Tennis · Wimbledon · 01/07, 13:30
Roman Safiullin vs Botic Van De Zandschulp
Our model (Elo on grass, opponent-adjusted) gives 60% to Roman Safiullin; the market gives 57% to Roman Safiullin (odds 1.73).
57%1
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Roman Safiullin 1567 · Botic Van De Zandschulp 1498
| Roman Safiullin | Botic Van De Zandschulp | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 60% | 40% |
| Market | 55% | 45% |
The bar above blends our model with the market. The value indicator marks where our model sees the odds underpriced (possible value).
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Roman Safiullin (rating 1567 vs 1498).
- Roman Safiullin dominates on serve: 9.4 aces and 49.1% break avg.
- Botic Van De Zandschulp dominates on serve: 6.7 aces and 41.3% break avg.
- Head-to-head: Roman Safiullin 1–0 Botic Van De Zandschulp (1).
- Note: Botic Van De Zandschulp makes many double faults (4.7/match).
Statistics
| Roman Safiullin | Botic Van De Zandschulp | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 70% | 50% |
| Win % · Grass | 70% (10) | 50% (4) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.9-1.2 | 1.4-1.3 |
| Games (G-P) | 17.8-16.4 | 13.6-13.9 |
| Aces | 9.4 | 6.7 |
| Double faults | 3.3 | 4.7 |
| 1st serve % | 80.4% | 70.8% |
| Break % | 49.1% | 41.3% |
Estimated total games (ours)
28.1 · Bet365 line 40.5 · -12.4
Over 40.5: 1% · 1.83
Under 40.5: 99% · 1.83
H2H · Roman Safiullin 1 – 0 Botic Van De Zandschulp (1)
Head-to-head (H2H) · Roman Safiullin 1–0 Botic Van De Zandschulp
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| Date | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|
| 12/03/20 Challenger Nur-Sultan | 2-1 | 16-9 | W |
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Roman Safiullin
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29/06 | Andrey Rublev Wimbledon · Grass |
3-2 | 28-26 | W |
| 25/06 | Jerome Kym Wimbledon · Grass |
3-2 | 27-28 | W |
| 24/06 | Kimmer Coppejans Wimbledon · Grass |
2-0 | 14-11 | W |
| 22/06 | James McCabe Wimbledon · Grass |
2-0 | 13-9 | W |
| 18/06 | Zhizhen Zhang Challenger Nottingham · Grass |
1-2 | 14-19 | L |
| 16/06 | August Holmgren Challenger Nottingham · Grass |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 15/06 | Oliver Tarvet Challenger Nottingham · Grass |
2-1 | 16-11 | W |
| 09/06 | Giovanni Mpetshi Perricard ATP Stuttgart · Grass |
1-2 | 18-20 | L |
| 07/06 | Alexis Galarneau ATP Stuttgart · Grass |
1-2 | 17-19 | L |
| 06/06 | Petr Bar Biryukov ATP Stuttgart · Grass |
2-1 | 19-16 | W |
Botic Van De Zandschulp
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29/06 | Aleksandar Kovacevic Wimbledon · Grass |
3-1 | 24-14 | W |
| 18/06 | Tommy Paul ATP Queens · Grass |
0-2 | 9-13 | L |
| 15/06 | Harry Wendelken ATP Queens · Grass |
2-0 | 13-10 | W |
| 10/06 | Tallon Griekspoor ATP Hertogenbosch · Grass |
1-2 | 13-18 | L |
| 25/05 | Francisco Cerundolo French Open · Clay |
1-3 | 18-24 | L |
| 10/05 | Karen Khachanov ATP Rome · Clay |
1-2 | 15-17 | L |
| 08/05 | Aleksandar Kovacevic ATP Rome · Clay |
2-1 | 15-14 | W |
| 06/05 | Alexandre Muller ATP Rome · Clay |
2-0 | 13-8 | W |
| 16/04 | Francisco Cerundolo ATP Munich · Clay |
0-2 | 3-12 | L |
| 13/04 | Marc-Andrea Huesler ATP Munich · Clay |
2-0 | 13-9 | W |