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Football · Sweden Allsvenskan · 04/07, 15:00

Degerfors vs Malmo FF

Expected goals: 3.14 (Degerfors 1.52 · Malmo FF 1.62). The model gives 35% home, 27% draw, 39% away. Over 2.5 goals (56%) and both teams to score (57%). Most likely score: 1-1.

39%2
35% 27% 39%
Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Degerfors 1502 · Malmo FF 1480
DegerforsDrawMalmo FF
Our model35%26%39%
Market34%27%39%
Estimated total (ours) 3.14 goals · Bet365 line 2.5 · +0.6

The bar above blends our model with the market. The value bets mark where the odds cover the model probability with a margin (value).

Model analysis
Expected goals3.14Degerfors 1.52 · Malmo FF 1.62
Over / Under 2.5Over 2.5 · 56%
BTTSYes · 57%
Most likely total3 goals
1st-half goalsUnder 1.5 · 55%model estimate

Match keys

  • H2H favours Malmo FF: 4-2-0.
  • Cards-heavy: 6.8 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

DegerforsMalmo FF
Goals for / against (FT)1.5 / 1.52.1 / 2.1
Goals for / against (HT)0.3 / 11.2 / 1.2
Half-time result (W/D/L)10/30/60%30/20/50%
Corners (HT / FT)2.1 / 3.92 / 4.1
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)3.7 / 03.1 / 0

Head-to-head (H2H) · Degerfors 0–2–4 Malmo FF

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DateHomeScoreAway
31/08/25
Sweden Allsvenskan
Malmo FF1-1
HT 1-1
Degerfors
11/05/25
Sweden Allsvenskan
Degerfors1-4
HT 0-2
Malmo FF
23/09/23
Sweden Allsvenskan
Degerfors1-2
HT 0-1
Malmo FF
05/06/23
Sweden Allsvenskan
Malmo FF5-0
HT 2-0
Degerfors
05/03/23
Sweden Cup
Malmo FF2-1
HT 0-0
Degerfors
06/11/22
Sweden Allsvenskan
Malmo FF2-2
HT 1-1
Degerfors

Standings · Sweden Allsvenskan

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#Team PWDL GFGAPts
1 Sirius 10910 271028
2 BK Hacken 10550 201420
3 Elfsborg 11461 161118
4 Hammarby 11524 241317
5 GAIS 11434 161115
6 Mjällby AIF 10433 141115
7 Brommapojkarna 10433 151615
8 Djurgarden 9414 191313
9 Malmo FF 10415 202013
10 AIK 10334 121612
11 Vasteras SK 10334 172212
12 Degerfors 10244 121610
13 Kalmar FF 10316 111510
14 IFK Goteborg 10244 132210
15 Halmstad 10136 9206
16 Orgryte IS 10136 10256

Common opponents 5 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

OpponentDegerforsMalmo FF
GAIS 1-1 D 3-1 W
Mjällby AIF 1-4 L 2-3 L
BK Hacken 1-1 D 2-3 L
AIK 2-1 W 1-0 W
Halmstad 3-0 W 5-2 W
Record vs common 2 W 2 D 1 L 3 W 0 D 2 L

Better against common opponents: Malmo FF (2 of 5 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Degerfors

WLWDDLDLDW

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Date Opponent HT FT Cor.Cards Res.
26/06 Lillestrom
Club Friendly List
 1-2 3-2 21 W
31/05 Brommapojkarna
Sweden Allsvenskan
 0-1 2-2 31 D
23/05 Kalmar FF
Sweden Allsvenskan
 0-1 1-2 83 L
16/05 GAIS
Sweden Allsvenskan
 0-1 1-1 33 D
09/05 Mjällby AIF
Sweden Allsvenskan
 0-3 1-4 33 L
02/05 BK Hacken
Sweden Allsvenskan
 0-1 1-1 33 D
27/04 Orgryte IS
Sweden Allsvenskan
 0-0 1-1 05 D
23/04 AIK
Sweden Allsvenskan
 1-1 2-1 46 W
17/04 Elfsborg
Sweden Allsvenskan
 0-0 0-1 78 L
12/04 Halmstad
Sweden Allsvenskan
 1-0 3-0 64 W

Malmo FF

WWLWLLLLWD

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Date Opponent HT FT Cor.Cards Res.
26/06 Midtjylland
Club Friendly List
 2-0 2-2 40 D
30/05 Halmstad
Sweden Allsvenskan
 2-2 5-2 41 W
24/05 Vasteras SK
Sweden Allsvenskan
 1-2 2-3 24 L
17/05 Hammarby
Sweden Allsvenskan
 1-3 1-4 32 L
10/05 BK Hacken
Sweden Allsvenskan
 2-3 2-3 54 L
03/05 Mjällby AIF
Sweden Allsvenskan
 0-1 2-3 51 L
27/04 AIK
Sweden Allsvenskan
 1-0 1-0 64 W
23/04 Sirius
Sweden Allsvenskan
 0-1 2-3 44 L
17/04 Djurgarden
Sweden Allsvenskan
 0-0 1-0 26 W
12/04 GAIS
Sweden Allsvenskan
 3-0 3-1 65 W