Football · Paraguay Division Intermedia · 01/07, 15:00

Guairena FC vs Deportivo Santaní

Expected goals: 2.05 (Guairena FC 1.11 · Deportivo Santaní 0.94). The model gives 39% home, 31% draw, 30% away. Under 2 goals (51%) and not both to score (51%). Most likely score: 1-1.

39%1

39% 31% 30%

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Guairena FC 1541 · Deportivo Santaní 1522

	Guairena FC	Draw	Deportivo Santaní
Our model	38%	33%	29%
Market	40%	30%	31%

Estimated total (ours) 2.05 goals · Bet365 line 2

The bar above blends our model with the market. The value bets mark where the odds cover the model probability with a margin (value).

Model analysis

Expected goals2.05Guairena FC 1.11 · Deportivo Santaní 0.94

Over / Under 2Under 2 · 51%

BTTSNo · 51%

Most likely total2 goals

1st-half goalsUnder 1.5 · 78%model estimate

Match keys

H2H favours Guairena FC: 2-4-0.
Cards-heavy: 9.3 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	Guairena FC	Deportivo Santaní
Goals for / against (FT)	1.4 / 0.9	1 / 0.7
Goals for / against (HT)	0.4 / 0.4	0.3 / 0.4
Half-time result (W/D/L)	20/60/20%	20/50/30%
Corners (HT / FT)	2.1 / 3.4	3.1 / 6.2
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	4.2 / 0.6	5.1 / 0.1

Odds Bet365

12.25

X3.00

22.90

Handicap ⓘ

1 (-0.25)2.00

2 (+0.25)1.80

Line ⓘ

Over 21.90

Under 21.90

Diff.: 0 · xG: 2

View on Bet365 ↗

Market movement

How Bet365's odds have moved from when the line opened until now. It's market data, not a recommendation.

1X2

1 2.25 → 2.25 – 0%

X 3.00 → 3.00 – 0%

2 2.90 → 2.90 – 0%

Over/Under 2

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Head-to-head (H2H) · Guairena FC 2–4–0 Deportivo Santaní

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Date	Home	Score	Away
05/09/25 Paraguay Division Intermedia	Guairena FC	2-2 HT 1-1	Deportivo Santaní
03/06/25 Paraguay Division Intermedia	Deportivo Santaní	0-2 HT 0-0	Guairena FC
28/09/24 Paraguay Division Intermedia	Deportivo Santaní	2-2 HT 2-0	Guairena FC
21/06/24 Paraguay Division Intermedia	Guairena FC	1-1 HT 1-0	Deportivo Santaní
30/07/17 Paraguay Division Intermedia	Deportivo Santaní	0-1	Guairena FC
23/04/17 Paraguay Division Intermedia	Guairena FC	1-1	Deportivo Santaní

Standings · Paraguay Division Intermedia

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	General Caballero JLM	12	7	3	2	28	18	24
2	12 de Junio de Villa Hayes	12	7	3	2	17	9	24
3	Club Dr Benjamin Aceval	11	7	2	2	20	10	23
4	Deportivo Capiata	12	5	5	2	19	14	20
5	Sol de America	12	5	5	2	15	10	20
6	Independiente FBC	11	5	3	3	16	13	18
7	Guairena FC	11	5	3	3	14	13	18
8	Club Atlético Tembetary	12	5	2	5	18	17	17
9	Deportivo Santaní	11	4	3	4	10	10	15
10	Resistencia FC	11	3	5	3	12	14	14
11	Carapegua	12	4	2	6	14	24	14
12	Fernando de la Mora	12	4	1	7	11	18	13
13	Tacuary	12	1	6	5	16	21	9
14	Paraguari AC	12	2	3	7	10	15	9
15	Encarnacion FC	11	2	2	7	12	18	8
16	3 de Noviembre	12	0	6	6	10	18	6

Common opponents 6 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	Guairena FC	Deportivo Santaní
Resistencia FC	0-0 D	3-0 W
Sol de America	1-1 D	0-0 D
Deportivo Capiata	3-1 W	1-0 W
Independiente FBC	0-2 L	2-0 W
Tacuary	2-0 W	0-0 D
Club Atlético Tembetary	2-3 L	1-1 D
Record vs common	2 W 2 D 2 L	3 W 3 D 0 L

Better against common opponents: Deportivo Santaní (3 of 6 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Guairena FC

LWLWDDWDWW

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
06/06	Fernando de la Mora Paraguay Division Intermedia	0-1	3-1	4	8	W
01/06	3 de Noviembre Paraguay Division Intermedia	1-1	2-1	5	8	W
26/05	General Caballero JLM Paraguay Division Intermedia	0-0	0-0	5	2	D
20/05	Paraguari AC Paraguay Division Intermedia	1-0	1-0	2	8	W
16/05	Resistencia FC Paraguay Division Intermedia	0-0	0-0	5	8	D
12/05	Sol de America Paraguay Division Intermedia	1-0	1-1	1	1	D
01/05	Deportivo Capiata Paraguay Division Intermedia	0-1	3-1	1	5	W
26/04	Independiente FBC Paraguay Division Intermedia	0-0	0-2	5	1	L
18/04	Tacuary Paraguay Division Intermedia	0-0	2-0	3	4	W
10/04	Club Atlético Tembetary Paraguay Division Intermedia	1-1	2-3	3	3	L

Deportivo Santaní

WLLLDDWWDW

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
04/06	Resistencia FC Paraguay Division Intermedia	0-0	3-0	4	6	W
29/05	Sol de America Paraguay Division Intermedia	0-0	0-0	3	3	D
23/05	Deportivo Capiata Paraguay Division Intermedia	0-0	1-0	7	4	W
19/05	Independiente FBC Paraguay Division Intermedia	1-0	2-0	4	2	W
15/05	Tacuary Paraguay Division Intermedia	0-0	0-0	9	6	D
11/05	Club Atlético Tembetary Paraguay Division Intermedia	0-1	1-1	6	7	D
05/05	Club Dr Benjamin Aceval Paraguay Division Intermedia	0-1	0-2	15	9	L
28/04	Carapegua Paraguay Division Intermedia	0-1	0-1	5	7	L
20/04	12 de Junio de Villa Hayes Paraguay Division Intermedia	0-0	0-2	6	6	L
13/04	Encarnacion FC Paraguay Division Intermedia	2-1	3-1	3	2	W