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Football · Sweden Allsvenskan · 06/07, 19:00

Brommapojkarna vs GAIS

Expected goals: 2.44 (Brommapojkarna 1.08 · GAIS 1.36). The model gives 29% home, 28% draw, 42% away. Under 2.5 goals (51%) and both teams to score (52%). Most likely score: 1-1.

42%2
29% 28% 42%
Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Brommapojkarna 1494 · GAIS 1538
BrommapojkarnaDrawGAIS
Our model29%30%42%
Market30%27%43%
Estimated total (ours) 2.44 goals · Bet365 line 2.5

The bar above blends our model with the market. The value bets mark where the odds cover the model probability with a margin (value).

Model analysis
Expected goals2.44Brommapojkarna 1.08 · GAIS 1.36
Over / Under 2.5Under 2.5 · 51%
BTTSYes · 52%
Most likely total2 goals
1st-half goalsUnder 1.5 · 70%model estimate

Match keys

  • Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours GAIS (rating 1494 vs 1538).
  • H2H favours GAIS: 3-1-2.
  • Cards-heavy: 5.8 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

BrommapojkarnaGAIS
Goals for / against (FT)1.3 / 1.61.7 / 0.7
Goals for / against (HT)0.5 / 0.70.6 / 0.4
Half-time result (W/D/L)30/50/20%40/40/20%
Corners (HT / FT)2.8 / 4.72.6 / 5.4
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)3 / 0.12.8 / 0.3

Head-to-head (H2H) · Brommapojkarna 2–1–3 GAIS

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DateHomeScoreAway
27/10/25
Sweden Allsvenskan
Brommapojkarna0-2
HT 0-2
GAIS
24/04/25
Sweden Allsvenskan
GAIS1-1
HT 0-1
Brommapojkarna
05/10/24
Sweden Allsvenskan
Brommapojkarna2-0
HT 0-0
GAIS
31/03/24
Sweden Allsvenskan
GAIS0-4
HT 0-2
Brommapojkarna
25/08/19
Sweden Superettan
GAIS2-0
HT 1-0
Brommapojkarna
14/04/19
Sweden Superettan
Brommapojkarna1-2
HT 0-1
GAIS

Standings · Sweden Allsvenskan

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#Team PWDL GFGAPts
1 Sirius 10910 271028
2 BK Hacken 10550 201420
3 Elfsborg 11461 161118
4 Hammarby 11524 241317
5 GAIS 11434 161115
6 Mjällby AIF 10433 141115
7 Brommapojkarna 10433 151615
8 Djurgarden 9414 191313
9 Malmo FF 10415 202013
10 AIK 10334 121612
11 Vasteras SK 10334 172212
12 Degerfors 10244 121610
13 Kalmar FF 10316 111510
14 IFK Goteborg 10244 132210
15 Halmstad 10136 9206
16 Orgryte IS 10136 10256

Common opponents 6 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

OpponentBrommapojkarnaGAIS
Kalmar FF 0-2 L 3-0 W
Degerfors 2-2 D 1-1 D
Halmstad 3-1 W 1-1 D
Vasteras SK 1-2 L 1-0 W
Orgryte IS 2-1 W 4-0 W
Mjällby AIF 0-3 L 0-0 D
Record vs common 2 W 1 D 3 L 3 W 3 D 0 L

Better against common opponents: GAIS (4 of 6 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Brommapojkarna

DLWLWLWWDL

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Date Opponent HT FT Cor.Cards Res.
27/06 Kalmar FF
Club Friendly List
 0-2 0-2 –– L
31/05 Degerfors
Sweden Allsvenskan
 1-0 2-2 51 D
22/05 Djurgarden
Sweden Allsvenskan
 1-1 2-1 82 W
17/05 Kalmar FF
Sweden Allsvenskan
 1-0 1-0 44 W
08/05 Elfsborg
Sweden Allsvenskan
 0-0 0-2 82 L
04/05 Halmstad
Sweden Allsvenskan
 0-0 3-1 56 W
26/04 Vasteras SK
Sweden Allsvenskan
 1-1 1-2 61 L
22/04 Orgryte IS
Sweden Allsvenskan
 1-0 2-1 13 W
18/04 Mjällby AIF
Sweden Allsvenskan
 0-3 0-3 14 L
13/04 AIK
Sweden Allsvenskan
 0-0 2-2 45 D

GAIS

DDWWDWLWDW

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Date Opponent HT FT Cor.Cards Res.
27/06 Valerenga
Club Friendly List
 1-1 2-1 –– W
17/06 Halmstad
Club Friendly List
 0-0 1-1 –– D
30/05 Kalmar FF
Sweden Allsvenskan
 1-0 3-0 83 W
24/05 Sirius
Sweden Allsvenskan
 1-2 1-2 44 L
20/05 Hammarby
Sweden Allsvenskan
 1-0 2-0 24 W
16/05 Degerfors
Sweden Allsvenskan
 1-0 1-1 63 D
09/05 Vasteras SK
Sweden Allsvenskan
 0-0 1-0 53 W
03/05 Orgryte IS
Sweden Allsvenskan
 1-0 4-0 81 W
26/04 IFK Goteborg
Sweden Allsvenskan
 0-1 2-2 34 D
23/04 Mjällby AIF
Sweden Allsvenskan
 0-0 0-0 72 D