Football · Brazil Campeonato Carioca A2 · 01/07, 19:45
Bonsucesso FC vs America RJ
Expected goals: 2.15 (Bonsucesso FC 0.83 · America RJ 1.32). The model gives 23% home, 29% draw, 48% away. Under 2 goals (51%) and not both to score (51%). Most likely score: 0-1.
48%2
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Bonsucesso FC 1485 · America RJ 1480
| Bonsucesso FC | Draw | America RJ | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 22% | 31% | 47% |
| Market | 24% | 28% | 48% |
Estimated total (ours)
2.15 goals · Bet365 line 2
The bar above blends our model with the market. The value bets mark where the odds cover the model probability with a margin (value).
Model analysis
Expected goals2.15Bonsucesso FC 0.83 · America RJ 1.32
Over / Under 2Under 2 · 51%
BTTSNo · 51%
Most likely total2 goals
1st-half goalsUnder 1.5 · 74%model estimate
Match keys
- H2H favours America RJ: 2-3-1.
- Cards-heavy: 10.7 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Bonsucesso FC | America RJ | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 0.9 / 0.9 | 1.1 / 1.7 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.4 / 0.5 | 0.4 / 0.8 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 20/30/50% | 20/40/40% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 1.7 / 4.7 | 2.7 / 5.3 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 5.3 / 0.9 | 5.4 / 0.1 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Bonsucesso FC 1–3–2 America RJ
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 02/10/19 Brazil Campeonato Carioca B | America RJ | 1-1 HT 0-1 | Bonsucesso FC |
| 28/09/19 Brazil Campeonato Carioca B | Bonsucesso FC | 1-2 HT 0-2 | America RJ |
| 18/09/19 Brazil Campeonato Carioca B | America RJ | 1-1 HT 0-0 | Bonsucesso FC |
| 31/07/19 Brazil Campeonato Carioca B | Bonsucesso FC | 2-4 HT 2-2 | America RJ |
| 21/07/18 Brazil Campeonato Carioca B | America RJ | 1-2 HT 0-1 | Bonsucesso FC |
| 04/03/18 Brazil Campeonato Carioca | Bonsucesso FC | 1-1 HT 1-1 | America RJ |
Standings · Brazil Campeonato Carioca A2
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Americano RJ | 10 | 7 | 1 | 2 | 16 | 8 | 22 |
| 2 | Marica RJ | 10 | 6 | 3 | 1 | 9 | 7 | 21 |
| 3 | Resende RJ | 10 | 5 | 4 | 1 | 15 | 7 | 19 |
| 4 | Perolas Negras | 10 | 5 | 1 | 4 | 11 | 13 | 16 |
| 5 | America RJ | 9 | 4 | 1 | 4 | 11 | 11 | 13 |
| 6 | Olaria AC | 10 | 3 | 4 | 3 | 11 | 10 | 13 |
| 7 | Sao Goncalo | 10 | 3 | 2 | 5 | 9 | 9 | 11 |
| 8 | Cabofriense | 10 | 3 | 2 | 5 | 11 | 12 | 11 |
| 9 | Serrano | 10 | 2 | 5 | 3 | 10 | 13 | 11 |
| 10 | Araruama FC | 10 | 3 | 1 | 6 | 10 | 14 | 10 |
| 11 | Audax Rio | 10 | 3 | 0 | 7 | 9 | 15 | 9 |
| 12 | Bonsucesso FC | 9 | 2 | 2 | 5 | 6 | 9 | 8 |
Common opponents 4 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Bonsucesso FC | America RJ |
|---|---|---|
| Cabofriense | 0-0 D | 2-1 W |
| Sao Goncalo | 0-2 L | 2-1 W |
| Resende RJ | 0-1 L | 0-3 L |
| Araruama FC | 2-1 W | 0-1 L |
| Record vs common | 1 W 1 D 2 L | 2 W 0 D 2 L |
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Bonsucesso FC
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23/06 | Cabofriense Brazil Copa Rio |
0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 8 | D |
| 20/06 | Sao Goncalo Brazil Campeonato Carioca A2 |
0-1 | 0-2 | 3 | 7 | L |
| 17/06 | Cabofriense Brazil Copa Rio |
0-1 | 3-1 | 8 | 3 | W |
| 13/06 | Resende RJ Brazil Campeonato Carioca A2 |
0-1 | 0-1 | 6 | 7 | L |
| 10/06 | Marica RJ Brazil Campeonato Carioca A2 |
0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 5 | D |
| 30/05 | Perolas Negras Brazil Campeonato Carioca A2 |
3-0 | 4-1 | 6 | 7 | W |
| 23/05 | Americano RJ Brazil Campeonato Carioca A2 |
0-1 | 0-2 | – | – | L |
| 16/05 | Audax Rio Brazil Campeonato Carioca A2 |
0-1 | 0-1 | 7 | 10 | L |
| 09/05 | Serrano Brazil Campeonato Carioca A2 |
0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 4 | D |
| 02/05 | Araruama FC Brazil Campeonato Carioca A2 |
1-0 | 2-1 | 3 | 5 | W |
America RJ
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27/06 | XV Piracicaba Brazil Serie D |
0-2 | 0-2 | 4 | 3 | L |
| 24/06 | Araruama FC Brazil Campeonato Carioca A2 |
0-0 | 0-1 | 5 | 7 | L |
| 20/06 | XV Piracicaba Brazil Serie D |
1-1 | 1-1 | 4 | 6 | D |
| 13/06 | Olaria AC Brazil Campeonato Carioca A2 |
1-0 | 2-2 | 1 | 6 | D |
| 10/06 | Cabofriense Brazil Campeonato Carioca A2 |
0-1 | 2-1 | 7 | 7 | W |
| 06/06 | EC Agua Santa Brazil Serie D |
0-0 | 1-0 | 7 | 7 | W |
| 03/06 | Sao Goncalo Brazil Campeonato Carioca A2 |
1-0 | 2-1 | 3 | 5 | W |
| 31/05 | Portuguesa RJ Brazil Serie D |
0-0 | 2-2 | 8 | 6 | D |
| 28/05 | Resende RJ Brazil Campeonato Carioca A2 |
0-2 | 0-3 | 7 | 3 | L |
| 23/05 | Portuguesa Desportos Brazil Serie D |
1-2 | 1-4 | 7 | 5 | L |