | Ashlyn Krueger WTA Birmingham · Grass |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
| 02/06 | Nao Hibino WTA Birmingham · Grass |
2-1 | 15-12 | W |
| 26/05 | Emma Navarro French Open Women · Clay |
0-2 | 7-12 | L |
| 20/05 | Maria Camila Osorio WTA Rabat · Clay |
1-2 | 9-15 | L |
| 19/05 | Caijsa Wilda Hennemann WTA Rabat · Clay |
2-0 | 13-6 | W |
| 06/05 | Peyton Stearns WTA Rome · Clay |
0-2 | 8-12 | L |
Daria Kasatkina
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29/06 | Mimi Xu Wimbledon Women · Grass |
2-1 | 15-10 | W |
| 29/06 | Mingge Xu Wimbledon Women · Grass |
2-1 | 15-10 | W |
| 22/06 | McCartney Kessler WTA Eastbourne · Grass |
0-2 | 9-13 | L |
| 13/06 | Anna Blinkova WTA Nottingham · Grass |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 08/06 | Robin Montgomery WTA Hertogenbosch · Grass |
1-2 | 11-17 | L |
| 30/05 | Aryna Sabalenka French Open Women · Clay |
0-2 | 5-13 | L |
| 28/05 | Susan Bandecchi French Open Women · Clay |
2-0 | 14-11 | W |
| 25/05 | Zeynep Sonmez French Open Women · Clay |
2-0 | 12-8 | W |
| 21/05 | Jaqueline Adina Cristian WTA Strasbourg · Clay |
1-2 | 14-16 | L |
| 19/05 | Peyton Stearns WTA Strasbourg · Clay |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |