Football · Iceland 4 Deild · 02/07, 22:00
IH Hafnarfjordur vs Vaengir Jupiters
Expected goals: 4.5 (IH Hafnarfjordur 2.12 · Vaengir Jupiters 2.38). The model gives 35% home, 20% draw, 45% away. Under 4.5 goals (51%) and both teams to score (64%). Most likely score: 2-2.
45%2
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · IH Hafnarfjordur 1437 · Vaengir Jupiters 1509
| IH Hafnarfjordur | Draw | Vaengir Jupiters | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 35% | 20% | 45% |
| Market | 35% | 20% | 45% |
Estimated total (ours)
4.5 goals · Bet365 line 4.5
The bar above blends our model with the market. The value bets mark where the odds cover the model probability with a margin (value).
Model analysis
Expected goals4.5IH Hafnarfjordur 2.12 · Vaengir Jupiters 2.38
Over / Under 4.5Under 4.5 · 51%
BTTSYes · 64%
Most likely total4 goals
1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 64%model estimate
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Vaengir Jupiters (rating 1437 vs 1509).
- H2H favours IH Hafnarfjordur: 3-0-1.
- High corners: 11 combined avg.
- Cards-heavy: 7.7 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| IH Hafnarfjordur | Vaengir Jupiters | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 2.3 / 4.4 | 3.1 / 2.2 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 1.4 / 1.6 | 1.5 / 1.3 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 40/10/50% | 40/10/50% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 3 / 5 | 3.3 / 6 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 3.4 / 0.4 | 4.3 / 0 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · IH Hafnarfjordur 3–0–1 Vaengir Jupiters
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 30/08/24 Iceland 3 Deild | IH Hafnarfjordur | 4-1 HT 1-0 | Vaengir Jupiters |
| 28/06/24 Iceland 3 Deild | Vaengir Jupiters | 1-2 HT 1-1 | IH Hafnarfjordur |
| 28/08/22 Iceland 3 Deild | Vaengir Jupiters | 1-0 HT 1-0 | IH Hafnarfjordur |
| 24/06/22 Iceland 3 Deild | IH Hafnarfjordur | 5-3 HT 2-1 | Vaengir Jupiters |
Standings · Iceland 4 Deild
Swipe the table sideways →
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Alftanes | 8 | 8 | 0 | 0 | 23 | 7 | 24 |
| 2 | Hamar Hveragerdi | 8 | 7 | 0 | 1 | 35 | 14 | 21 |
| 3 | Arborg | 8 | 5 | 1 | 2 | 22 | 6 | 16 |
| 4 | Ulfarnir | 8 | 2 | 4 | 2 | 18 | 17 | 10 |
| 5 | Vaengir Jupiters | 8 | 3 | 1 | 4 | 20 | 20 | 10 |
| 6 | Ellidi | 8 | 3 | 1 | 4 | 18 | 23 | 10 |
| 7 | KFR Hvolsvöllur | 8 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 22 | 26 | 8 |
| 8 | IH Hafnarfjordur | 8 | 2 | 0 | 6 | 21 | 26 | 6 |
| 9 | KF Hafnir | 8 | 1 | 2 | 5 | 8 | 35 | 5 |
| 10 | Alafoss | 8 | 1 | 1 | 6 | 9 | 22 | 4 |
Common opponents 8 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | IH Hafnarfjordur | Vaengir Jupiters |
|---|---|---|
| KFR Hvolsvöllur | 2-1 W | 3-5 L |
| Alftanes | 1-2 L | 1-3 L |
| Ellidi | 2-6 L | 2-0 W |
| Arborg | 1-2 L | 1-3 L |
| Hamar Hveragerdi | 4-7 L | 1-5 L |
| KF Hafnir | 8-2 W | 6-0 W |
| Ulfarnir | 2-4 L | 3-3 D |
| Alafoss | 1-2 L | 3-1 W |
| Record vs common | 2 W 0 D 6 L | 3 W 1 D 4 L |
Better against common opponents: IH Hafnarfjordur (4 of 8 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
IH Hafnarfjordur
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24/06 | KFR Hvolsvöllur Iceland 4 Deild |
0-1 | 2-1 | – | – | W |
| 18/06 | Alftanes Iceland 4 Deild |
0-1 | 1-2 | 3 | 5 | L |
| 11/06 | Ellidi Iceland 4 Deild |
1-4 | 2-6 | 6 | 4 | L |
| 04/06 | Arborg Iceland 4 Deild |
0-1 | 1-2 | 4 | 5 | L |
| 31/05 | Hamar Hveragerdi Iceland 4 Deild |
3-2 | 4-7 | – | – | L |
| 21/05 | KF Hafnir Iceland 4 Deild |
5-1 | 8-2 | 4 | 3 | W |
| 14/05 | Ulfarnir Iceland 4 Deild |
2-1 | 2-4 | 8 | 2 | L |
| 07/05 | Alafoss Iceland 4 Deild |
1-0 | 1-2 | – | – | L |
| 13/09 | Ymir Kopavogur Iceland 3 Deild |
0-3 | 0-9 | – | – | L |
| 06/09 | Tindastoll Iceland 3 Deild |
2-2 | 2-9 | – | – | L |
Vaengir Jupiters
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25/06 | KF Hafnir Iceland 4 Deild |
2-0 | 6-0 | 9 | 5 | W |
| 19/06 | Ulfarnir Iceland 4 Deild |
1-2 | 3-3 | – | – | D |
| 11/06 | Alafoss Iceland 4 Deild |
3-0 | 3-1 | 5 | 6 | W |
| 04/06 | Hamar Hveragerdi Iceland 4 Deild |
1-2 | 1-5 | 6 | 2 | L |
| 31/05 | KFR Hvolsvöllur Iceland 4 Deild |
0-3 | 3-5 | – | – | L |
| 21/05 | Alftanes Iceland 4 Deild |
1-2 | 1-3 | 6 | 3 | L |
| 14/05 | Ellidi Iceland 4 Deild |
1-0 | 2-0 | 5 | 10 | W |
| 07/05 | Arborg Iceland 4 Deild |
0-2 | 1-3 | 5 | 2 | L |
| 13/04 | BF 108 Iceland League Cup C |
1-1 | 3-1 | 10 | 2 | W |
| 29/03 | KM Reykjavik Iceland League Cup C |
5-1 | 8-1 | 2 | 4 | W |