Football · USA USL League Two · 02/07, 00:00
Staten Island ASC vs New Jersey Copa
Expected goals: 3.47 (Staten Island ASC 1.86 · New Jersey Copa 1.61). The model gives 43% home, 24% draw, 33% away. Under 3.25 goals (51%) and both teams to score (59%). Most likely score: 1-1.
43%1
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Staten Island ASC 1421 · New Jersey Copa 1430
| Staten Island ASC | Draw | New Jersey Copa | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 43% | 24% | 33% |
| Market | 43% | 24% | 33% |
Estimated total (ours)
3.47 goals · Bet365 line 3.25 · +0.2
The bar above blends our model with the market. The value bets mark where the odds cover the model probability with a margin (value).
Model analysis
Expected goals3.47Staten Island ASC 1.86 · New Jersey Copa 1.61
Over / Under 3.25Under 3.25 · 51%
BTTSYes · 59%
Most likely total3 goals
1st-half goalsUnder 1.5 · 53%model estimate
Match keys
- Cards-heavy: 8.5 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Staten Island ASC | New Jersey Copa | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 1.1 / 2.5 | 1.3 / 2.9 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.5 / 1 | 0.6 / 1.3 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 20/30/50% | 10/30/60% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 0.7 / 1.7 | 1 / 3.8 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 4.3 / 0 | 4.2 / 0.4 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Staten Island ASC 2–0–2 New Jersey Copa
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 16/06/26 USA USL League Two | New Jersey Copa | 2-1 HT 1-1 | Staten Island ASC |
| 25/06/25 USA USL League Two | New Jersey Copa | 2-0 HT 2-0 | Staten Island ASC |
| 23/06/24 USA USL League Two | Staten Island ASC | 1-0 HT 0-0 | New Jersey Copa |
| 25/05/24 USA USL League Two | New Jersey Copa | 1-2 HT 1-0 | Staten Island ASC |
Standings · USA USL League Two · USL League Two 2026, Metropolitan Division
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Ironbound | 9 | 7 | 2 | 0 | 21 | 11 | 23 |
| 2 | FC Motown STA | 9 | 7 | 1 | 1 | 27 | 7 | 22 |
| 3 | Long Island Rough Riders | 10 | 7 | 2 | 1 | 28 | 7 | 23 |
| 4 | Hudson Valley Hammers | 9 | 5 | 1 | 3 | 24 | 19 | 16 |
| 5 | Cedar Stars Rush | 9 | 5 | 1 | 3 | 14 | 13 | 16 |
| 6 | Manhattan SC | 9 | 3 | 2 | 4 | 22 | 22 | 11 |
| 7 | New Jersey Copa | 9 | 2 | 1 | 6 | 12 | 22 | 7 |
| 8 | Morris Elite | 9 | 2 | 0 | 7 | 9 | 24 | 6 |
| 9 | Staten Island ASC | 9 | 1 | 1 | 7 | 11 | 24 | 4 |
| 10 | Westchester Flames | 10 | 1 | 1 | 8 | 13 | 32 | 4 |
Common opponents 6 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Staten Island ASC | New Jersey Copa |
|---|---|---|
| Long Island Rough Riders | 0-6 L | 0-2 L |
| Hudson Valley Hammers | 2-3 L | 2-4 L |
| Cedar Stars Rush | 0-1 L | 2-2 D |
| Westchester Flames | 3-1 W | 4-2 W |
| FC Motown STA | 1-3 L | 0-3 L |
| Ironbound | 2-3 L | 1-2 L |
| Record vs common | 1 W 0 D 5 L | 1 W 1 D 4 L |
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Staten Island ASC
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28/06 | Long Island Rough Riders USA USL League Two |
0-3 | 0-6 | – | – | L |
| 16/06 | New Jersey Copa USA USL League Two |
1-1 | 1-2 | – | – | L |
| 14/06 | Hudson Valley Hammers USA USL League Two |
2-0 | 2-3 | – | – | L |
| 07/06 | Cedar Stars Rush USA USL League Two |
0-0 | 0-1 | – | – | L |
| 04/06 | Manhattan SC USA USL League Two |
0-1 | 2-2 | – | – | D |
| 01/06 | Westchester Flames USA USL League Two |
1-0 | 3-1 | 2 | 4 | W |
| 28/05 | Long Island Rough Riders USA USL League Two |
0-1 | 0-3 | 3 | 6 | L |
| 25/05 | FC Motown STA USA USL League Two |
0-2 | 1-3 | 0 | 3 | L |
| 17/05 | Ironbound USA USL League Two |
1-1 | 2-3 | – | – | L |
| 14/07 | Manhattan SC USA USL League Two |
0-1 | 0-1 | – | – | L |
New Jersey Copa
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27/06 | Ironbound USA USL League Two |
0-1 | 1-2 | 4 | 5 | L |
| 25/06 | Morris Elite USA USL League Two |
0-0 | 0-2 | 4 | 3 | L |
| 20/06 | FC Motown STA USA USL League Two |
0-1 | 0-3 | – | – | L |
| 16/06 | Staten Island ASC USA USL League Two |
1-1 | 2-1 | – | – | W |
| 11/06 | Ironbound USA USL League Two |
1-2 | 1-4 | – | – | L |
| 07/06 | Westchester Flames USA USL League Two |
2-2 | 4-2 | – | – | W |
| 02/06 | Cedar Stars Rush USA USL League Two |
2-0 | 2-2 | 3 | 4 | D |
| 30/05 | Hudson Valley Hammers USA USL League Two |
0-2 | 2-4 | 4 | 1 | L |
| 20/05 | Long Island Rough Riders USA USL League Two |
0-2 | 0-2 | 4 | 10 | L |
| 12/07 | FC Motown STA USA USL League Two |
0-2 | 1-7 | – | – | L |