Football · Brazil Serie C · 01/07, 01:30

Volta Redonda vs Amazonas FC

Expected goals: 1.98 (Volta Redonda 1.21 · Amazonas FC 0.78). The model gives 46% home, 31% draw, 23% away. Under 2 goals (51%) and not both to score (53%). Most likely score: 1-0.

46%1
46% 31% 23%
Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Volta Redonda 1448 · Amazonas FC 1489
Volta RedondaDrawAmazonas FC
Our model45%33%22%
Market46%30%24%
Estimated total (ours) 1.98 goals · Bet365 line 2

The bar above blends our model with the market. The value bets mark where the odds cover the model probability with a margin (value).

Model analysis
Expected goals1.98Volta Redonda 1.21 · Amazonas FC 0.78
Over / Under 2Under 2 · 51%
BTTSNo · 53%
Most likely total1 goals
1st-half goalsUnder 1.5 · 78%model estimate

Match keys

  • Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Amazonas FC (rating 1448 vs 1489).
  • H2H favours Amazonas FC: 3-1-1.
  • Cards-heavy: 11.3 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

Volta RedondaAmazonas FC
Goals for / against (FT)0.8 / 1.31.1 / 1.5
Goals for / against (HT)0.3 / 0.70.6 / 0.5
Half-time result (W/D/L)20/30/50%50/30/20%
Corners (HT / FT)2 / 51.8 / 3.7
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)4.8 / 0.36.5 / 0.2

Head-to-head (H2H) · Volta Redonda 113 Amazonas FC

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DateHomeScoreAway
20/09/25
Brazil Serie B
Amazonas FC1-0
HT 1-0
Volta Redonda
20/05/25
Brazil Serie B
Volta Redonda1-1
HT 0-1
Amazonas FC
24/09/23
Brazil Serie C
Volta Redonda0-2
HT 0-1
Amazonas FC
16/09/23
Brazil Serie C
Amazonas FC2-0
HT 1-0
Volta Redonda
17/07/23
Brazil Serie C
Volta Redonda5-1
HT 3-1
Amazonas FC

Standings · Brazil Serie C

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#Team PWDL GFGAPts
1 Guarani 12642 231122
2 Brusque 11632 171121
3 Paysandu 12624 191620
4 Ituano 12543 151219
5 Ferroviaria SP 12543 121019
6 Inter de Limeira 12543 151419
7 Santa Cruz FC 12534 12918
8 Floresta EC 12534 151418
9 Amazonas FC 11524 131317
10 Caxias RS 11443 11916
11 Maringa FC 12444 222416
12 Figueirense 12444 111516
13 Ypiranga RS 12435 151715
14 Volta Redonda 11425 71114
15 Maranhao 12354 91214
16 Botafogo PB 11416 131513
17 Barra FC 12264 141312
18 AD Confianca 12327 71011
19 Itabaiana 12246 91710
20 Anapolis FC 11227 8148

Common opponents 2 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

OpponentVolta RedondaAmazonas FC
Santa Cruz FC 0-2 L 1-0 W
Ferroviaria SP 0-0 D 1-2 L
Record vs common 0 W 1 D 1 L 1 W 0 D 1 L

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Volta Redonda

DLDLDWLWWL

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Date Opponent HT FT Cor.Cards Res.
20/06 Botafogo PB
Brazil Serie C
0-2 0-2 42 L
15/06 AD Confianca
Brazil Serie C
1-0 1-0 25 W
30/05 Itabaiana
Brazil Serie C
0-0 1-0 44 W
28/05 Avai
Brazil Copa Sul-Sudeste
0-1 0-3 45 L
25/05 Ypiranga RS
Brazil Serie C
1-0 2-1 44 W
21/05 Avai
Brazil Copa Sul-Sudeste
1-1 2-2 35 D
16/05 Santa Cruz FC
Brazil Serie C
0-1 0-2 49 L
10/05 Ferroviaria SP
Brazil Serie C
0-0 0-0 95 D
07/05 Gremio Novorizontino
Brazil Copa Sul-Sudeste
0-1 1-2 87 L
03/05 Brusque
Brazil Serie C
0-1 1-1 85 D

Amazonas FC

WWDDLLLLWD

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Date Opponent HT FT Cor.Cards Res.
21/06 Barra FC
Brazil Serie C
1-0 1-1 14 D
13/06 Anapolis FC
Brazil Serie C
1-0 1-0 27 W
31/05 Guarani
Brazil Serie C
0-3 0-5 43 L
24/05 Ferroviaria SP
Brazil Serie C
1-0 1-2 17 L
17/05 Floresta EC
Brazil Serie C
1-2 2-3 68 L
10/05 Figueirense
Brazil Serie C
0-0 0-1 65 L
03/05 Caxias RS
Brazil Serie C
0-0 1-1 110 D
30/04 Monte Roraima
Brazil Copa Norte
1-0 2-2 87 D
26/04 Santa Cruz FC
Brazil Serie C
0-0 1-0 78 W
19/04 Maranhao
Brazil Serie C
1-0 2-0 18 W