Football · Morocco GNF 1 · 02/07, 19:00

RSB Berkane vs WAC Casablanca

Expected goals: 2.11 (RSB Berkane 1.46 · WAC Casablanca 0.64). The model gives 56% home, 28% draw, 16% away. Under 2.25 goals (55%) and not both to score (53%). Most likely score: 1-0.

56%1

56% 28% 16%

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · RSB Berkane 1535 · WAC Casablanca 1474

	RSB Berkane	Draw	WAC Casablanca
Our model	56%	29%	15%
Market	57%	27%	16%

Estimated total (ours) 2.11 goals · Bet365 line 2.25

The bar above blends our model with the market. The value bets mark where the odds cover the model probability with a margin (value).

Model analysis

Expected goals2.11RSB Berkane 1.46 · WAC Casablanca 0.64

Over / Under 2.25Under 2.25 · 55%

BTTSNo · 53%

Most likely total2 goals

1st-half goalsUnder 1.5 · 72%model estimate

Match keys

Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours RSB Berkane (rating 1535 vs 1474).
H2H favours WAC Casablanca: 2-3-1.
Cards-heavy: 9.3 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	RSB Berkane	WAC Casablanca
Goals for / against (FT)	1.2 / 0.7	1.1 / 1.3
Goals for / against (HT)	0.8 / 0.3	0.3 / 0.7
Half-time result (W/D/L)	40/50/10%	10/40/50%
Corners (HT / FT)	1.7 / 3.1	1.1 / 4.6
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	4.7 / 0.4	4.6 / 0.2

Odds Bet365

11.57

X3.30

25.50

Handicap ⓘ

1 (-0.75)1.85

2 (+0.75)1.95

Line ⓘ

Over 2.252.02

Under 2.251.77

Diff.: 0.1 · xG: 2.15

View on Bet365 ↗

Market movement

How Bet365's odds have moved from when the line opened until now. It's market data, not a recommendation.

1X2

1 1.57 → 1.57 – 0%

X 3.30 → 3.30 – 0%

2 5.50 → 5.50 – 0%

Over/Under 2.25

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Both teams to score

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Head-to-head (H2H) · RSB Berkane 1–3–2 WAC Casablanca

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Date	Home	Score	Away
01/03/26 Morocco GNF 1	WAC Casablanca	1-0 HT 0-0	RSB Berkane
28/02/25 Morocco GNF 1	RSB Berkane	0-0 HT 0-0	WAC Casablanca
26/10/24 Morocco GNF 1	WAC Casablanca	0-1 HT 0-0	RSB Berkane
17/02/24 Morocco GNF 1	WAC Casablanca	1-0 HT 0-0	RSB Berkane
24/09/23 Morocco GNF 1	RSB Berkane	0-0 HT 0-0	WAC Casablanca
07/03/23 Morocco GNF 1	RSB Berkane	3-3 HT 1-1	WAC Casablanca

Standings · Morocco GNF 1

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	MAS Fes	28	15	10	3	38	17	55
2	FAR Rabat	28	13	15	0	43	19	54
3	RSB Berkane	28	14	9	5	39	26	51
4	Raja Casablanca	28	14	8	6	35	19	50
5	WAC Casablanca	28	13	4	11	38	29	43
6	Difaa El Jadida	28	9	12	7	27	29	39
7	FUS Rabat	28	9	9	10	30	34	36
8	Ittihad Tanger	28	8	12	8	25	29	36
9	KACM Marrakesh	28	8	10	10	26	25	34
10	CODM Meknes	28	8	9	11	20	29	33
11	HUSA Agadir	28	8	8	12	26	36	32
12	Renaissance Zemamra	28	8	7	13	27	36	31
13	Olympique Dcheira	28	7	8	13	28	37	29
14	US Yacoub El Mansour	28	6	8	14	31	42	26
15	Union de Touarga	28	4	13	11	29	39	25
16	OC Safi	28	3	12	13	23	39	21

Common opponents 7 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	RSB Berkane	WAC Casablanca
FUS Rabat	1-2 L	1-2 L
FAR Rabat	2-2 D	1-2 L
MAS Fes	2-1 W	0-1 L
OC Safi	0-0 D	1-0 W
HUSA Agadir	0-1 L	3-2 W
Ittihad Tanger	1-0 W	1-2 L
Raja Casablanca	1-0 W	1-0 W
Record vs common	3 W 2 D 2 L	3 W 0 D 4 L

Better against common opponents: RSB Berkane (3 of 7 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

League

RSB Berkane

WWWWWLDWDL

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
28/06	FUS Rabat Morocco GNF 1	0-1	1-2	4	6	L
25/06	FAR Rabat Morocco GNF 1	1-1	2-2	7	6	D
21/06	MAS Fes Morocco GNF 1	2-1	2-1	2	8	W
18/06	OC Safi Morocco GNF 1	0-0	0-0	3	2	D
14/06	HUSA Agadir Morocco GNF 1	0-0	0-1	4	1	L
08/06	Ittihad Tanger Morocco GNF 1	1-0	1-0	1	3	W
03/06	Raja Casablanca Morocco GNF 1	0-0	1-0	0	7	W
24/05	Renaissance Zemamra Morocco GNF 1	0-0	1-0	5	4	W
16/05	WAF Widad Fes Morocco Cup	3-0	3-1	4	4	W
10/05	CODM Meknes Morocco GNF 1	1-0	1-0	1	10	W

WAC Casablanca

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
28/06	Olympique Dcheira Morocco GNF 1	1-2	1-3	6	3	L
25/06	MAS Fes Morocco GNF 1	0-1	0-1	4	6	L
21/06	Difaa El Jadida Morocco GNF 1	0-1	0-1	0	5	L
18/06	FUS Rabat Morocco GNF 1	0-1	1-2	4	4	L
14/06	FAR Rabat Morocco GNF 1	0-1	1-2	6	4	L
08/06	OC Safi Morocco GNF 1	0-0	1-0	3	6	W
03/06	Ittihad Tanger Morocco GNF 1	0-0	1-2	6	5	L
23/05	HUSA Agadir Morocco GNF 1	1-1	3-2	6	6	W
17/05	Raja Beni Mellal Morocco Cup	0-0	2-0	7	5	W
09/05	Raja Casablanca Morocco GNF 1	1-0	1-0	4	4	W