Football · Lebanon League · 02/07, 15:00
Reyady Abaseya vs Racing Beirut
Expected goals: 2.77 (Reyady Abaseya 2.08 · Racing Beirut 0.69). The model gives 69% home, 20% draw, 11% away. Under 2.75 goals (52%) and both teams to score (50%). Most likely score: 2-0.
69%1
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Reyady Abaseya 1491 · Racing Beirut 1352
| Reyady Abaseya | Draw | Racing Beirut | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 69% | 21% | 10% |
| Market | 70% | 19% | 11% |
Estimated total (ours)
2.77 goals · Bet365 line 2.75
The bar above blends our model with the market. The value bets mark where the odds cover the model probability with a margin (value).
Model analysis
Expected goals2.77Reyady Abaseya 2.08 · Racing Beirut 0.69
Over / Under 2.75Under 2.75 · 52%
BTTSYes · 50%
Most likely total2 goals
1st-half goalsUnder 1.5 · 63%model estimate
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Reyady Abaseya (rating 1491 vs 1352).
- Cards-heavy: 4.9 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Reyady Abaseya | Racing Beirut | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 0.9 / 1.5 | 0.1 / 2.8 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.3 / 0.9 | 0 / 1.3 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 11/56/33% | 0/22/78% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 1 / 2 | 0.8 / 1.3 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 2.1 / 0.2 | 2.8 / 0.1 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Reyady Abaseya 2–1–2 Racing Beirut
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 28/12/25 Lebanon League | Racing Beirut | 1-3 HT 0-1 | Reyady Abaseya |
| 01/07/25 Lebanon League | Racing Beirut | 1-4 HT 1-1 | Reyady Abaseya |
| 31/05/25 Lebanon League | Racing Beirut | 2-1 HT 2-0 | Reyady Abaseya |
| 01/05/25 Lebanon League | Reyady Abaseya | 0-2 | Racing Beirut |
| 12/02/25 Lebanon League | Racing Beirut | 0-0 HT 0-0 | Reyady Abaseya |
Standings · Lebanon League
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Al Ansar Beirut | 20 | 16 | 2 | 2 | 50 | 9 | 50 |
| 2 | Al Nejmeh | 20 | 13 | 4 | 3 | 41 | 10 | 43 |
| 3 | Al Ahed | 21 | 13 | 1 | 7 | 34 | 22 | 40 |
| 4 | Jwaya FC | 20 | 11 | 4 | 5 | 31 | 14 | 37 |
| 5 | Safa Beirut | 20 | 10 | 3 | 7 | 26 | 17 | 33 |
| 6 | Sagesse SC | 20 | 9 | 3 | 8 | 29 | 26 | 30 |
| 7 | Shabab Al-Sahel | 20 | 7 | 5 | 8 | 22 | 21 | 26 |
| 8 | Al-Mabarrah | 20 | 5 | 7 | 8 | 12 | 32 | 22 |
| 9 | Reyady Abaseya | 20 | 4 | 5 | 11 | 14 | 30 | 17 |
| 10 | Tadamon Sour | 20 | 3 | 8 | 9 | 12 | 23 | 17 |
| 11 | Al Bourj | 11 | 3 | 1 | 7 | 8 | 20 | 10 |
| 12 | Racing Beirut | 20 | 0 | 1 | 19 | 4 | 59 | 1 |
Common opponents 9 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Reyady Abaseya | Racing Beirut |
|---|---|---|
| Shabab Al-Sahel | 0-3 L | 0-2 L |
| Safa Beirut | 2-4 L | 0-2 L |
| Sagesse SC | 0-1 L | 0-2 L |
| Al Nejmeh | 0-4 L | 0-5 L |
| Al Ansar Beirut | 2-1 W | 0-6 L |
| Tadamon Sour | 1-1 D | 0-1 L |
| Al-Mabarrah | 0-0 D | 0-1 L |
| Jwaya FC | 0-0 D | 0-4 L |
| Al Ahed | 1-0 W | 0-2 L |
| Record vs common | 2 W 3 D 4 L | 0 W 0 D 9 L |
Better against common opponents: Reyady Abaseya (7 of 9 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Reyady Abaseya
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24/06 | Shabab Al-Sahel Lebanon League |
0-2 | 0-3 | 2 | 3 | L |
| 20/06 | Safa Beirut Lebanon League |
0-3 | 2-4 | 3 | 2 | L |
| 12/06 | Sagesse SC Lebanon League |
0-1 | 0-1 | 0 | 0 | L |
| 21/02 | Al Nejmeh Lebanon League |
– | 0-4 | – | – | L |
| 17/02 | Al Ansar Beirut Lebanon League |
1-1 | 2-1 | 1 | 2 | W |
| 13/02 | Tadamon Sour Lebanon League |
1-1 | 1-1 | 2 | 3 | D |
| 07/02 | Al-Mabarrah Lebanon League |
0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 4 | D |
| 01/02 | Jwaya FC Lebanon League |
0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 2 | D |
| 24/01 | Al Ahed Lebanon League |
0-0 | 1-0 | 3 | 3 | W |
| 28/12 | Racing Beirut Lebanon League |
1-0 | 3-1 | 3 | 2 | W |
Racing Beirut
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29/06 | Al Nejmeh Lebanon League |
0-2 | 0-5 | 0 | 3 | L |
| 21/06 | Tadamon Sour Lebanon League |
0-0 | 0-1 | 2 | 3 | L |
| 16/06 | Shabab Al-Sahel Lebanon League |
0-1 | 0-2 | 2 | 1 | L |
| 11/06 | Al-Mabarrah Lebanon League |
– | 0-1 | – | – | L |
| 20/02 | Safa Beirut Lebanon League |
0-1 | 0-2 | 1 | 2 | L |
| 15/02 | Jwaya FC Lebanon League |
0-1 | 0-4 | 1 | 4 | L |
| 08/02 | Al Ansar Beirut Lebanon League |
0-4 | 0-6 | 2 | 3 | L |
| 01/02 | Al Ahed Lebanon League |
0-0 | 0-2 | 1 | 4 | L |
| 23/01 | Sagesse SC Lebanon League |
0-2 | 0-2 | 1 | 4 | L |
| 28/12 | Reyady Abaseya Lebanon League |
0-1 | 1-3 | 2 | 2 | L |