Football · Belarus Premier League · 02/07, 19:00
FC Minsk vs Dinamo Minsk
Expected goals: 2.62 (FC Minsk 1.33 · Dinamo Minsk 1.29). The model gives 37% home, 29% draw, 35% away. Under 2.5 goals (52%) and both teams to score (54%). Most likely score: 1-1.
37%1
Model analysis
Expected goals2.62FC Minsk 1.33 · Dinamo Minsk 1.29
Over / Under 2.5Under 2.5 · 52%
BTTSYes · 54%
Most likely total2 goals
1st-half goalsUnder 1.5 · 68%model estimate
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Dinamo Minsk (rating 1517 vs 1566).
- H2H favours Dinamo Minsk: 4-1-1.
- Cards-heavy: 6.5 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| FC Minsk | Dinamo Minsk | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 1.6 / 1.4 | 1.7 / 0.9 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.6 / 0.7 | 0.6 / 0.4 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 30/30/40% | 30/50/20% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | – / 2.9 | – / 4.6 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 2.7 / 0.1 | 3.8 / 0 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · FC Minsk 1–1–4 Dinamo Minsk
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 14/09/25 Belarus Premier League | FC Minsk | 2-1 HT 1-1 | Dinamo Minsk |
| 27/04/25 Belarus Premier League | Dinamo Minsk | 4-1 HT 1-1 | FC Minsk |
| 24/09/24 Belarus Premier League | Dinamo Minsk | 2-0 HT 1-0 | FC Minsk |
| 08/06/24 Club Friendly List | Dinamo Minsk | 4-0 HT 3-0 | FC Minsk |
| 31/03/24 Belarus Premier League | FC Minsk | 0-0 HT 0-0 | Dinamo Minsk |
| 21/10/23 Belarus Premier League | Dinamo Minsk | 1-0 HT 1-0 | FC Minsk |
Standings · Belarus Premier League
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Dinamo Minsk | 13 | 9 | 3 | 1 | 23 | 12 | 30 |
| 2 | Maxline Rogachev | 13 | 8 | 4 | 1 | 26 | 11 | 28 |
| 3 | Isloch | 13 | 7 | 4 | 2 | 22 | 10 | 25 |
| 4 | Torpedo Zhodino | 13 | 6 | 5 | 2 | 23 | 10 | 23 |
| 5 | FK Gomel | 13 | 6 | 4 | 3 | 19 | 12 | 22 |
| 6 | Neman Grodno | 13 | 6 | 2 | 5 | 15 | 13 | 20 |
| 7 | FC Minsk | 13 | 5 | 4 | 4 | 19 | 16 | 19 |
| 8 | Dinamo Brest | 13 | 5 | 3 | 5 | 16 | 12 | 18 |
| 9 | FK Arsenal Dzyarzhynsk | 13 | 4 | 6 | 3 | 17 | 18 | 18 |
| 10 | Slavia Mozyr | 13 | 3 | 6 | 4 | 11 | 14 | 15 |
| 11 | FC Vitebsk | 13 | 3 | 5 | 5 | 12 | 16 | 14 |
| 12 | FC Baranovichi | 13 | 3 | 3 | 7 | 13 | 25 | 12 |
| 13 | Dnepr Mogilev | 13 | 2 | 5 | 6 | 11 | 19 | 11 |
| 14 | Belshina Bobruisk | 13 | 3 | 1 | 9 | 12 | 25 | 10 |
| 15 | BATE Borisov | 13 | 1 | 6 | 6 | 9 | 16 | 9 |
| 16 | Naftan Novopolotsk | 13 | 1 | 3 | 9 | 8 | 27 | 6 |
Common opponents 4 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | FC Minsk | Dinamo Minsk |
|---|---|---|
| Dinamo Brest | 0-0 D | 2-1 W |
| Maxline Rogachev | 2-2 D | 2-3 L |
| BATE Borisov | 1-0 W | 0-0 D |
| FC Vitebsk | 0-2 L | 1-1 D |
| Record vs common | 1 W 2 D 1 L | 1 W 2 D 1 L |
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
FC Minsk
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27/06 | Dinamo Brest Belarus Premier League |
0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 2 | D |
| 21/06 | Maxline Rogachev Belarus Premier League |
1-1 | 2-2 | 4 | 7 | D |
| 13/06 | FC Baranovichi Belarus Premier League |
1-0 | 1-2 | 3 | 3 | L |
| 29/05 | Isloch Belarus Premier League |
0-1 | 1-1 | 1 | 3 | D |
| 23/05 | Torpedo Zhodino Belarus Premier League |
0-2 | 0-3 | 3 | 1 | L |
| 15/05 | Belshina Bobruisk Belarus Premier League |
2-0 | 5-1 | 2 | 0 | W |
| 09/05 | Slavia Mozyr Belarus Premier League |
0-1 | 2-1 | 5 | 4 | W |
| 01/05 | Naftan Novopolotsk Belarus Premier League |
2-1 | 4-2 | 5 | 0 | W |
| 24/04 | BATE Borisov Belarus Premier League |
0-0 | 1-0 | 0 | 8 | W |
| 18/04 | FC Vitebsk Belarus Premier League |
0-1 | 0-2 | 4 | 0 | L |
Dinamo Minsk
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27/06 | FC Vitebsk Belarus Premier League |
1-1 | 1-1 | 7 | 3 | D |
| 21/06 | Neman Grodno Belarus Premier League |
1-0 | 3-1 | 2 | 1 | W |
| 17/06 | FC Slutsk Belarus Cup |
0-0 | 2-0 | 8 | 4 | W |
| 13/06 | FK Gomel Belarus Premier League |
2-0 | 2-1 | 2 | 8 | W |
| 30/05 | FK Arsenal Dzyarzhynsk Belarus Premier League |
0-0 | 1-0 | 6 | 3 | W |
| 24/05 | Dnepr Mogilev Belarus Premier League |
0-1 | 3-1 | 6 | 6 | W |
| 20/05 | BATE Borisov Belarus Premier League |
0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 2 | D |
| 16/05 | BATE Borisov Belarus Cup |
1-0 | 1-1 | – | – | D |
| 10/05 | Dinamo Brest Belarus Premier League |
0-0 | 2-1 | 2 | 3 | W |
| 03/05 | Maxline Rogachev Belarus Premier League |
1-2 | 2-3 | 4 | 4 | L |

