Football · Brazil Catarinense 2 · 01/07, 20:00
Blumenau EC vs Juventus Jaragua Do Sul
Expected goals: 2.87 (Blumenau EC 2.15 · Juventus Jaragua Do Sul 0.72). The model gives 71% home, 18% draw, 11% away. Under 3 goals (52%) and both teams to score (50%). Most likely score: 2-0.
71%1
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Blumenau EC 1561 · Juventus Jaragua Do Sul 1418
| Blumenau EC | Draw | Juventus Jaragua Do Sul | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 70% | 20% | 10% |
| Market | 72% | 16% | 12% |
Estimated total (ours)
2.87 goals · Bet365 line 3
The bar above blends our model with the market. The value bets mark where the odds cover the model probability with a margin (value).
Model analysis
Expected goals2.87Blumenau EC 2.15 · Juventus Jaragua Do Sul 0.72
Over / Under 3Under 3 · 52%
BTTSYes · 50%
Most likely total2 goals
1st-half goalsUnder 1.5 · 62%model estimate
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Blumenau EC (rating 1561 vs 1418).
- H2H favours Blumenau EC: 3-0-2.
- High corners: 12.3 combined avg.
- Cards-heavy: 10.8 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Blumenau EC | Juventus Jaragua Do Sul | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 2.6 / 1 | 0.2 / 1.7 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 1.4 / 0.4 | 0 / 0.7 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 40/40/20% | 0/43/57% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 3.1 / 7.3 | 2.6 / 5 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 4.9 / 0.6 | 5.9 / 0 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Blumenau EC 3–0–2 Juventus Jaragua Do Sul
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 06/05/26 Brazil Campeonato Catarinense | Juventus Jaragua Do Sul | 0-3 | Blumenau EC |
| 05/07/25 Brazil Catarinense 2 | Blumenau EC | 1-0 HT 0-0 | Juventus Jaragua Do Sul |
| 07/07/24 Brazil Catarinense 2 | Juventus Jaragua Do Sul | 3-2 HT 1-1 | Blumenau EC |
| 07/07/19 Brazil Catarinense 2 | Juventus Jaragua Do Sul | 2-0 HT 0-0 | Blumenau EC |
| 20/07/18 Brazil Catarinense 2 | Blumenau EC | 1-0 HT 1-0 | Juventus Jaragua Do Sul |
Standings · Brazil Catarinense 2
Swipe the table sideways →
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Hercilio Luz | 12 | 8 | 2 | 2 | 26 | 8 | 26 |
| 2 | Caravaggio SC | 12 | 7 | 3 | 2 | 30 | 14 | 24 |
| 3 | Blumenau EC | 11 | 7 | 1 | 3 | 25 | 7 | 22 |
| 4 | CA Metropolitano | 11 | 7 | 1 | 3 | 19 | 10 | 22 |
| 5 | Tubarao | 11 | 4 | 5 | 2 | 15 | 10 | 17 |
| 6 | Guarani de Palhoca | 12 | 4 | 3 | 5 | 12 | 19 | 15 |
| 7 | Fluminense SC | 12 | 4 | 1 | 7 | 10 | 15 | 13 |
| 8 | Nacao | 11 | 3 | 4 | 4 | 11 | 19 | 13 |
| 9 | Juventus Jaragua Do Sul | 11 | 2 | 1 | 8 | 3 | 18 | 7 |
| 10 | SC Jaragua | 11 | 0 | 1 | 10 | 4 | 35 | 1 |
Common opponents 5 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Blumenau EC | Juventus Jaragua Do Sul |
|---|---|---|
| Caravaggio SC | 1-2 L | 0-3 L |
| Tubarao | 3-2 W | 0-2 L |
| SC Jaragua | 6-0 W | 1-0 W |
| Nacao | 6-0 W | 0-1 L |
| Guarani de Palhoca | 2-0 W | 0-1 L |
| Record vs common | 4 W 0 D 1 L | 1 W 0 D 4 L |
Better against common opponents: Blumenau EC (5 of 5 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Blumenau EC
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27/06 | Sao Luiz Brazil Serie D |
0-1 | 1-1 | 13 | 9 | D |
| 24/06 | Caravaggio SC Brazil Catarinense 2 |
0-0 | 1-2 | 8 | 4 | L |
| 20/06 | Sao Luiz Brazil Serie D |
0-1 | 1-1 | 9 | 8 | D |
| 17/06 | Tubarao Brazil Catarinense 2 |
1-1 | 3-2 | 6 | 5 | W |
| 10/06 | SC Jaragua Brazil Catarinense 2 |
4-0 | 6-0 | 10 | 4 | W |
| 07/06 | Sao Jose PA Brazil Serie D |
0-0 | 0-1 | 7 | 6 | L |
| 03/06 | Nacao Brazil Catarinense 2 |
3-0 | 6-0 | 13 | 4 | W |
| 31/05 | Brasil de Pelotas Brazil Serie D |
1-1 | 2-1 | 2 | 6 | W |
| 27/05 | Guarani de Palhoca Brazil Catarinense 2 |
2-0 | 2-0 | 0 | 0 | W |
| 24/05 | Azuriz FC Brazil Serie D |
3-0 | 4-2 | 5 | 9 | W |
Juventus Jaragua Do Sul
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21/06 | Tubarao Brazil Catarinense 2 |
0-1 | 0-2 | 5 | 5 | L |
| 18/06 | Nacao Brazil Catarinense 2 |
0-1 | 0-1 | 11 | 7 | L |
| 07/06 | Caravaggio SC Brazil Catarinense 2 |
– | 0-3 | – | – | L |
| 30/05 | CA Metropolitano Brazil Catarinense 2 |
0-2 | 0-2 | 4 | 4 | L |
| 28/05 | Fluminense SC Brazil Catarinense 2 |
0-0 | 1-0 | 4 | 4 | W |
| 24/05 | Hercilio Luz Brazil Catarinense 2 |
0-0 | 0-1 | 1 | 4 | L |
| 16/05 | Guarani de Palhoca Brazil Catarinense 2 |
0-0 | 0-1 | 5 | 9 | L |
| 10/05 | SC Jaragua Brazil Catarinense 2 |
– | 1-0 | – | – | W |
| 06/05 | Blumenau EC Brazil Campeonato Catarinense |
– | 0-3 | – | – | L |
| 01/05 | Tubarao Brazil Catarinense 2 |
0-1 | 0-4 | 5 | 8 | L |