Football · Chile Cup · 03/07, 02:30
O'Higgins vs Colo Colo
Expected goals: 2.81 (O'Higgins 1.13 · Colo Colo 1.68). The model gives 25% home, 26% draw, 50% away. Under 2.75 goals (52%) and both teams to score (54%). Most likely score: 1-1.
50%2
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · O'Higgins 1460 · Colo Colo 1597
| O'Higgins | Draw | Colo Colo | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 24% | 26% | 49% |
| Market | 25% | 25% | 50% |
Estimated total (ours)
2.81 goals · Bet365 line 2.75
The bar above blends our model with the market. The value bets mark where the odds cover the model probability with a margin (value).
Model analysis
Expected goals2.81O'Higgins 1.13 · Colo Colo 1.68
Over / Under 2.75Under 2.75 · 52%
BTTSYes · 54%
Most likely total2 goals
1st-half goalsUnder 1.5 · 60%model estimate
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Colo Colo (rating 1460 vs 1597).
- H2H favours Colo Colo: 4-1-1.
- High corners: 10.6 combined avg.
- Cards-heavy: 7.6 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| O'Higgins | Colo Colo | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 1.2 / 1.6 | 2.7 / 1 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.5 / 0.9 | 1.3 / 0.6 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 20/20/60% | 60/10/30% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 2.8 / 5.4 | 3 / 5.2 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 4.5 / 0.4 | 3.1 / 0.3 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · O'Higgins 1–1–4 Colo Colo
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 26/06/26 Chile Cup | Colo Colo | 3-2 HT 2-0 | O'Higgins |
| 21/02/26 Chile Liga de Primera | O'Higgins | 0-1 HT 0-0 | Colo Colo |
| 27/07/25 Chile Liga de Primera | O'Higgins | 1-1 HT 0-1 | Colo Colo |
| 25/02/25 Chile Liga de Primera | Colo Colo | 0-1 HT 0-0 | O'Higgins |
| 27/07/24 Chile Liga de Primera | Colo Colo | 2-1 HT 0-0 | O'Higgins |
| 30/06/24 Chile Cup | Colo Colo | 3-1 HT 1-1 | O'Higgins |
Standings · Chile Cup · Copa Chile 2026, Group E
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Colo Colo | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 9 | 2 | 9 |
| 2 | Deportes Recoleta | 4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 6 | 4 |
| 2 | Union Espanola | 4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 6 | 4 |
| 4 | O'Higgins | 3 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 5 | 2 |
Common opponents 3 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | O'Higgins | Colo Colo |
|---|---|---|
| Deportes Recoleta | 1-1 D | 3-0 W |
| Union Espanola | 1-1 D | 3-0 W |
| Coquimbo Unido | 0-0 D | 0-1 L |
| Record vs common | 0 W 3 D 0 L | 2 W 0 D 1 L |
Better against common opponents: Colo Colo (2 of 3 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
O'Higgins
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28/06 | Deportes Recoleta Chile Cup |
0-0 | 1-1 | 10 | 8 | D |
| 26/06 | Colo Colo Chile Cup |
0-2 | 2-3 | 3 | 3 | L |
| 22/06 | Union Espanola Chile Cup |
0-1 | 1-1 | 2 | 1 | D |
| 19/06 | Universidad de Chile Chile Liga de Primera |
0-1 | 0-2 | 3 | 6 | L |
| 13/06 | Coquimbo Unido Chile Liga de Primera |
0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 5 | D |
| 08/06 | Palestino Chile Copa de la Liga |
2-0 | 2-1 | 2 | 3 | W |
| 31/05 | Everton de Vina Chile Liga de Primera |
1-2 | 2-3 | 5 | 5 | L |
| 27/05 | Millonarios Copa Sudamericana |
2-0 | 2-1 | 4 | 8 | W |
| 21/05 | Boston River Copa Sudamericana |
0-2 | 2-3 | 7 | 4 | L |
| 16/05 | Universidad de Concepcion Chile Liga de Primera |
0-1 | 0-1 | 16 | 6 | L |
Colo Colo
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30/06 | Union Espanola Chile Cup |
1-0 | 3-0 | 2 | 5 | W |
| 26/06 | O'Higgins Chile Cup |
2-0 | 3-2 | 6 | 3 | W |
| 20/06 | Deportes Recoleta Chile Cup |
2-0 | 3-0 | 7 | 3 | W |
| 13/06 | Cobresal Chile Liga de Primera |
3-0 | 3-0 | 5 | 0 | W |
| 07/06 | Huachipato Chile Copa de la Liga |
0-1 | 0-1 | 9 | 6 | L |
| 30/05 | La Serena Chile Liga de Primera |
1-1 | 4-2 | 4 | 3 | W |
| 25/05 | Universidad Catolica Chile Liga de Primera |
2-1 | 2-1 | 1 | 7 | W |
| 17/05 | Nublense Chile Liga de Primera |
2-1 | 6-2 | 4 | 1 | W |
| 14/05 | Coquimbo Unido Chile Copa de la Liga |
0-1 | 0-1 | 5 | 5 | L |
| 09/05 | Deportes Concepcion Chile Copa de la Liga |
0-1 | 3-1 | 9 | 1 | W |