Football · USA USL League Two · 02/07, 00:00
Real Central NJ vs Delaware FC
Expected goals: 3.72 (Real Central NJ 1.88 · Delaware FC 1.84). The model gives 39% home, 23% draw, 38% away. Under 3.5 goals (51%) and both teams to score (61%). Most likely score: 1-1.
39%1
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Real Central NJ 1472 · Delaware FC 1488
| Real Central NJ | Draw | Delaware FC | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 39% | 23% | 38% |
| Market | 40% | 22% | 38% |
Estimated total (ours)
3.72 goals · Bet365 line 3.5 · +0.2
The bar above blends our model with the market. The value bets mark where the odds cover the model probability with a margin (value).
Model analysis
Expected goals3.72Real Central NJ 1.88 · Delaware FC 1.84
Over / Under 3.5Under 3.5 · 51%
BTTSYes · 61%
Most likely total3 goals
1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 55%model estimate
Match keys
- H2H favours Delaware FC: 2-1-1.
- Cards-heavy: 4.9 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Real Central NJ | Delaware FC | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 1.5 / 1.9 | 2.3 / 2 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.7 / 0.9 | 1.1 / 1.3 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 50/10/40% | 30/20/50% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 2 / 4.5 | 3 / 5.7 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 2.5 / 0 | 2.4 / 0 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Real Central NJ 1–1–2 Delaware FC
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 28/06/26 USA USL League Two | Delaware FC | 5-1 HT 3-0 | Real Central NJ |
| 29/06/25 USA USL League Two | Delaware FC | 1-0 HT 0-0 | Real Central NJ |
| 23/06/25 USA USL League Two | Delaware FC | 2-2 HT 1-0 | Real Central NJ |
| 29/05/25 USA USL League Two | Real Central NJ | 1-0 HT 0-0 | Delaware FC |
Standings · USA USL League Two · USL League Two 2026, Mid Atlantic Division
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Ocean City Nor'easters | 11 | 11 | 0 | 0 | 34 | 4 | 33 |
| 2 | LVU Rush | 11 | 10 | 0 | 1 | 28 | 13 | 30 |
| 3 | Reading United | 10 | 4 | 1 | 5 | 21 | 18 | 13 |
| 4 | West Chester United | 10 | 4 | 1 | 5 | 16 | 18 | 13 |
| 5 | Real Central NJ | 11 | 4 | 2 | 5 | 19 | 21 | 14 |
| 6 | Delaware FC | 11 | 4 | 1 | 6 | 24 | 22 | 13 |
| 7 | Philadelphia Lone Star FC | 12 | 4 | 1 | 7 | 23 | 31 | 13 |
| 8 | PA Classics | 12 | 3 | 3 | 6 | 20 | 33 | 12 |
| 9 | Eagle FC | 10 | 0 | 1 | 9 | 5 | 30 | 1 |
Common opponents 5 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Real Central NJ | Delaware FC |
|---|---|---|
| PA Classics | 2-2 D | 0-2 L |
| Ocean City Nor'easters | 1-4 L | 2-3 L |
| Reading United | 2-2 D | 1-2 L |
| Philadelphia Lone Star FC | 4-1 W | 5-0 W |
| Eagle FC | 3-1 W | 3-1 W |
| Record vs common | 2 W 2 D 1 L | 2 W 0 D 3 L |
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Real Central NJ
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28/06 | Delaware FC USA USL League Two |
0-3 | 1-5 | 4 | 3 | L |
| 25/06 | LVU Rush USA USL League Two |
1-0 | 1-2 | – | – | L |
| 21/06 | PA Classics USA USL League Two |
0-1 | 2-2 | – | – | D |
| 19/06 | Ocean City Nor'easters USA USL League Two |
0-2 | 1-4 | 5 | 2 | L |
| 17/06 | Reading United USA USL League Two |
2-1 | 2-2 | – | – | D |
| 14/06 | Philadelphia Lone Star FC USA USL League Two |
2-1 | 4-1 | – | – | W |
| 07/06 | Eagle FC USA USL League Two |
1-0 | 3-1 | – | – | W |
| 04/06 | Ocean City Nor'easters USA USL League Two |
0-1 | 0-1 | – | – | L |
| 31/05 | LVU Rush USA USL League Two |
0-0 | 0-1 | – | – | L |
| 28/05 | Reading United USA USL League Two |
1-0 | 1-0 | – | – | W |
Delaware FC
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28/06 | Real Central NJ USA USL League Two |
3-0 | 5-1 | 8 | 3 | W |
| 24/06 | Reading United USA USL League Two |
0-2 | 1-2 | – | – | L |
| 20/06 | Philadelphia Lone Star FC USA USL League Two |
2-0 | 5-0 | 5 | 2 | W |
| 17/06 | PA Classics USA USL League Two |
0-1 | 0-2 | 6 | 5 | L |
| 14/06 | Ocean City Nor'easters USA USL League Two |
2-3 | 2-3 | 8 | 1 | L |
| 10/06 | West Chester United USA USL League Two |
0-2 | 1-3 | 3 | 0 | L |
| 03/06 | Eagle FC USA USL League Two |
1-0 | 3-1 | – | – | W |
| 30/05 | Ocean City Nor'easters USA USL League Two |
1-3 | 1-5 | 4 | 2 | L |
| 27/05 | Philadelphia Lone Star FC USA USL League Two |
2-2 | 4-2 | 6 | 4 | W |
| 24/05 | PA Classics USA USL League Two |
0-0 | 1-1 | – | – | D |