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Football · Mozambique Mocambola · 01/07, 14:45

Ferroviario Beira vs Clube Ferroviário de Nacala

Expected goals: 1.37 (Ferroviario Beira 0.92 · Clube Ferroviário de Nacala 0.45). The model gives 47% home, 35% draw, 19% away. Under 1.75 goals (57%) and not both to score (59%). Most likely score: 0-0.

47%1
47% 35% 19%
Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Ferroviario Beira 1532 · Clube Ferroviário de Nacala 1573
Ferroviario BeiraDrawClube Ferroviário de Nacala
Our model44%39%16%
Market48%31%21%
Estimated total (ours) 1.37 goals · Bet365 line 1.75 · -0.4

The bar above blends our model with the market. The value bets mark where the odds cover the model probability with a margin (value).

Model analysis
Expected goals1.37Ferroviario Beira 0.92 · Clube Ferroviário de Nacala 0.45
Over / Under 1.75Under 1.75 · 57%
BTTSNo · 59%
Most likely total1 goals
1st-half goalsUnder 1.5 · 85%model estimate

Match keys

  • Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Clube Ferroviário de Nacala (rating 1532 vs 1573).
  • Cards-heavy: 6.3 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

Ferroviario BeiraClube Ferroviário de Nacala
Goals for / against (FT)1 / 0.41.1 / 0.2
Goals for / against (HT)0.7 / 00.3 / 0
Half-time result (W/D/L)60/40/0%20/80/0%
Corners (HT / FT)2.3 / 6.10 / 2
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)4.3 / 0.32 / 0

Head-to-head (H2H) · Ferroviario Beira 1–0–1 Clube Ferroviário de Nacala

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DateHomeScoreAway
19/10/25
Mozambique Mocambola
Clube Ferroviário de Nacala1-0
HT 1-0
Ferroviario Beira
27/06/25
Mozambique Mocambola
Ferroviario Beira1-0
HT 1-0
Clube Ferroviário de Nacala

Standings · Mozambique Mocambola

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#Team PWDL GFGAPts
1 Ferroviario Beira 8440 9316
2 Black Bulls 8350 10314
3 UD Songo 8341 9813
4 Clube Ferroviário de Nacala 6330 6212
5 Costa Do Sol 8332 10712
6 Ferroviario Lichinga 6321 6411
7 Ferroviario de Nampula 6312 81010
8 LD Sofala 8242 4710
9 Vilankulo FC 7151 868
10 Ferroviario Maputo 8224 358
11 AD Pemba 5212 447
12 CD Maxaquene 8035 3103
13 Chingale de Tete 8035 183
14 Baía de Pemba F.C 6024 372

Common opponents 4 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

OpponentFerroviario BeiraClube Ferroviário de Nacala
Ferroviario de Nampula 2-2 D 3-1 W
Costa Do Sol 1-0 W 0-0 D
Chingale de Tete 2-1 W 1-0 W
LD Sofala 0-0 D 0-0 D
Record vs common 2 W 2 D 0 L 2 W 2 D 0 L

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Ferroviario Beira

LWDWWWDDWD

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Date Opponent HT FT Cor.Cards Res.
28/06 Ferroviario de Nampula
Mozambique Mocambola
 1-0 2-2 154 D
21/06 Ferroviario Maputo
Mozambique Mocambola
 1-0 1-0 45 W
17/06 Black Bulls
Mozambique Mocambola
 0-0 0-0 25 D
21/05 CD Maxaquene
Mozambique Mocambola
 0-0 0-0 92 D
17/05 Costa Do Sol
Mozambique Mocambola
 1-0 1-0 –– W
14/05 Chingale de Tete
Mozambique Mocambola
 1-0 2-1 –– W
10/05 UD Songo
Mozambique Mocambola
 2-0 3-0 48 W
03/05 LD Sofala
Mozambique Mocambola
 0-0 0-0 –– D
07/12 GDRT Textafrica
Mozambique Mocambola
 1-0 1-0 73 W
22/11 UD Songo
Mozambique Mocambola
 0-0 0-1 25 L

Clube Ferroviário de Nacala

DWWWWWWDDD

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Date Opponent HT FT Cor.Cards Res.
29/06 LD Sofala
Mozambique Mocambola
 0-0 0-0 –– D
20/06 Ferroviario Lichinga
Mozambique Mocambola
 0-0 0-0 –– D
23/05 Vilankulo FC
Mozambique Mocambola
 0-0 1-1 –– D
14/05 Baía de Pemba F.C
Mozambique Mocambola
 0-0 1-0 –– W
11/05 Baía de Pemba F.C
Mozambique Mocambola
 0-0 1-0 –– W
11/05 AD Pemba
Mozambique Mocambola
 0-0 1-0 –– W
03/05 Ferroviario de Nampula
Mozambique Mocambola
 2-0 3-1 –– W
30/11 Chingale de Tete
Mozambique Mocambola
 0-0 1-0 –– W
23/11 Desportivo Da Matola
Mozambique Mocambola
 1-0 3-0 –– W
12/11 Costa Do Sol
Mozambique Mocambola
 0-0 0-0 22 D