Football · Australia Capital Territory Premier League · 04/07, 07:00

Canberra White Eagles vs Tigers FC

Expected goals: 4.39 (Canberra White Eagles 1.2 · Tigers FC 3.2). The model gives 9% home, 12% draw, 79% away. Under 4.25 goals (51%) and both teams to score (59%). Most likely score: 1-3.

79%2

9% 12% 79%

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Canberra White Eagles 1386 · Tigers FC 1597

	Canberra White Eagles	Draw	Tigers FC
Our model	10%	14%	76%
Market	8%	11%	81%

Estimated total (ours) 4.39 goals · Bet365 line 4.25

The bar above blends our model with the market. The value bets mark where the odds cover the model probability with a margin (value).

Model analysis

Expected goals4.39Canberra White Eagles 1.2 · Tigers FC 3.2

Over / Under 4.25Under 4.25 · 51%

BTTSYes · 59%

Most likely total4 goals

1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 60%model estimate

Match keys

Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Tigers FC (rating 1386 vs 1597).
Cards-heavy: 7 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	Canberra White Eagles	Tigers FC
Goals for / against (FT)	0.8 / 2.6	3.1 / 1.1
Goals for / against (HT)	0.4 / 1.4	1.1 / 0.5
Half-time result (W/D/L)	10/30/60%	40/40/20%
Corners (HT / FT)	1.8 / 3.1	2.2 / 3.7
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	3.1 / 0.2	3.9 / 0.4

Odds Bet365

111.00

X8.50

21.14

Handicap ⓘ

1 (+2.5)1.98

2 (-2.5)1.82

Line ⓘ

Over 4.251.95

Under 4.251.85

Diff.: 0.45 · xG: 3.8

View on Bet365 ↗

Market movement

How Bet365's odds have moved from when the line opened until now. It's market data, not a recommendation.

1X2

1 11.00 → 11.00 – 0%

X 8.50 → 8.50 – 0%

2 1.14 → 1.14 – 0%

Over/Under 4.25

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Head-to-head (H2H) · Canberra White Eagles 0–0–1 Tigers FC

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Date	Home	Score	Away
11/04/26 Australia Capital Territory Premier League	Tigers FC	7-0 HT 2-0	Canberra White Eagles

Standings · Australia Capital Territory Premier League

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Canberra Croatia FC	13	10	1	2	38	16	31
2	Monaro Panthers	13	10	0	3	42	21	30
3	Tigers FC	14	9	1	4	39	18	28
4	Tuggeranong Utd	13	9	0	4	33	29	27
5	Queanbeyan City	12	8	0	4	27	17	24
6	Canberra Juventus	12	8	0	4	29	21	24
7	O'Connor Knights	14	5	0	9	15	28	15
8	Canberra Olympic	13	4	1	8	30	37	13
9	Belconnen United	13	2	2	9	23	32	8
10	Brindabella Blues FC	12	2	0	10	7	33	6
11	Canberra White Eagles	13	1	1	11	10	41	4

Common opponents 6 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	Canberra White Eagles	Tigers FC
Canberra Croatia FC	1-2 L	1-1 D
Belconnen United	2-1 W	3-2 W
Monaro Panthers	1-2 L	0-2 L
O'Connor Knights	0-2 L	1-0 W
Canberra Juventus	1-4 L	5-1 W
Brindabella Blues FC	0-2 L	7-0 W
Record vs common	1 W 0 D 5 L	4 W 1 D 1 L

Better against common opponents: Tigers FC (4 of 6 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

League

Canberra White Eagles

LLLLLLLWLL

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
27/06	Queanbeyan City Australia Capital Territory Premier League	0-1	1-2	4	3	L
17/06	Canberra Croatia FC Australia Capital Territory Premier League	0-0	1-2	3	6	L
10/06	Belconnen United Australia Capital Territory Premier League	1-1	2-1	5	4	W
30/05	Monaro Panthers Australia Capital Territory Premier League	1-0	1-2	0	2	L
23/05	O'Connor Knights Australia Capital Territory Premier League	0-1	0-2	6	2	L
17/05	Canberra Juventus Australia Capital Territory Premier League	1-1	1-4	3	5	L
12/05	Queanbeyan City Australia Capital Territory Premier League	0-2	0-3	2	3	L
05/05	Canberra Croatia FC Australia Cup Qualifying	0-3	0-4	1	1	L
02/05	Brindabella Blues FC Australia Capital Territory Premier League	0-2	0-2	0	4	L
24/04	Tuggeranong Utd Australia Capital Territory Premier League	1-3	2-4	7	3	L

Tigers FC

WWWWWWWWDL

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
27/06	Monaro Panthers Australia Capital Territory Premier League	0-1	0-2	2	6	L
20/06	Canberra Croatia FC Australia Capital Territory Premier League	1-1	1-1	3	3	D
14/06	Canberra Juventus Australia Capital Territory Premier League	2-0	5-1	3	2	W
10/06	O'Connor Knights Australia Capital Territory Premier League	0-0	1-0	7	5	W
06/06	Canberra Croatia FC Australia Cup Qualifying	1-1	5-1	2	8	W
23/05	Brindabella Blues FC Australia Capital Territory Premier League	3-0	7-0	5	0	W
20/05	Monaro Panthers Australia Cup Qualifying	1-1	3-1	8	3	W
16/05	Canberra Olympic Australia Capital Territory Premier League	0-1	3-2	3	4	W
13/05	Monaro Panthers Australia Capital Territory Premier League	2-0	3-1	3	5	W
09/05	Belconnen United Australia Capital Territory Premier League	1-0	3-2	1	7	W