Football · Sweden Allsvenskan · 04/07, 15:00
Halmstad vs Vasteras SK
Expected goals: 3.07 (Halmstad 1.55 · Vasteras SK 1.52). The model gives 37% home, 27% draw, 36% away. Over 2.5 goals (55%) and both teams to score (57%). Most likely score: 1-1.
37%1
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Halmstad 1451 · Vasteras SK 1480
| Halmstad | Draw | Vasteras SK | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 37% | 26% | 36% |
| Market | 36% | 28% | 35% |
Estimated total (ours)
3.07 goals · Bet365 line 2.5 · +0.6
The bar above blends our model with the market. The value bets mark where the odds cover the model probability with a margin (value).
Model analysis
Expected goals3.07Halmstad 1.55 · Vasteras SK 1.52
Over / Under 2.5Over 2.5 · 55%
BTTSYes · 57%
Most likely total3 goals
1st-half goalsUnder 1.5 · 60%model estimate
Match keys
- H2H favours Halmstad: 2-3-1.
- Cards-heavy: 5.9 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Halmstad | Vasteras SK | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 1.2 / 1.9 | 1.7 / 2.2 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.5 / 0.3 | 0.9 / 1.1 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 30/60/10% | 30/50/20% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 1.8 / 3.7 | 1.9 / 4.9 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 2.8 / 0.1 | 3.1 / 0.1 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Halmstad 2–3–1 Vasteras SK
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 26/08/24 Sweden Allsvenskan | Halmstad | 0-1 HT 0-1 | Vasteras SK |
| 13/04/24 Sweden Allsvenskan | Vasteras SK | 0-1 HT 0-1 | Halmstad |
| 21/08/22 Sweden Superettan | Halmstad | 1-1 HT 0-0 | Vasteras SK |
| 28/05/22 Sweden Superettan | Vasteras SK | 2-2 HT 2-0 | Halmstad |
| 27/02/21 Sweden Cup | Halmstad | 0-0 HT 0-0 | Vasteras SK |
| 24/10/20 Sweden Superettan | Halmstad | 2-1 HT 1-0 | Vasteras SK |
Standings · Sweden Allsvenskan
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Sirius | 10 | 9 | 1 | 0 | 27 | 10 | 28 |
| 2 | BK Hacken | 10 | 5 | 5 | 0 | 20 | 14 | 20 |
| 3 | Elfsborg | 11 | 4 | 6 | 1 | 16 | 11 | 18 |
| 4 | Hammarby | 11 | 5 | 2 | 4 | 24 | 13 | 17 |
| 5 | GAIS | 11 | 4 | 3 | 4 | 16 | 11 | 15 |
| 6 | Mjällby AIF | 10 | 4 | 3 | 3 | 14 | 11 | 15 |
| 7 | Brommapojkarna | 10 | 4 | 3 | 3 | 15 | 16 | 15 |
| 8 | Djurgarden | 9 | 4 | 1 | 4 | 19 | 13 | 13 |
| 9 | Malmo FF | 10 | 4 | 1 | 5 | 20 | 20 | 13 |
| 10 | AIK | 10 | 3 | 3 | 4 | 12 | 16 | 12 |
| 11 | Vasteras SK | 10 | 3 | 3 | 4 | 17 | 22 | 12 |
| 12 | Degerfors | 10 | 2 | 4 | 4 | 12 | 16 | 10 |
| 13 | Kalmar FF | 10 | 3 | 1 | 6 | 11 | 15 | 10 |
| 14 | IFK Goteborg | 10 | 2 | 4 | 4 | 13 | 22 | 10 |
| 15 | Halmstad | 10 | 1 | 3 | 6 | 9 | 20 | 6 |
| 16 | Orgryte IS | 10 | 1 | 3 | 6 | 10 | 25 | 6 |
Common opponents 7 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Halmstad | Vasteras SK |
|---|---|---|
| GAIS | 1-1 D | 0-1 L |
| Malmo FF | 2-5 L | 3-2 W |
| Elfsborg | 1-1 D | 2-2 D |
| Kalmar FF | 0-2 L | 1-0 W |
| Brommapojkarna | 1-3 L | 2-1 W |
| Hammarby | 1-1 D | 0-3 L |
| IFK Goteborg | 1-1 D | 4-5 L |
| Record vs common | 0 W 4 D 3 L | 3 W 1 D 3 L |
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Halmstad
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24/06 | Mjällby AIF Club Friendly List |
0-1 | 3-3 | 8 | 1 | D |
| 17/06 | GAIS Club Friendly List |
0-0 | 1-1 | – | – | D |
| 30/05 | Malmo FF Sweden Allsvenskan |
2-2 | 2-5 | 5 | 1 | L |
| 23/05 | Orgryte IS Sweden Allsvenskan |
1-0 | 2-0 | 3 | 5 | W |
| 16/05 | Elfsborg Sweden Allsvenskan |
1-0 | 1-1 | 2 | 1 | D |
| 10/05 | Kalmar FF Sweden Allsvenskan |
0-0 | 0-2 | 3 | 3 | L |
| 04/05 | Brommapojkarna Sweden Allsvenskan |
0-0 | 1-3 | 4 | 6 | L |
| 27/04 | Mjällby AIF Sweden Allsvenskan |
0-0 | 0-2 | 5 | 2 | L |
| 22/04 | Hammarby Sweden Allsvenskan |
1-0 | 1-1 | 0 | 5 | D |
| 18/04 | IFK Goteborg Sweden Allsvenskan |
0-0 | 1-1 | 3 | 2 | D |
Vasteras SK
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31/05 | IFK Goteborg Sweden Allsvenskan |
2-4 | 4-5 | 7 | 2 | L |
| 24/05 | Malmo FF Sweden Allsvenskan |
2-1 | 3-2 | 3 | 4 | W |
| 17/05 | AIK Sweden Allsvenskan |
1-1 | 1-1 | 6 | 8 | D |
| 09/05 | GAIS Sweden Allsvenskan |
0-0 | 0-1 | 1 | 3 | L |
| 03/05 | Hammarby Sweden Allsvenskan |
0-0 | 0-3 | 0 | 3 | L |
| 26/04 | Brommapojkarna Sweden Allsvenskan |
1-1 | 2-1 | 6 | 1 | W |
| 22/04 | BK Hacken Sweden Allsvenskan |
2-1 | 3-3 | 5 | 4 | D |
| 18/04 | Sirius Sweden Allsvenskan |
0-3 | 1-4 | 8 | 1 | L |
| 11/04 | Elfsborg Sweden Allsvenskan |
0-0 | 2-2 | 8 | 1 | D |
| 05/04 | Kalmar FF Sweden Allsvenskan |
1-0 | 1-0 | 5 | 5 | W |