Football · Finland Kolmonen · 02/07, 18:00
SJK-j vs VPV Pallo-Veikot
Expected goals: 3.67 (SJK-j 2.28 · VPV Pallo-Veikot 1.39). The model gives 57% home, 21% draw, 22% away. Under 3.5 goals (51%) and both teams to score (59%). Most likely score: 2-1.
57%1
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · SJK-j 1511 · VPV Pallo-Veikot 1472
| SJK-j | Draw | VPV Pallo-Veikot | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 57% | 21% | 22% |
| Market | 57% | 20% | 23% |
Estimated total (ours)
3.67 goals · Bet365 line 3.5 · +0.2
The bar above blends our model with the market. The value bets mark where the odds cover the model probability with a margin (value).
Model analysis
Expected goals3.67SJK-j 2.28 · VPV Pallo-Veikot 1.39
Over / Under 3.5Under 3.5 · 51%
BTTSYes · 59%
Most likely total3 goals
1st-half goalsUnder 1.5 · 54%model estimate
Match keys
- H2H favours SJK-j: 2-2-0.
- Cards-heavy: 5.6 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| SJK-j | VPV Pallo-Veikot | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 2.2 / 1.2 | 1.6 / 2.1 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.5 / 1 | 0.6 / 0.8 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 13/25/63% | 13/63/25% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 3.6 / 7.4 | 1.2 / 2.4 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 2.9 / 0.3 | 2.7 / 0 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · SJK-j 2–2–0 VPV Pallo-Veikot
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 27/09/25 Finland Kolmonen | SJK-j | 2-2 | VPV Pallo-Veikot |
| 02/07/25 Finland Kolmonen | VPV Pallo-Veikot | 3-3 HT 2-3 | SJK-j |
| 06/07/23 Finland Kolmonen | VPV Pallo-Veikot | 1-8 HT 1-5 | SJK-j |
| 22/09/22 Finland Kolmonen | VPV Pallo-Veikot | 1-3 HT 0-1 | SJK-j |
Standings · Finland Kolmonen · Kolmonen 2026, Western, Group 3
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | VIFK | 11 | 9 | 1 | 1 | 37 | 7 | 28 |
| 2 | FC Kiisto | 9 | 6 | 2 | 1 | 27 | 13 | 20 |
| 3 | Virkia | 10 | 5 | 2 | 3 | 19 | 15 | 17 |
| 4 | SJK-j | 10 | 4 | 3 | 3 | 22 | 12 | 15 |
| 5 | Nykarleby IK | 10 | 4 | 2 | 4 | 15 | 26 | 14 |
| 6 | FC Ylivieska | 9 | 4 | 1 | 4 | 30 | 23 | 13 |
| 7 | Sporting Kristina | 8 | 4 | 1 | 3 | 13 | 11 | 13 |
| 8 | SIF | 10 | 3 | 3 | 4 | 19 | 15 | 12 |
| 9 | VPV Pallo-Veikot | 8 | 3 | 2 | 3 | 15 | 14 | 11 |
| 10 | KPV Akatemia | 9 | 2 | 1 | 6 | 22 | 29 | 7 |
| 11 | LBK | 10 | 2 | 1 | 7 | 11 | 26 | 7 |
| 12 | Sääripotku | 8 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 3 | 42 | 1 |
Common opponents 9 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | SJK-j | VPV Pallo-Veikot |
|---|---|---|
| Virkia | 0-1 L | 3-1 W |
| SIF | 2-2 D | 1-1 D |
| FC Ylivieska | 2-2 D | 0-4 L |
| Nykarleby IK | 1-3 L | 1-1 D |
| VIFK | 0-0 D | 1-2 L |
| Sääripotku | 10-0 W | 6-2 W |
| FC Kiisto | 0-2 L | 0-2 L |
| Sporting Kristina | 1-0 W | 1-4 L |
| LBK | 2-0 W | 3-1 W |
| Record vs common | 3 W 3 D 3 L | 3 W 2 D 4 L |
Better against common opponents: SJK-j (4 of 9 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
SJK-j
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24/06 | Virkia Finland Kolmonen |
0-0 | 0-1 | 3 | 2 | L |
| 17/06 | SIF Finland Kolmonen |
0-1 | 2-2 | 7 | 4 | D |
| 11/06 | FC Ylivieska Finland Kolmonen |
0-1 | 2-2 | 6 | 5 | D |
| 04/06 | Nykarleby IK Finland Kolmonen |
0-2 | 1-3 | 6 | 5 | L |
| 23/05 | VIFK Finland Kolmonen |
– | 0-0 | – | – | D |
| 19/05 | Sääripotku Finland Kolmonen |
4-0 | 10-0 | 15 | 0 | W |
| 14/05 | FC Kiisto Finland Kolmonen |
0-2 | 0-2 | 11 | 2 | L |
| 09/05 | Sporting Kristina Finland Kolmonen |
– | 1-0 | – | – | W |
| 03/05 | LBK Finland Kolmonen |
0-0 | 2-0 | 8 | 4 | W |
| 22/04 | KPV Akatemia Finland Kolmonen |
0-2 | 4-2 | 3 | 3 | W |
VPV Pallo-Veikot
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25/06 | SIF Finland Kolmonen |
1-1 | 1-1 | 4 | 4 | D |
| 17/06 | FC Ylivieska Finland Kolmonen |
0-1 | 0-4 | 0 | 3 | L |
| 11/06 | Nykarleby IK Finland Kolmonen |
0-1 | 1-1 | 2 | 3 | D |
| 04/06 | Sääripotku Finland Kolmonen |
– | 6-2 | – | – | W |
| 27/05 | VIFK Finland Kolmonen |
1-1 | 1-2 | 1 | 2 | L |
| 19/05 | FC Kiisto Finland Kolmonen |
0-0 | 0-2 | 2 | 0 | L |
| 14/05 | Sporting Kristina Finland Kolmonen |
1-1 | 1-4 | 4 | 4 | L |
| 07/05 | LBK Finland Kolmonen |
2-1 | 3-1 | 4 | 3 | W |
| 25/04 | Virkia Finland Kolmonen |
– | 3-1 | – | – | W |
| 14/04 | SJK II Finland Cup |
0-0 | 0-3 | – | – | L |