Football · Dominica Premier League · 02/07, 01:00
Promex Harlem United SC vs We United FC
Expected goals: 3.69 (Promex Harlem United SC 1.59 · We United FC 2.1). The model gives 28% home, 23% draw, 49% away. Over 3.5 goals (50%) and both teams to score (60%). Most likely score: 1-1.
49%2
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Promex Harlem United SC 1471 · We United FC 1465
| Promex Harlem United SC | Draw | We United FC | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 28% | 23% | 49% |
| Market | 28% | 24% | 48% |
Estimated total (ours)
3.69 goals · Bet365 line 3.5 · +0.2
The bar above blends our model with the market. The value bets mark where the odds cover the model probability with a margin (value).
Model analysis
Expected goals3.69Promex Harlem United SC 1.59 · We United FC 2.1
Over / Under 3.5Over 3.5 · 50%
BTTSYes · 60%
Most likely total3 goals
1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 54%model estimate
Match keys
- H2H favours Promex Harlem United SC: 3-0-2.
- Cards-heavy: 6.8 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Promex Harlem United SC | We United FC | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 1.1 / 2.1 | 2 / 2.5 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.6 / 0.9 | 1.1 / 1.3 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 40/20/40% | 40/20/40% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 1.8 / 3.5 | 3.3 / 5.5 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 3.2 / 0.4 | 3.6 / 0.1 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Promex Harlem United SC 3–0–2 We United FC
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 21/06/25 Dominica Premier League | We United FC | 7-0 HT 5-0 | Promex Harlem United SC |
| 19/05/25 Dominica Premier League | Promex Harlem United SC | 3-2 HT 1-2 | We United FC |
| 19/08/23 Dominica Premier League | Promex Harlem United SC | 2-3 HT 2-2 | We United FC |
| 19/03/23 Dominica Premier League | Promex Harlem United SC | 2-1 HT 0-1 | We United FC |
| 09/05/21 Dominica Premier League | Promex Harlem United SC | 3-1 HT 1-0 | We United FC |
Common opponents 7 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Promex Harlem United SC | We United FC |
|---|---|---|
| Mahaut Soca Strikers | 0-2 L | 2-4 L |
| Portsmouth Bombers | 4-2 W | 2-3 L |
| Middleham United FC | 1-2 L | 2-1 W |
| Sagicor South East FC | 0-1 L | 2-6 L |
| Bath Estate | 3-2 W | 3-1 W |
| Dublanc FC | 0-5 L | 1-3 L |
| Mighty Avengers | 2-1 W | 1-1 D |
| Record vs common | 3 W 0 D 4 L | 2 W 1 D 4 L |
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Promex Harlem United SC
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15/06 | Mahaut Soca Strikers Dominica Premier League |
0-0 | 0-2 | 2 | 5 | L |
| 07/06 | Portsmouth Bombers Dominica Premier League |
1-0 | 4-2 | 4 | 3 | W |
| 30/05 | Middleham United FC Dominica Premier League |
0-2 | 1-2 | 6 | 1 | L |
| 24/05 | Sagicor South East FC Dominica Premier League |
0-0 | 0-1 | 2 | 5 | L |
| 16/05 | Bath Estate Dominica Premier League |
2-1 | 3-2 | 6 | 7 | W |
| 09/05 | Pointe Michel FC Dominica Premier League |
0-1 | 0-3 | 1 | 7 | L |
| 03/05 | Dublanc FC Dominica Premier League |
0-3 | 0-5 | 5 | 5 | L |
| 25/04 | Mighty Avengers Dominica Premier League |
1-0 | 2-1 | 5 | 0 | W |
| 27/08 | Middleham United FC Dominica Premier League |
2-0 | 1-0 | 3 | 3 | W |
| 09/08 | Sagicor South East FC Dominica Premier League |
0-2 | 0-3 | 1 | 0 | L |
We United FC
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14/06 | Sagicor South East FC Dominica Premier League |
2-2 | 2-6 | 7 | 3 | L |
| 08/06 | Dublanc FC Dominica Premier League |
0-2 | 1-3 | 3 | 4 | L |
| 31/05 | Mahaut Soca Strikers Dominica Premier League |
0-2 | 2-4 | 10 | 2 | L |
| 23/05 | Portsmouth Bombers Dominica Premier League |
2-1 | 2-3 | 2 | 3 | L |
| 18/05 | Mighty Avengers Dominica Premier League |
1-1 | 1-1 | 5 | 1 | D |
| 14/05 | Bath Estate Dominica Premier League |
1-0 | 3-1 | 10 | 2 | W |
| 09/05 | Middleham United FC Dominica Premier League |
2-0 | 2-1 | 4 | 7 | W |
| 23/11 | Dublanc FC Dominica President Cup |
0-3 | 1-4 | 5 | 6 | L |
| 20/10 | Sagicor South East FC Dominica President Cup |
0-1 | 2-1 | 5 | 4 | W |
| 13/10 | Mahaut Soca Strikers Dominica President Cup |
3-1 | 4-1 | 4 | 5 | W |