Football · Morocco GNF 1 · 02/07, 19:00
Renaissance Zemamra vs FUS Rabat
Expected goals: 2.24 (Renaissance Zemamra 1.42 · FUS Rabat 0.83). The model gives 50% home, 30% draw, 21% away. Over 2 goals (53%) and not both to score (51%). Most likely score: 1-0.
50%1
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Renaissance Zemamra 1468 · FUS Rabat 1515
| Renaissance Zemamra | Draw | FUS Rabat | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 50% | 30% | 21% |
| Market | 50% | 30% | 21% |
Estimated total (ours)
2.24 goals · Bet365 line 2 · +0.2
The bar above blends our model with the market. The value bets mark where the odds cover the model probability with a margin (value).
Model analysis
Expected goals2.24Renaissance Zemamra 1.42 · FUS Rabat 0.83
Over / Under 2Over 2 · 53%
BTTSNo · 51%
Most likely total2 goals
1st-half goalsUnder 1.5 · 71%model estimate
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours FUS Rabat (rating 1468 vs 1515).
- Cards-heavy: 9.1 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Renaissance Zemamra | FUS Rabat | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 1 / 1.2 | 1.1 / 0.9 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.4 / 0.6 | 0.4 / 0.6 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 11/67/22% | 33/33/33% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 2.7 / 5.4 | 2 / 4.3 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 3.8 / 0.1 | 5.3 / 0.2 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Renaissance Zemamra 3–0–3 FUS Rabat
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 01/03/26 Morocco GNF 1 | FUS Rabat | 3-2 HT 2-0 | Renaissance Zemamra |
| 28/02/25 Morocco GNF 1 | FUS Rabat | 3-0 HT 1-0 | Renaissance Zemamra |
| 27/10/24 Morocco GNF 1 | Renaissance Zemamra | 3-1 HT 2-1 | FUS Rabat |
| 28/04/24 Morocco GNF 1 | FUS Rabat | 0-2 HT 0-0 | Renaissance Zemamra |
| 17/12/23 Morocco GNF 1 | Renaissance Zemamra | 1-2 HT 1-1 | FUS Rabat |
| 13/07/21 Morocco GNF 1 | Renaissance Zemamra | 1-0 HT 0-0 | FUS Rabat |
Standings · Morocco GNF 1
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | MAS Fes | 28 | 15 | 10 | 3 | 38 | 17 | 55 |
| 2 | FAR Rabat | 28 | 13 | 15 | 0 | 43 | 19 | 54 |
| 3 | RSB Berkane | 28 | 14 | 9 | 5 | 39 | 26 | 51 |
| 4 | Raja Casablanca | 28 | 14 | 8 | 6 | 35 | 19 | 50 |
| 5 | WAC Casablanca | 28 | 13 | 4 | 11 | 38 | 29 | 43 |
| 6 | Difaa El Jadida | 28 | 9 | 12 | 7 | 27 | 29 | 39 |
| 7 | FUS Rabat | 28 | 9 | 9 | 10 | 30 | 34 | 36 |
| 8 | Ittihad Tanger | 28 | 8 | 12 | 8 | 25 | 29 | 36 |
| 9 | KACM Marrakesh | 28 | 8 | 10 | 10 | 26 | 25 | 34 |
| 10 | CODM Meknes | 28 | 8 | 9 | 11 | 20 | 29 | 33 |
| 11 | HUSA Agadir | 28 | 8 | 8 | 12 | 26 | 36 | 32 |
| 12 | Renaissance Zemamra | 28 | 8 | 7 | 13 | 27 | 36 | 31 |
| 13 | Olympique Dcheira | 28 | 7 | 8 | 13 | 28 | 37 | 29 |
| 14 | US Yacoub El Mansour | 28 | 6 | 8 | 14 | 31 | 42 | 26 |
| 15 | Union de Touarga | 28 | 4 | 13 | 11 | 29 | 39 | 25 |
| 16 | OC Safi | 28 | 3 | 12 | 13 | 23 | 39 | 21 |
Common opponents 4 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Renaissance Zemamra | FUS Rabat |
|---|---|---|
| HUSA Agadir | 1-1 D | 0-0 D |
| OC Safi | 1-1 D | 1-1 D |
| RSB Berkane | 0-1 L | 2-1 W |
| Olympique Dcheira | 0-0 D | 0-2 L |
| Record vs common | 0 W 3 D 1 L | 1 W 2 D 1 L |
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Renaissance Zemamra
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28/06 | HUSA Agadir Morocco GNF 1 |
0-1 | 1-1 | 4 | 2 | D |
| 25/06 | OC Safi Morocco GNF 1 |
0-0 | 1-1 | 5 | 5 | D |
| 21/06 | Ittihad Tanger Morocco GNF 1 |
0-0 | 0-1 | 4 | 4 | L |
| 17/06 | Raja Casablanca Morocco GNF 1 |
2-2 | 3-4 | 6 | 5 | L |
| 12/06 | CODM Meknes Morocco GNF 1 |
1-0 | 2-1 | 5 | 3 | W |
| 09/06 | Union de Touarga Morocco GNF 1 |
0-1 | 0-1 | 7 | 5 | L |
| 03/06 | US Yacoub El Mansour Morocco GNF 1 |
1-1 | 2-1 | 6 | 4 | W |
| 24/05 | RSB Berkane Morocco GNF 1 |
0-0 | 0-1 | 5 | 4 | L |
| 17/05 | Wydad Serghini Morocco Cup |
– | 1-1 | – | – | D |
| 11/05 | Olympique Dcheira Morocco GNF 1 |
0-0 | 0-0 | 7 | 3 | D |
FUS Rabat
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28/06 | RSB Berkane Morocco GNF 1 |
1-0 | 2-1 | 3 | 6 | W |
| 25/06 | KACM Marrakesh Morocco GNF 1 |
0-2 | 0-2 | 4 | 4 | L |
| 21/06 | Olympique Dcheira Morocco GNF 1 |
0-1 | 0-2 | 13 | 4 | L |
| 18/06 | WAC Casablanca Morocco GNF 1 |
1-0 | 2-1 | 6 | 4 | W |
| 12/06 | MAS Fes Morocco GNF 1 |
1-0 | 1-1 | 5 | 11 | D |
| 08/06 | Difaa El Jadida Morocco GNF 1 |
0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 5 | D |
| 04/06 | HUSA Agadir Morocco GNF 1 |
0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 4 | D |
| 30/05 | FAR Rabat Morocco GNF 1 |
1-1 | 1-1 | 0 | 8 | D |
| 16/05 | Rachad Bernoussi Morocco Cup |
– | 4-0 | – | – | W |
| 11/05 | OC Safi Morocco GNF 1 |
0-1 | 1-1 | 2 | 4 | D |