Football · Iceland 3 Deild · 02/07, 21:15
Ymir Kopavogur vs KV Vesturbaer
Expected goals: 4.39 (Ymir Kopavogur 2.38 · KV Vesturbaer 2.01). The model gives 46% home, 21% draw, 33% away. Over 4.25 goals (51%) and both teams to score (63%). Most likely score: 2-2.
46%1
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Ymir Kopavogur 1505 · KV Vesturbaer 1482
| Ymir Kopavogur | Draw | KV Vesturbaer | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 46% | 21% | 33% |
| Market | 46% | 21% | 33% |
Estimated total (ours)
4.39 goals · Bet365 line 4.25
The bar above blends our model with the market. The value bets mark where the odds cover the model probability with a margin (value).
Model analysis
Expected goals4.39Ymir Kopavogur 2.38 · KV Vesturbaer 2.01
Over / Under 4.25Over 4.25 · 51%
BTTSYes · 63%
Most likely total4 goals
1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 61%model estimate
Match keys
- High corners: 11.2 combined avg.
- Cards-heavy: 8.9 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Ymir Kopavogur | KV Vesturbaer | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 1.8 / 2.1 | 2.8 / 3.2 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 1 / 0.9 | 1.4 / 1.3 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 30/40/30% | 40/10/50% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 1.8 / 4.4 | 3.9 / 6.9 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 4 / 0.1 | 4.9 / 0.3 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Ymir Kopavogur 1–2–0 KV Vesturbaer
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 06/09/25 Iceland 3 Deild | KV Vesturbaer | 3-5 HT 0-3 | Ymir Kopavogur |
| 29/06/25 Iceland 3 Deild | Ymir Kopavogur | 1-1 HT 1-1 | KV Vesturbaer |
| 12/04/18 Iceland Cup | Ymir Kopavogur | 2-2 HT 2-1 | KV Vesturbaer |
Standings · Iceland 3 Deild
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Tindastoll | 10 | 7 | 1 | 2 | 25 | 13 | 22 |
| 2 | Vidir Gardur | 10 | 7 | 1 | 2 | 25 | 14 | 22 |
| 3 | KH Hlidarendi | 10 | 6 | 3 | 1 | 31 | 14 | 21 |
| 4 | Reynir Sandgerdi | 10 | 5 | 2 | 3 | 24 | 22 | 17 |
| 5 | KV Vesturbaer | 10 | 5 | 0 | 5 | 28 | 32 | 15 |
| 6 | KF Fjallabyggd | 10 | 3 | 4 | 3 | 15 | 15 | 13 |
| 7 | Ymir Kopavogur | 10 | 3 | 3 | 4 | 17 | 20 | 12 |
| 8 | Hottur/Huginn | 10 | 2 | 5 | 3 | 13 | 14 | 11 |
| 9 | Augnablik Kopavogur | 10 | 3 | 2 | 5 | 23 | 25 | 11 |
| 10 | KA Asvellir | 10 | 3 | 1 | 6 | 16 | 23 | 10 |
| 11 | Sindri | 10 | 2 | 2 | 6 | 15 | 28 | 8 |
| 12 | FC Arbaer | 10 | 1 | 2 | 7 | 15 | 27 | 5 |
Common opponents 9 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Ymir Kopavogur | KV Vesturbaer |
|---|---|---|
| Reynir Sandgerdi | 2-2 D | 2-3 L |
| Hottur/Huginn | 2-3 L | 2-1 W |
| KA Asvellir | 2-0 W | 3-2 W |
| KF Fjallabyggd | 0-0 D | 5-3 W |
| Vidir Gardur | 1-3 L | 5-3 W |
| Sindri | 4-0 W | 3-2 W |
| KH Hlidarendi | 2-2 D | 1-5 L |
| Augnablik Kopavogur | 0-3 L | 3-5 L |
| Tindastoll | 1-5 L | 1-4 L |
| Record vs common | 2 W 3 D 4 L | 5 W 0 D 4 L |
Better against common opponents: KV Vesturbaer (5 of 9 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Ymir Kopavogur
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28/06 | Reynir Sandgerdi Iceland 3 Deild |
2-1 | 2-2 | 2 | 2 | D |
| 21/06 | Hottur/Huginn Iceland 3 Deild |
1-1 | 2-3 | 3 | 4 | L |
| 11/06 | KA Asvellir Iceland 3 Deild |
1-0 | 2-0 | 9 | 6 | W |
| 06/06 | KF Fjallabyggd Iceland 3 Deild |
0-0 | 0-0 | – | – | D |
| 01/06 | Vidir Gardur Iceland 3 Deild |
1-2 | 1-3 | 5 | 4 | L |
| 23/05 | Sindri Iceland 3 Deild |
2-0 | 4-0 | 5 | 6 | W |
| 15/05 | KH Hlidarendi Iceland 3 Deild |
1-1 | 2-2 | 5 | 2 | D |
| 09/05 | Augnablik Kopavogur Iceland 3 Deild |
0-1 | 0-3 | 5 | 5 | L |
| 02/05 | Tindastoll Iceland 3 Deild |
1-2 | 1-5 | – | – | L |
| 10/04 | Throttur Vogar Iceland League Cup B |
1-1 | 4-3 | 1 | 4 | W |
KV Vesturbaer
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26/06 | Vidir Gardur Iceland 3 Deild |
3-1 | 5-3 | – | – | W |
| 20/06 | Sindri Iceland 3 Deild |
1-2 | 3-2 | 8 | 2 | W |
| 15/06 | KH Hlidarendi Iceland 3 Deild |
0-2 | 1-5 | 8 | 3 | L |
| 10/06 | Augnablik Kopavogur Iceland 3 Deild |
1-2 | 3-5 | 9 | 10 | L |
| 06/06 | Tindastoll Iceland 3 Deild |
0-1 | 1-4 | 8 | 3 | L |
| 30/05 | KF Fjallabyggd Iceland 3 Deild |
2-0 | 5-3 | 3 | 6 | W |
| 23/05 | Reynir Sandgerdi Iceland 3 Deild |
2-1 | 2-3 | – | – | L |
| 16/05 | Hottur/Huginn Iceland 3 Deild |
2-0 | 2-1 | 5 | 5 | W |
| 09/05 | FC Arbaer Iceland 3 Deild |
1-2 | 3-4 | – | – | L |
| 02/05 | KA Asvellir Iceland 3 Deild |
2-2 | 3-2 | 7 | 7 | W |