Football · Paraguay Cup · 01/07, 18:00
3 de Febrero FBC vs Cristobal Colon JAS
Expected goals: 2.63 (3 de Febrero FBC 1.5 · Cristobal Colon JAS 1.13). The model gives 45% home, 28% draw, 27% away. Under 2.5 goals (51%) and both teams to score (53%). Most likely score: 1-1.
45%1
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · 3 de Febrero FBC 1488 · Cristobal Colon JAS 1523
| 3 de Febrero FBC | Draw | Cristobal Colon JAS | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 45% | 28% | 27% |
| Market | 45% | 28% | 28% |
Estimated total (ours)
2.63 goals · Bet365 line 2.5
The bar above blends our model with the market. The value bets mark where the odds cover the model probability with a margin (value).
Model analysis
Expected goals2.633 de Febrero FBC 1.5 · Cristobal Colon JAS 1.13
Over / Under 2.5Under 2.5 · 51%
BTTSYes · 53%
Most likely total2 goals
1st-half goalsUnder 1.5 · 59%model estimate
Match keys
- H2H favours 3 de Febrero FBC: 2-1-0.
- Cards-heavy: 9.8 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| 3 de Febrero FBC | Cristobal Colon JAS | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 0.8 / 1.4 | 1.5 / 1.1 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.6 / 0.9 | 0.9 / 0.6 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 33/0/67% | 40/50/10% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 2 / 3 | 1.5 / 3.5 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 5.9 / 0.6 | 3.9 / 0.6 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · 3 de Febrero FBC 2–1–0 Cristobal Colon JAS
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 10/09/25 Paraguay Tercera Division | Cristobal Colon JAS | 0-2 HT 0-0 | 3 de Febrero FBC |
| 21/05/25 Paraguay Tercera Division | 3 de Febrero FBC | 2-2 HT 1-1 | Cristobal Colon JAS |
| 31/08/24 Paraguay Tercera Division | Cristobal Colon JAS | 0-1 HT 0-0 | 3 de Febrero FBC |
Common opponents 5 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | 3 de Febrero FBC | Cristobal Colon JAS |
|---|---|---|
| Silvio Pettirossi | 0-1 L | 2-2 D |
| Presidente Hayes | 0-2 L | 3-1 W |
| Club Sport Colombia | 0-2 L | 1-1 D |
| 29 de Septiembre FBC | 2-1 W | 0-0 D |
| 12 de Octubre | 0-3 L | 1-1 D |
| Record vs common | 1 W 0 D 4 L | 1 W 4 D 0 L |
Better against common opponents: Cristobal Colon JAS (4 of 5 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
3 de Febrero FBC
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28/06 | Sportivo Iteno Paraguay Tercera Division |
1-0 | 1-0 | 5 | 7 | W |
| 05/06 | Silvio Pettirossi Paraguay Tercera Division |
0-1 | 0-1 | 7 | 5 | L |
| 30/05 | River Plate Asuncion Paraguay Tercera Division |
0-1 | 0-3 | 2 | 7 | L |
| 20/05 | Presidente Hayes Paraguay Tercera Division |
0-2 | 0-2 | 3 | 9 | L |
| 03/05 | Atletico Colegiales Paraguay Tercera Division |
2-0 | 2-0 | 2 | 8 | W |
| 29/04 | 12 De Octubre San Domingo Paraguay Tercera Division |
– | 3-1 | – | – | W |
| 25/04 | Club Sport Colombia Paraguay Tercera Division |
0-1 | 0-2 | 2 | 6 | L |
| 18/04 | 29 de Septiembre FBC Paraguay Tercera Division |
2-0 | 2-1 | 3 | 9 | W |
| 10/04 | 12 de Octubre Paraguay Tercera Division |
0-2 | 0-3 | 3 | 4 | L |
| 15/11 | Presidente Hayes Paraguay Tercera Division |
0-1 | 0-1 | 0 | 3 | L |
Cristobal Colon JAS
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28/06 | Silvio Pettirossi Paraguay Tercera Division |
1-1 | 2-2 | 7 | 1 | D |
| 31/05 | Presidente Hayes Paraguay Tercera Division |
2-1 | 3-1 | 0 | 12 | W |
| 20/05 | Club 1 de Marzo Pilar Paraguay Tercera Division |
1-1 | 2-1 | 6 | 4 | W |
| 02/05 | Club Sport Colombia Paraguay Tercera Division |
1-0 | 1-1 | 3 | 6 | D |
| 29/04 | 29 de Septiembre FBC Paraguay Tercera Division |
0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 4 | D |
| 24/04 | 12 de Octubre Paraguay Tercera Division |
1-1 | 1-1 | 7 | 6 | D |
| 17/04 | 24 de Setiembre Paraguay Tercera Division |
0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 2 | D |
| 10/04 | Atlantida SC Paraguay Tercera Division |
2-1 | 3-2 | 2 | 3 | W |
| 15/11 | Atlantida SC Paraguay Tercera Division |
1-0 | 1-2 | 3 | 3 | L |
| 09/11 | Club General Martin Ledesma Paraguay Tercera Division |
0-1 | 2-1 | 3 | 4 | W |