A Poisson/Dixon-Coles model (attack and defence per team) with opponent-adjusted Elo. We estimate the 1·X·2, goals Over/Under and BTTS for each match, and compare them with the real market odds. How our model works →
Paraguay Division Intermedia
30/06, 23:00
Independiente FBC
Club Dr Benjamin Aceval
36%
28%
36%
2.6 expected goals · most likely total 2 goals
View analysis ↗
40%
28%
32%
2.79 expected goals · most likely total 2 goals
View analysis ↗
Gios Lions SC
Michigan Rangers
18%
20%
62%
3.91 expected goals · most likely total 3 goals
View analysis ↗
Brazil Serie C
01/07, 00:30
58%
27%
15%
2.09 expected goals · most likely total 2 goals
Both teams to score Yes 2.20 → 2.10 ▼ -4.5%
View analysis ↗
Brazil Serie B
01/07, 01:00
40%
30%
30%
2.52 expected goals · most likely total 2 goals
Both teams to score No 1.73 → 1.91 ▲ +10.5%
View analysis ↗
USA USL League Two
01/07, 01:00
Kalamazoo FC
Oakland County FC
28%
23%
49%
3.42 expected goals · most likely total 3 goals
View analysis ↗
USA USL League Two
01/07, 01:00
Boston Bolts
Western Mass Pioneers
20%
22%
58%
3.33 expected goals · most likely total 3 goals
View analysis ↗
USA USL League Two
01/07, 01:00
Charlotte Eagles
Hickory FC
33%
25%
42%
3.11 expected goals · most likely total 3 goals
View analysis ↗
Brazil Copa Espirito Santo
01/07, 01:00
59%
25%
17%
2.28 expected goals · most likely total 2 goals
View analysis ↗
Brazil Serie C
01/07, 01:30
35%
29%
36%
2.61 expected goals · most likely total 2 goals
Both teams to score Yes 1.91 → 2.10 ▲ +10%
View analysis ↗
Brazil Serie C
01/07, 01:30
Volta Redonda
Amazonas FC
46%
31%
23%
1.98 expected goals · most likely total 1 goals
Both teams to score No 1.61 → 1.57 ▼ -2.7%
View analysis ↗
USA USL League Two
01/07, 01:30
Virginia Marauders
Annapolis Blues
7%
12%
81%
3.9 expected goals · most likely total 3 goals
View analysis ↗
Universidad Catolica
Everton de Vina
59%
23%
19%
3.26 expected goals · most likely total 3 goals
Both teams to score No 2.10 → 2.25 ▲ +7.1%
View analysis ↗
USA USL League Two
01/07, 03:00
Snohomish United
Tacoma Stars
69%
16%
15%
4.08 expected goals · most likely total 4 goals
View analysis ↗
New Zealand Northern League
01/07, 09:30
Auckland City
Auckland FC II
65%
20%
14%
3.02 expected goals · most likely total 3 goals
View analysis ↗
Mongolia Premier League
01/07, 10:00
Khovd Western
Ulaangom City FC
80%
12%
8%
4.29 expected goals · most likely total 4 goals
View analysis ↗
Australia Queensland Premier League 3
01/07, 11:30
Newmarket
North Lakes United
69%
16%
15%
4.39 expected goals · most likely total 4 goals
View analysis ↗
Myanmar League Women
01/07, 11:30
Myawady FC (W)
Shan Utd (W)
12%
19%
69%
2.95 expected goals · most likely total 2 goals
View analysis ↗
Australia Capital Territory Premier League
01/07, 11:30
Monaro Panthers
Queanbeyan City
60%
20%
20%
3.78 expected goals · most likely total 3 goals
View analysis ↗
Australia Northern NSW Premier League
01/07, 11:30
Newcastle Olympic FC
Charlestown Azzurri
38%
24%
38%
3.37 expected goals · most likely total 3 goals
View analysis ↗
South Korea Women K League
01/07, 12:00
Gangjin Swans (W)
Mungyeong Sangmu Women
28%
27%
45%
2.66 expected goals · most likely total 2 goals
Over/Under 2.5 Over 1.89 → 1.90 ▲ +0.4%
View analysis ↗
South Korea Women K League
01/07, 12:00
Seoul Amazones (W)
Suwon FMC (W)
23%
23%
53%
3.26 expected goals · most likely total 3 goals
View analysis ↗
Australia Queensland Premier League 3
01/07, 12:30
Mount Gravatt Hawks
Springfield United
34%
23%
43%
3.47 expected goals · most likely total 3 goals
View analysis ↗
Australia Queensland Premier League Women
01/07, 12:30
Virginia United SC (W)
Logan Lightning (W)
38%
23%
38%
3.42 expected goals · most likely total 3 goals
View analysis ↗
Australia Queensland Premier League 2
01/07, 12:30
Brisbane Knights
Souths United
33%
21%
46%
3.97 expected goals · most likely total 3 goals
View analysis ↗
Mongolia Premier League
01/07, 13:00
31%
20%
49%
4.5 expected goals · most likely total 4 goals
View analysis ↗
Mozambique Mocambola
01/07, 14:45
Ferroviario Beira
Clube Ferroviário de Nacala
47%
35%
19%
Recommendation: Under 1.75 goals · @2.00 · value +9.8% ⓘ
1.37 expected goals · most likely total 1 goals
View analysis ↗
Paraguay Division Intermedia
01/07, 15:00
Guairena FC
Deportivo Santaní
39%
31%
30%
2.05 expected goals · most likely total 2 goals
View analysis ↗
USA USL League Two
01/07, 17:00
Houston FC
Twin City Toucans
47%
24%
29%
3.54 expected goals · most likely total 3 goals
View analysis ↗
Latvia Virsliga
01/07, 17:00
Tukums 2000
SK Super Nova
44%
27%
30%
2.83 expected goals · most likely total 2 goals
View analysis ↗
Lithuania 1 Lyga
01/07, 17:00
12%
18%
70%
3.33 expected goals · most likely total 3 goals
View analysis ↗
Finland Kolmonen
01/07, 17:45
22%
22%
56%
Recommendation: Under 3.5 goals · @2.00 · value +6.1% ⓘ
3.17 expected goals · most likely total 3 goals
View analysis ↗
53%
23%
24%
Recommendation: Over 3 goals · @1.80 · value +7.6% ⓘ
3.95 expected goals · most likely total 3 goals
View analysis ↗
Lithuania 1 Lyga
01/07, 18:00
37%
28%
35%
2.52 expected goals · most likely total 2 goals
View analysis ↗
Finland Kolmonen
01/07, 18:00
64%
17%
19%
4.48 expected goals · most likely total 4 goals
View analysis ↗
Finland Kolmonen
01/07, 18:00
63%
18%
19%
3.96 expected goals · most likely total 3 goals
View analysis ↗
Finland Cup Women
01/07, 18:00
54%
23%
23%
2.64 expected goals · most likely total 2 goals
View analysis ↗
Georgia Super Cup
01/07, 18:00
37%
29%
34%
2.4 expected goals · most likely total 2 goals
View analysis ↗
Georgia Super Cup
01/07, 18:00
FC Iberia 1999
Torpedo Kutaisi
36%
31%
33%
Recommendation: Under 2.25 goals · @1.95 · value +7.7% ⓘ
1.86 expected goals · most likely total 1 goals
View analysis ↗
Paraguay Cup
01/07, 18:00
3 de Febrero FBC
Cristobal Colon JAS
45%
28%
27%
2.63 expected goals · most likely total 2 goals
View analysis ↗
Canada Premier League
01/07, 19:00
64%
24%
12%
Recommendation: Under 2.5 goals · @2.00 · value +7.2% ⓘ
2.16 expected goals · most likely total 2 goals
Both teams to score Yes 2.10 → 2.00 ▼ -4.8%
View analysis ↗
Sweden 1.div Södra
01/07, 19:00
Eskilsminne IF
Kristianstad FC
47%
25%
28%
3.09 expected goals · most likely total 3 goals
Both teams to score No 2.25 → 2.38 ▲ +5.6%
View analysis ↗
Sweden 2.div Norra Götaland
01/07, 19:30
Husqvarna FF
Lidköpings FK
75%
15%
10%
3.67 expected goals · most likely total 3 goals
View analysis ↗
Belarus Premier League
01/07, 19:30
Slavia Mozyr
Maxline Rogachev
38%
30%
32%
2.5 expected goals · most likely total 2 goals
View analysis ↗
Finland Kolmonen
01/07, 19:45
10%
14%
76%
Recommendation: Under 4.5 goals · @1.98 · value +6.2% ⓘ
4.07 expected goals · most likely total 4 goals
View analysis ↗
Brazil Campeonato Carioca A2
01/07, 19:45
23%
29%
48%
2.15 expected goals · most likely total 2 goals
View analysis ↗
Brazil Catarinense 2
01/07, 20:00
Blumenau EC
Juventus Jaragua Do Sul
71%
18%
11%
2.87 expected goals · most likely total 2 goals
View analysis ↗
Ecuador LigaPro Serie B
01/07, 20:00
Vinotinto Ecuador
Gualaceo SC
40%
32%
28%
Recommendation: Under 2 goals · @2.00 · value +6.1% ⓘ
1.84 expected goals · most likely total 1 goals
View analysis ↗
Northern Ireland Championship Women
01/07, 20:30
Ballymoney United (W)
Bangor FC (W)
18%
17%
66%
4.39 expected goals · most likely total 4 goals
View analysis ↗
Iceland 2 Deild
01/07, 21:15
59%
20%
21%
3.76 expected goals · most likely total 3 goals
View analysis ↗
Iceland 4 Deild
01/07, 21:15
16%
17%
67%
3.99 expected goals · most likely total 3 goals
View analysis ↗
Ecuador LigaPro Serie A
01/07, 22:00
Universidad Catolica del Ecuador
Mushuc Runa
58%
25%
17%
2.44 expected goals · most likely total 2 goals
View analysis ↗
Ecuador LigaPro Serie A
01/07, 22:00
Barcelona Guayaquil
Deportivo Cuenca
63%
24%
13%
2.54 expected goals · most likely total 2 goals
View analysis ↗
Ecuador LigaPro Serie A
01/07, 22:00
25%
30%
45%
2.11 expected goals · most likely total 2 goals
View analysis ↗
Ecuador LigaPro Serie A
01/07, 22:00
Club Atletico Libertad
Leones FC
44%
29%
27%
2.39 expected goals · most likely total 2 goals
View analysis ↗
Ecuador LigaPro Serie A
01/07, 22:00
Independiente del Valle
Manta FC
77%
17%
7%
2.77 expected goals · most likely total 2 goals
View analysis ↗
Ecuador LigaPro Serie A
01/07, 22:00
Orense
Tecnico Universitario
53%
28%
19%
2.28 expected goals · most likely total 2 goals
View analysis ↗
Ecuador LigaPro Serie A
01/07, 22:00
61%
25%
14%
2.31 expected goals · most likely total 2 goals
View analysis ↗
Canada Premier League
01/07, 22:00
HFX Wanderers
Atletico Ottawa
36%
28%
36%
2.86 expected goals · most likely total 2 goals
Both teams to score No 2.00 → 1.91 ▼ -4.5%
View analysis ↗
USA USL League Two
01/07, 22:00
Project 51O
San Francisco City FC
43%
25%
32%
3.26 expected goals · most likely total 3 goals
View analysis ↗
USA USL League Two
01/07, 23:00
New England FC
Vermont Green
23%
22%
55%
3.68 expected goals · most likely total 3 goals
View analysis ↗
USA USL League One
01/07, 23:30
Charlotte Independence
Corpus Christi FC
57%
23%
20%
3.21 expected goals · most likely total 3 goals
View analysis ↗
Ecuador LigaPro Serie A
02/07, 00:00
64%
24%
12%
2.42 expected goals · most likely total 2 goals
Both teams to score Yes 2.10 → 1.83 ▼ -12.7%
View analysis ↗
Deportes Limache
Coquimbo Unido
26%
27%
47%
3.02 expected goals · most likely total 3 goals
View analysis ↗
55%
26%
19%
2.64 expected goals · most likely total 2 goals
Both teams to score No 1.80 → 2.00 ▲ +11.1%
View analysis ↗
Universidad de Concepcion
Nublense
36%
28%
37%
2.89 expected goals · most likely total 2 goals
View analysis ↗
USA USL League Two
02/07, 00:00
Weston FC
Brevard Fire SC
48%
23%
29%
3.72 expected goals · most likely total 3 goals
View analysis ↗
USA USL League Two
02/07, 00:00
Staten Island ASC
New Jersey Copa
43%
24%
33%
3.47 expected goals · most likely total 3 goals
View analysis ↗
USA USL League Two
02/07, 00:00
Real Central NJ
Delaware FC
39%
23%
38%
3.72 expected goals · most likely total 3 goals
View analysis ↗
Brazil Catarinense 2
02/07, 00:30
20%
27%
54%
2.49 expected goals · most likely total 2 goals
View analysis ↗
USA USL League One
02/07, 01:00
Chattanooga Red Wolves
Westchester SC
56%
24%
21%
3.09 expected goals · most likely total 3 goals
View analysis ↗
USA USL League Two
02/07, 01:00
Connecticut Rush
AC Connecticut
60%
21%
18%
3.19 expected goals · most likely total 3 goals
View analysis ↗
USA USL League Two
02/07, 01:00
Virginia Beach Utd
Loudoun United FC II
74%
16%
11%
3.94 expected goals · most likely total 3 goals
View analysis ↗
USA USL League Two
02/07, 01:00
FC Miami City
Fort Lauderdale Utd
13%
18%
69%
3.32 expected goals · most likely total 3 goals
View analysis ↗
Ristozi FC
Grove Soccer United
72%
16%
13%
3.94 expected goals · most likely total 3 goals
View analysis ↗
USA USL League Two
02/07, 01:30
Charlottesville Blues
Bethesda SC
52%
24%
24%
3.12 expected goals · most likely total 3 goals
View analysis ↗
USA USL League Two
02/07, 01:30
Boston City FC
Seacoast United Phantoms
17%
19%
64%
4.08 expected goals · most likely total 4 goals
View analysis ↗
Alexandria Reds
FC Frederick
56%
21%
23%
3.71 expected goals · most likely total 3 goals
View analysis ↗
Ecuador LigaPro Serie A
02/07, 02:00
33%
32%
35%
1.98 expected goals · most likely total 1 goals
View analysis ↗
USA USL League Two
02/07, 02:00
60%
22%
18%
3.16 expected goals · most likely total 3 goals
View analysis ↗
USA USL League Two
02/07, 02:00
41%
24%
36%
3.68 expected goals · most likely total 3 goals
View analysis ↗
USA USL League Two
02/07, 02:30
Denton Diablos FC
West Texas FC
54%
22%
24%
3.67 expected goals · most likely total 3 goals
View analysis ↗
Universidad de Chile
Union La Calera
57%
24%
19%
2.94 expected goals · most likely total 2 goals
View analysis ↗
USA USL League One
02/07, 04:00
Spokane Velocity FC
Forward Madison FC
45%
28%
27%
2.48 expected goals · most likely total 2 goals
View analysis ↗
USA USL League Two
02/07, 04:00
Davis Legacy
Academica SC
43%
24%
33%
3.46 expected goals · most likely total 3 goals
View analysis ↗
USA USL League One
02/07, 04:30
Union Omaha
Antelope Valley Alta
54%
25%
21%
2.58 expected goals · most likely total 2 goals
View analysis ↗
USA USL League Two
02/07, 04:30
West Seattle Junction FC
Bigfoot FC
67%
18%
15%
3.8 expected goals · most likely total 3 goals
View analysis ↗
Australia Darwin Premier League
02/07, 11:00
Darwin Olympic
Port Darwin FC
28%
20%
52%
4.4 expected goals · most likely total 4 goals
View analysis ↗
Australia Darwin Premier League
02/07, 13:00
Palmerston Rovers FC
Garuda FC
64%
18%
18%
4.5 expected goals · most likely total 4 goals
View analysis ↗
Finland Kakkonen Group B
02/07, 17:30
16%
19%
65%
3.38 expected goals · most likely total 3 goals
View analysis ↗
Finland Kolmonen
02/07, 17:30
59%
20%
21%
3.74 expected goals · most likely total 3 goals
View analysis ↗
Finland Ykkonen Women
02/07, 17:30
34%
24%
42%
3.29 expected goals · most likely total 3 goals
View analysis ↗
Norway Division 1
02/07, 18:00
49%
26%
25%
Recommendation: Under 3 goals · @1.98 · value +8.3% ⓘ
2.59 expected goals · most likely total 2 goals
Over/Under 3 Under 1.80 → 1.98 ▲ +9.7%
View analysis ↗
Finland Kakkonen Group A
02/07, 18:00
41%
24%
36%
3.49 expected goals · most likely total 3 goals
View analysis ↗
Estonia Esiliiga
02/07, 18:00
46%
24%
30%
3.38 expected goals · most likely total 3 goals
View analysis ↗
Finland Kolmonen
02/07, 18:00
62%
18%
20%
4.39 expected goals · most likely total 4 goals
View analysis ↗
Finland Kolmonen
02/07, 18:00
57%
21%
22%
3.67 expected goals · most likely total 3 goals
View analysis ↗
Finland Kolmonen
02/07, 18:00
Nykarleby IK
Sporting Kristina
27%
21%
51%
3.67 expected goals · most likely total 3 goals
View analysis ↗
Finland Kolmonen
02/07, 18:00
14%
17%
69%
3.66 expected goals · most likely total 3 goals
View analysis ↗
Finland Kolmonen
02/07, 18:00
75%
14%
11%
4.04 expected goals · most likely total 4 goals
View analysis ↗
Finland Kolmonen
02/07, 18:15
Gnistan/Ogeli
FC Lahti II
32%
23%
45%
3.43 expected goals · most likely total 3 goals
View analysis ↗
Iceland Premier League
02/07, 19:00
Thor Akureyri
KR Reykjavik
13%
17%
71%
4.5 expected goals · most likely total 4 goals
Over/Under 4.5 Over 1.82 → 1.98 ▲ +8.6%
View analysis ↗
Finland Kolmonen
02/07, 19:00
Fish United
Ylojarvi United
27%
22%
51%
3.31 expected goals · most likely total 3 goals
View analysis ↗
Iceland Premier League
02/07, 21:15
Vikingur Reykjavik
KA Akureyri
77%
14%
10%
3.86 expected goals · most likely total 3 goals
Over/Under 4 Over 1.87 → 1.98 ▲ +5.7%
View analysis ↗
Iceland 1 Deild Women
02/07, 21:15
IA Akranes (W)
Grotta (W)
33%
23%
45%
3.74 expected goals · most likely total 3 goals
View analysis ↗
Iceland 3 Deild
02/07, 21:15
Ymir Kopavogur
KV Vesturbaer
46%
21%
33%
4.39 expected goals · most likely total 4 goals
View analysis ↗
Iceland 4 Deild
02/07, 21:15
70%
15%
15%
4.5 expected goals · most likely total 4 goals
View analysis ↗
Iceland 4 Deild
02/07, 21:15
Ulfarnir
Hamar Hveragerdi
16%
16%
67%
4.5 expected goals · most likely total 4 goals
View analysis ↗
Iceland 4 Deild
02/07, 22:00
IH Hafnarfjordur
Vaengir Jupiters
35%
20%
45%
4.5 expected goals · most likely total 4 goals
View analysis ↗
Huachipato
Deportes Concepcion
51%
27%
22%
2.52 expected goals · most likely total 2 goals
Both teams to score No 2.25 → 1.91 ▼ -15.2%
View analysis ↗
Brazil Serie B
03/07, 01:00
51%
29%
19%
2.15 expected goals · most likely total 2 goals
Over/Under 2 Under 1.86 → 1.95 ▲ +4.7%
View analysis ↗
USA USL Championship
03/07, 02:00
Birmingham Legion FC
Detroit City FC
33%
28%
40%
2.75 expected goals · most likely total 2 goals
Both teams to score No 2.10 → 2.00 ▼ -4.8%
View analysis ↗
Brazil Serie B
03/07, 02:00
70%
20%
10%
2.68 expected goals · most likely total 2 goals
Over/Under 2.75 Over 1.83 → 1.98 ▲ +8.2%
View analysis ↗
USA USL League One
03/07, 03:30
AC Boise
One Knoxville SC
39%
27%
34%
2.86 expected goals · most likely total 2 goals
View analysis ↗
China Super League
03/07, 14:00
38%
27%
35%
2.89 expected goals · most likely total 2 goals
Both teams to score No 2.50 → 2.63 ▲ +5%
View analysis ↗
Estonia Esiliiga
03/07, 16:00
JK Tallinna Kalev
Maardu Linnameeskond
51%
23%
26%
3.23 expected goals · most likely total 3 goals
View analysis ↗
Finland Ykkosliiga
03/07, 17:30
47%
29%
24%
2.15 expected goals · most likely total 2 goals
Over/Under 2.25 Over 1.75 → 1.90 ▲ +8.5%
View analysis ↗
Finland Ykkosliiga
03/07, 17:30
49%
27%
24%
2.4 expected goals · most likely total 2 goals
Over/Under 2.75 Under 1.91 → 1.95 ▲ +2.1%
View analysis ↗
Norway Division 1
03/07, 18:00
38%
25%
37%
3.38 expected goals · most likely total 3 goals
Over/Under 3.25 Over 1.87 → 2.02 ▲ +8.3%
View analysis ↗
Norway Division 1
03/07, 18:00
58%
20%
22%
4.08 expected goals · most likely total 4 goals
Over/Under 3.5 Under 1.83 → 2.00 ▲ +9.5%
View analysis ↗