Football · USA USL League Two · 02/07, 01:30
Boston City FC vs Seacoast United Phantoms
Expected goals: 4.08 (Boston City FC 1.39 · Seacoast United Phantoms 2.69). The model gives 17% home, 19% draw, 64% away. Over 3.5 goals (54%) and both teams to score (60%). Most likely score: 1-2.
64%2
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Boston City FC 1396 · Seacoast United Phantoms 1471
| Boston City FC | Draw | Seacoast United Phantoms | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 17% | 18% | 64% |
| Market | 17% | 19% | 64% |
Estimated total (ours)
4.08 goals · Bet365 line 3.5 · +0.6
The bar above blends our model with the market. The value bets mark where the odds cover the model probability with a margin (value).
Model analysis
Expected goals4.08Boston City FC 1.39 · Seacoast United Phantoms 2.69
Over / Under 3.5Over 3.5 · 54%
BTTSYes · 60%
Most likely total4 goals
1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 52%model estimate
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Seacoast United Phantoms (rating 1396 vs 1471).
- H2H favours Seacoast United Phantoms: 6-0-0.
- Cards-heavy: 8.2 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Boston City FC | Seacoast United Phantoms | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 1.3 / 3.8 | 1.5 / 2 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.6 / 1.8 | 0.1 / 0.9 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 10/30/60% | 0/50/50% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 2 / 4 | 2 / 3.4 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 2.2 / 0.2 | 6 / 0.2 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Boston City FC 0–0–6 Seacoast United Phantoms
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 10/07/25 USA USL League Two | Boston City FC | 2-5 HT 0-1 | Seacoast United Phantoms |
| 15/06/25 USA USL League Two | Seacoast United Phantoms | 2-1 HT 2-1 | Boston City FC |
| 30/06/24 USA USL League Two | Boston City FC | 0-4 HT 0-1 | Seacoast United Phantoms |
| 23/05/24 USA USL League Two | Seacoast United Phantoms | 4-0 HT 2-0 | Boston City FC |
| 22/06/23 USA USL League Two | Seacoast United Phantoms | 3-1 HT 2-1 | Boston City FC |
| 15/06/23 USA USL League Two | Boston City FC | 0-4 HT 0-4 | Seacoast United Phantoms |
Standings · USA USL League Two · USL League Two 2026, Northeast Division
Swipe the table sideways →
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Vermont Green | 11 | 10 | 1 | 0 | 50 | 8 | 31 |
| 2 | New England FC | 11 | 10 | 0 | 1 | 27 | 15 | 30 |
| 3 | Western Mass Pioneers | 10 | 6 | 2 | 2 | 20 | 14 | 20 |
| 4 | Black Rock FC | 10 | 5 | 2 | 3 | 17 | 12 | 17 |
| 5 | Albany Rush | 12 | 6 | 1 | 5 | 21 | 32 | 19 |
| 6 | Connecticut Rush | 12 | 4 | 2 | 6 | 17 | 18 | 14 |
| 7 | Boston Bolts | 11 | 3 | 2 | 6 | 16 | 24 | 11 |
| 8 | Seacoast United Phantoms | 11 | 3 | 1 | 7 | 17 | 23 | 10 |
| 9 | AC Connecticut | 11 | 1 | 0 | 10 | 15 | 27 | 3 |
| 10 | Boston City FC | 11 | 0 | 3 | 8 | 13 | 40 | 3 |
Common opponents 6 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Boston City FC | Seacoast United Phantoms |
|---|---|---|
| Connecticut Rush | 1-1 D | 3-2 W |
| Vermont Green | 1-4 L | 2-2 D |
| Boston Bolts | 2-4 L | 2-0 W |
| Albany Rush | 2-2 D | 1-2 L |
| Western Mass Pioneers | 2-5 L | 0-1 L |
| AC Connecticut | 0-4 L | 4-3 W |
| Record vs common | 0 W 2 D 4 L | 3 W 1 D 2 L |
Better against common opponents: Seacoast United Phantoms (5 of 6 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Boston City FC
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28/06 | Connecticut Rush USA USL League Two |
1-1 | 1-1 | 8 | 4 | D |
| 24/06 | Vermont Green USA USL League Two |
1-1 | 1-4 | – | – | L |
| 21/06 | Vermont Green USA USL League Two |
1-4 | 1-10 | – | – | L |
| 17/06 | Boston Bolts USA USL League Two |
1-2 | 2-4 | 4 | 4 | L |
| 13/06 | Albany Rush USA USL League Two |
0-0 | 2-2 | – | – | D |
| 11/06 | Western Mass Pioneers USA USL League Two |
0-3 | 2-5 | 2 | 0 | L |
| 07/06 | Albany Rush USA USL League Two |
1-3 | 3-4 | – | – | L |
| 31/05 | AC Connecticut USA USL League Two |
0-2 | 0-4 | 5 | 2 | L |
| 24/05 | Boston Bolts USA USL League Two |
0-2 | 0-3 | 1 | 2 | L |
| 17/05 | Connecticut Rush USA USL League Two |
1-0 | 1-1 | – | – | D |
Seacoast United Phantoms
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28/06 | Black Rock FC USA USL League Two |
0-1 | 1-3 | 3 | 4 | L |
| 26/06 | Boston Bolts USA USL League Two |
0-0 | 2-0 | 3 | 6 | W |
| 17/06 | Vermont Green USA USL League Two |
0-2 | 2-2 | – | – | D |
| 14/06 | AC Connecticut USA USL League Two |
1-2 | 4-3 | – | – | W |
| 11/06 | New England FC USA USL League Two |
0-0 | 1-2 | 4 | 5 | L |
| 07/06 | Connecticut Rush USA USL League Two |
0-0 | 3-2 | 2 | 7 | W |
| 31/05 | Albany Rush USA USL League Two |
0-0 | 1-2 | – | – | L |
| 27/05 | Connecticut Rush USA USL League Two |
0-3 | 1-3 | 5 | 9 | L |
| 21/05 | Western Mass Pioneers USA USL League Two |
0-1 | 0-1 | – | – | L |
| 16/05 | Vermont Green USA USL League Two |
0-0 | 0-2 | – | – | L |