Prediction: UWA-Nedlands FC (W) vs Subiaco AFC (W)

Expected goals: 3.64 (UWA-Nedlands FC (W) 1.4 · Subiaco AFC (W) 2.24). The model gives 22% home, 22% draw, 55% away. Under 3.75 goals (54%) and both teams to score (59%). Most likely score: 1-2.

Over its last 10 matches, UWA-Nedlands FC (W) sits at 1-1-8 (W-D-L), while Subiaco AFC (W) arrives on a 2-1-7 run. In the last 6 head-to-head meetings, UWA-Nedlands FC (W) won 1 and Subiaco AFC (W) 5.

55%2
22% 22% 55%
Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · UWA-Nedlands FC (W) 1396 · Subiaco AFC (W) 1447
UWA-Nedlands FC (W)DrawSubiaco AFC (W)
Our model23%22%56%
Market22%22%55%
Estimated total (ours) 3.64 goals · Bet365 line 3.75

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis
Expected goals3.64UWA-Nedlands FC (W) 1.4 · Subiaco AFC (W) 2.24
Over / Under 3.75Under 3.75 · 54%
BTTSYes · 59%
Most likely total3 goals
1st-half goalsUnder 1.5 · 50%model estimate

Match keys

  • Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Subiaco AFC (W) (rating 1396 vs 1447).
  • H2H favours Subiaco AFC (W): 5-0-1.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

UWA-Nedlands FC (W)Subiaco AFC (W)
Goals for / against (FT)0.4 / 2.61.4 / 2.8
Goals for / against (HT)0.2 / 1.20.6 / 1.2
Half-time result (W/D/L)10/20/70%20/40/40%
Corners (HT / FT)1.3 / 2.72.6 / 4.5
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)1.3 / 02 / 0.1

Head-to-head (H2H) · UWA-Nedlands FC (W) 105 Subiaco AFC (W)

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DateHomeScoreAway
03/05/26
Australia WA Premier League Women
Subiaco AFC (W)3-0
HT 1-0
UWA-Nedlands FC (W)
20/07/25
Australia WA Premier League Women
Subiaco AFC (W)5-1
HT 4-1
UWA-Nedlands FC (W)
25/05/25
Australia WA Premier League Women
Subiaco AFC (W)2-3
HT 0-2
UWA-Nedlands FC (W)
18/05/25
Australia WA State Cup Women
Subiaco AFC (W)9-0
HT 3-0
UWA-Nedlands FC (W)
30/03/25
Australia WA Premier League Women
UWA-Nedlands FC (W)2-6
HT 1-4
Subiaco AFC (W)
01/03/25
Australia Friendlies
UWA-Nedlands FC (W)1-9
HT 0-2
Subiaco AFC (W)

Standings · Australia WA Premier League Women

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#Team PWDL GFGAPts
1 Perth SC (W) 131030 29333
2 Balcatta FC (W) 13742 291025
3 Fremantle City FC (W) 13733 301524
4 Perth Redstar FC (W) 12543 221419
5 Hyundai NTC Women 13454 222217
6 Subiaco AFC (W) 12318 162910
7 Sorrento (W) 13229 14368
8 UWA-Nedlands FC (W) 131210 5385

Common opponents 6 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

OpponentUWA-Nedlands FC (W)Subiaco AFC (W)
Hyundai NTC Women 0-1 L 6-4 W
Perth Redstar FC (W) 0-3 L 0-1 L
Sorrento (W) 1-0 W 1-2 L
Balcatta FC (W) 1-1 D 0-3 L
Fremantle City FC (W) 0-5 L 1-2 L
Perth SC (W) 1-3 L 0-5 L
Record vs common 1 W 1 D 4 L 1 W 0 D 5 L

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

UWA-Nedlands FC (W)

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Date Opponent HT FT Cor.Cards Res.
27/06 Hyundai NTC Women
Australia WA Premier League Women
0-0 0-1 20 L
21/06 Perth Redstar FC (W)
Australia WA Premier League Women
0-2 0-3 40 L
14/06 Sorrento (W)
Australia WA Premier League Women
0-0 1-0 73 W
31/05 Balcatta FC (W)
Australia WA Premier League Women
1-0 1-1 10 D
24/05 Fremantle City FC (W)
Australia WA Premier League Women
0-2 0-5 32 L
17/05 Sorrento (W)
Australia WA Premier League Women
0-2 1-3 42 L
03/05 Subiaco AFC (W)
Australia WA Premier League Women
0-1 0-3 32 L
26/04 Perth SC (W)
Australia WA Premier League Women
1-2 1-3 30 L
19/04 Perth Redstar FC (W)
Australia WA Premier League Women
0-1 0-4 04 L
01/04 Balcatta FC (W)
Australia WA Premier League Women
0-2 0-3 00 L

Subiaco AFC (W)

LDLWLLLLWL

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Date Opponent HT FT Cor.Cards Res.
28/06 Balcatta FC (W)
Australia WA Premier League Women
0-0 0-3 23 L
20/06 Hyundai NTC Women
Australia WA Premier League Women
2-2 6-4 101 W
31/05 Fremantle City FC (W)
Australia WA Premier League Women
0-1 1-2 31 L
24/05 Perth SC (W)
Australia WA Premier League Women
0-1 0-5 54 L
17/05 Perth Redstar FC (W)
Australia WA Premier League Women
0-0 0-1 42 L
09/05 Perth SC (W)
Australia WA State Cup Women
1-2 2-3 32 L
03/05 UWA-Nedlands FC (W)
Australia WA Premier League Women
1-0 3-0 72 W
26/04 Sorrento (W)
Australia WA Premier League Women
1-1 1-2 85 L
18/04 Hyundai NTC Women
Australia WA Premier League Women
1-0 1-1 21 D
10/04 Balcatta FC (W)
Australia WA Premier League Women
0-5 0-7 10 L

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in UWA-Nedlands FC (W) vs Subiaco AFC (W)?

According to our model, the most likely result is an Subiaco AFC (W) win (55%). Probabilities: UWA-Nedlands FC (W) 22%, draw 22%, Subiaco AFC (W) 55%.

How many goals are expected in UWA-Nedlands FC (W) vs Subiaco AFC (W)?

The model expects 3.64 goals (UWA-Nedlands FC (W) 1.4 · Subiaco AFC (W) 2.24), with a 54% chance of under 3.75 goals.

Will both teams score in UWA-Nedlands FC (W) vs Subiaco AFC (W)?

The model gives a 59% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-2.