Football · Australia Capital Territory Premier League · 04/07, 09:45
Monaro Panthers vs Brindabella Blues FC
Expected goals: 4.46 (Monaro Panthers 3.23 · Brindabella Blues FC 1.23). The model gives 82% home, 10% draw, 7% away. Under 5 goals (57%) and both teams to score (59%). Most likely score: 3-1.
82%1
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Monaro Panthers 1590 · Brindabella Blues FC 1402
| Monaro Panthers | Draw | Brindabella Blues FC | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 76% | 14% | 10% |
| Market | 88% | 7% | 5% |
Estimated total (ours)
4.46 goals · Bet365 line 5 · -0.5
The bar above blends our model with the market. The value bets mark where the odds cover the model probability with a margin (value).
Model analysis
Expected goals4.46Monaro Panthers 3.23 · Brindabella Blues FC 1.23
Over / Under 5Under 5 · 57%
BTTSYes · 59%
Most likely total4 goals
1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 55%model estimate
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Monaro Panthers (rating 1590 vs 1402).
- Cards-heavy: 5.7 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Monaro Panthers | Brindabella Blues FC | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 2.7 / 1.9 | 0.6 / 2.6 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 1.2 / 1 | 0.2 / 0.4 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 50/10/40% | 10/70/20% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 2.9 / 6.6 | 0.6 / 2.5 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 3.1 / 0.3 | 2.6 / 0.3 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Monaro Panthers 1–0–0 Brindabella Blues FC
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 11/04/26 Australia Capital Territory Premier League | Brindabella Blues FC | 0-3 HT 0-1 | Monaro Panthers |
Standings · Australia Capital Territory Premier League
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Canberra Croatia FC | 13 | 10 | 1 | 2 | 38 | 16 | 31 |
| 2 | Monaro Panthers | 13 | 10 | 0 | 3 | 42 | 21 | 30 |
| 3 | Tigers FC | 14 | 9 | 1 | 4 | 39 | 18 | 28 |
| 4 | Tuggeranong Utd | 13 | 9 | 0 | 4 | 33 | 29 | 27 |
| 5 | Queanbeyan City | 12 | 8 | 0 | 4 | 27 | 17 | 24 |
| 6 | Canberra Juventus | 12 | 8 | 0 | 4 | 29 | 21 | 24 |
| 7 | O'Connor Knights | 14 | 5 | 0 | 9 | 15 | 28 | 15 |
| 8 | Canberra Olympic | 13 | 4 | 1 | 8 | 30 | 37 | 13 |
| 9 | Belconnen United | 13 | 2 | 2 | 9 | 23 | 32 | 8 |
| 10 | Brindabella Blues FC | 12 | 2 | 0 | 10 | 7 | 33 | 6 |
| 11 | Canberra White Eagles | 13 | 1 | 1 | 11 | 10 | 41 | 4 |
Common opponents 7 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Monaro Panthers | Brindabella Blues FC |
|---|---|---|
| Tigers FC | 2-0 W | 0-7 L |
| Canberra Olympic | 5-2 W | 0-3 L |
| Tuggeranong Utd | 6-1 W | 1-5 L |
| Canberra White Eagles | 2-1 W | 2-0 W |
| Canberra Croatia FC | 1-4 L | 0-2 L |
| Belconnen United | 3-1 W | 1-4 L |
| O'Connor Knights | 1-2 L | 1-0 W |
| Record vs common | 5 W 0 D 2 L | 2 W 0 D 5 L |
Better against common opponents: Monaro Panthers (4 of 7 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Monaro Panthers
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27/06 | Tigers FC Australia Capital Territory Premier League |
1-0 | 2-0 | 4 | 6 | W |
| 20/06 | Canberra Olympic Australia Capital Territory Premier League |
2-1 | 5-2 | 5 | 4 | W |
| 13/06 | Queanbeyan City Australia Capital Territory Premier League |
2-1 | 5-2 | 6 | 1 | W |
| 10/06 | Tuggeranong Utd Australia Capital Territory Premier League |
4-0 | 6-1 | 8 | 1 | W |
| 30/05 | Canberra White Eagles Australia Capital Territory Premier League |
0-1 | 2-1 | 9 | 2 | W |
| 24/05 | Canberra Croatia FC Australia Capital Territory Premier League |
1-3 | 1-4 | 4 | 6 | L |
| 20/05 | Tigers FC Australia Cup Qualifying |
1-1 | 1-3 | 4 | 3 | L |
| 16/05 | Belconnen United Australia Capital Territory Premier League |
1-0 | 3-1 | 10 | 1 | W |
| 13/05 | Tigers FC Australia Capital Territory Premier League |
0-2 | 1-3 | 4 | 5 | L |
| 09/05 | O'Connor Knights Australia Capital Territory Premier League |
0-1 | 1-2 | 12 | 5 | L |
Brindabella Blues FC
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28/06 | Canberra Juventus Australia Capital Territory Premier League |
0-0 | 0-2 | 3 | 6 | L |
| 20/06 | O'Connor Knights Australia Capital Territory Premier League |
0-0 | 1-0 | 2 | 3 | W |
| 13/06 | Belconnen United Australia Capital Territory Premier League |
0-0 | 1-4 | 3 | 4 | L |
| 30/05 | Canberra Olympic Australia Capital Territory Premier League |
0-0 | 0-3 | 0 | 3 | L |
| 23/05 | Tigers FC Australia Capital Territory Premier League |
0-3 | 0-7 | 0 | 0 | L |
| 16/05 | Tuggeranong Utd Australia Capital Territory Premier League |
0-0 | 1-5 | 9 | 0 | L |
| 13/05 | Canberra Juventus Australia Capital Territory Premier League |
0-0 | 0-1 | 0 | 4 | L |
| 02/05 | Canberra White Eagles Australia Capital Territory Premier League |
2-0 | 2-0 | 6 | 4 | W |
| 24/04 | O'Connor Knights Australia Capital Territory Premier League |
0-0 | 1-2 | 2 | 1 | L |
| 18/04 | Canberra Croatia FC Australia Capital Territory Premier League |
0-1 | 0-2 | 0 | 4 | L |