Football · Ethiopia Premier League · 01/07, 14:00
Mekelle 70 Enderta FC vs Negelle Arsi
Expected goals: 1.51 (Mekelle 70 Enderta FC 0.73 · Negelle Arsi 0.78). The model gives 29% home, 39% draw, 32% away. Under 1.75 goals (55%) and not both to score (57%). Most likely score: 0-0.
32%2
Model analysis
Expected goals1.51Mekelle 70 Enderta FC 0.73 · Negelle Arsi 0.78
Over / Under 1.75Under 1.75 · 55%
BTTSNo · 57%
Most likely total1 goals
1st-half goalsUnder 1.5 · 87%model estimate
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Negelle Arsi (rating 1469 vs 1532).
- Cards-heavy: 9.6 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Mekelle 70 Enderta FC | Negelle Arsi | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 0.3 / 0.8 | 1.1 / 0.9 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0 / 0.2 | 0.5 / 0.5 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 0/80/20% | 30/40/30% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 2 / 3.9 | 1.4 / 3.3 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 4.2 / 0.4 | 5.4 / 0.1 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Mekelle 70 Enderta FC 0–0–1 Negelle Arsi
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 05/02/26 Ethiopia Premier League | Negelle Arsi | 1-0 HT 1-0 | Mekelle 70 Enderta FC |
Standings · Ethiopia Premier League
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Sidama Bunna | 37 | 19 | 11 | 7 | 43 | 22 | 68 |
| 2 | Negelle Arsi | 37 | 15 | 15 | 7 | 37 | 27 | 60 |
| 3 | Mechal SC | 37 | 14 | 14 | 9 | 44 | 31 | 56 |
| 4 | Kedus Giorgis | 37 | 14 | 11 | 12 | 32 | 30 | 53 |
| 5 | Fasil Kenema | 37 | 13 | 13 | 11 | 27 | 28 | 52 |
| 6 | Ethio Electric FC | 37 | 12 | 15 | 10 | 31 | 26 | 51 |
| 7 | Wolaita Dicha | 37 | 11 | 17 | 9 | 37 | 31 | 50 |
| 8 | Hawassa City FC | 37 | 12 | 14 | 11 | 35 | 29 | 50 |
| 9 | Ethiopian Coffee | 37 | 13 | 11 | 13 | 40 | 39 | 50 |
| 10 | Shaggar City | 37 | 10 | 17 | 10 | 32 | 31 | 47 |
| 11 | Bahir Dar Kenema FC | 37 | 9 | 20 | 8 | 26 | 26 | 47 |
| 12 | Hadiya Hossana | 37 | 11 | 14 | 12 | 31 | 35 | 47 |
| 13 | Ethiopia Nigd Bank | 37 | 11 | 13 | 13 | 43 | 43 | 46 |
| 14 | Ethiopian Insurance FC | 37 | 10 | 16 | 11 | 30 | 30 | 46 |
| 15 | Welwalo Adigrat | 37 | 10 | 15 | 12 | 31 | 35 | 45 |
| 16 | Adama City | 37 | 9 | 16 | 12 | 32 | 37 | 43 |
| 17 | Shire Endaselassie FC | 37 | 9 | 15 | 13 | 24 | 30 | 42 |
| 18 | Dire Dawa | 37 | 8 | 15 | 14 | 25 | 40 | 39 |
| 19 | Mekelle 70 Enderta FC | 37 | 7 | 16 | 14 | 23 | 38 | 37 |
| 20 | Arba Minch | 37 | 7 | 14 | 16 | 29 | 44 | 35 |
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Mekelle 70 Enderta FC
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26/06 | Ethiopian Coffee Ethiopia Premier League |
0-1 | 0-3 | 3 | 2 | L |
| 21/06 | Adama City Ethiopia Premier League |
0-0 | 0-0 | 7 | 6 | D |
| 16/06 | Ethio Electric FC Ethiopia Premier League |
0-0 | 0-0 | 7 | 2 | D |
| 30/05 | Bahir Dar Kenema FC Ethiopia Premier League |
0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 4 | D |
| 25/05 | Welwalo Adigrat Ethiopia Cup |
0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 2 | D |
| 20/05 | Shaggar City Ethiopia Premier League |
0-0 | 1-0 | 5 | 2 | W |
| 15/05 | Ethiopian Insurance FC Ethiopia Premier League |
0-0 | 1-1 | 3 | 5 | D |
| 09/05 | Kedus Giorgis Ethiopia Premier League |
0-0 | 0-1 | 3 | 5 | L |
| 05/05 | Arba Minch Ethiopia Premier League |
0-1 | 0-2 | 5 | 7 | L |
| 30/04 | Hadiya Hossana Ethiopia Premier League |
0-0 | 1-1 | 2 | 11 | D |
Negelle Arsi
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26/06 | Ethiopia Nigd Bank Ethiopia Premier League |
1-0 | 2-0 | 4 | 7 | W |
| 20/06 | Sidama Bunna Ethiopia Premier League |
0-1 | 1-1 | 2 | 7 | D |
| 15/06 | Hawassa City FC Ethiopia Premier League |
1-0 | 2-1 | 2 | 5 | W |
| 04/06 | Wolaita Dicha Ethiopia Premier League |
0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 3 | D |
| 21/05 | Shire Endaselassie FC Ethiopia Premier League |
0-0 | 0-0 | 6 | 3 | D |
| 14/05 | Mechal SC Ethiopia Premier League |
0-2 | 0-4 | 5 | 8 | L |
| 11/05 | Dire Dawa Ethiopia Premier League |
2-0 | 3-0 | 3 | 2 | W |
| 06/05 | Welwalo Adigrat Ethiopia Premier League |
1-1 | 2-1 | 4 | 7 | W |
| 30/04 | Fasil Kenema Ethiopia Premier League |
0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 4 | D |
| 25/04 | Sidama Bunna Ethiopia Cup |
0-1 | 1-2 | 6 | 9 | L |

