Football · Australia Western Australia Premier League · 04/07, 09:00
Armadale vs Olympic Kingsway
Expected goals: 3.73 (Armadale 1.52 · Olympic Kingsway 2.21). The model gives 25% home, 23% draw, 52% away. Over 3.5 goals (51%) and both teams to score (60%). Most likely score: 1-2.
52%2
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Armadale 1481 · Olympic Kingsway 1512
| Armadale | Draw | Olympic Kingsway | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 26% | 22% | 52% |
| Market | 25% | 23% | 52% |
Estimated total (ours)
3.73 goals · Bet365 line 3.5 · +0.2
The bar above blends our model with the market. The value bets mark where the odds cover the model probability with a margin (value).
Model analysis
Expected goals3.73Armadale 1.52 · Olympic Kingsway 2.21
Over / Under 3.5Over 3.5 · 51%
BTTSYes · 60%
Most likely total3 goals
1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 53%model estimate
Match keys
- H2H favours Olympic Kingsway: 3-3-0.
- Cards-heavy: 5.9 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Armadale | Olympic Kingsway | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 2.2 / 2.4 | 2.2 / 2.1 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 1.1 / 0.9 | 1.2 / 1.1 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 40/30/30% | 40/40/20% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 3.1 / 5.2 | 1.8 / 3.8 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 2.7 / 0.4 | 3.2 / 0.4 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Armadale 0–3–3 Olympic Kingsway
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 04/04/26 Australia Western Australia Premier League | Olympic Kingsway | 0-0 HT 0-0 | Armadale |
| 19/07/25 Australia Western Australia Premier League | Olympic Kingsway | 2-0 HT 1-0 | Armadale |
| 26/04/25 Australia Western Australia Premier League | Armadale | 0-3 HT 0-1 | Olympic Kingsway |
| 31/08/24 Australia Western Australia Premier League | Olympic Kingsway | 2-2 HT 0-2 | Armadale |
| 08/06/24 Australia Western Australia Premier League | Armadale | 1-2 HT 1-0 | Olympic Kingsway |
| 03/02/24 Australia Friendlies | Armadale | 2-2 HT 1-1 | Olympic Kingsway |
Standings · Australia Western Australia Premier League
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Bayswater City | 16 | 10 | 3 | 3 | 41 | 22 | 33 |
| 2 | Perth RedStar FC | 15 | 9 | 4 | 2 | 26 | 19 | 31 |
| 3 | Olympic Kingsway | 15 | 9 | 3 | 3 | 30 | 22 | 30 |
| 4 | Perth SC | 16 | 8 | 5 | 3 | 38 | 29 | 29 |
| 5 | Fremantle City FC | 16 | 6 | 6 | 4 | 32 | 26 | 24 |
| 6 | Stirling Macedonia | 16 | 7 | 2 | 7 | 32 | 26 | 23 |
| 7 | Sorrento | 16 | 6 | 2 | 8 | 18 | 27 | 20 |
| 8 | Western Knights | 16 | 5 | 4 | 7 | 29 | 30 | 19 |
| 9 | Dianella White Eagles | 16 | 5 | 4 | 7 | 26 | 29 | 19 |
| 10 | Armadale | 16 | 4 | 3 | 9 | 30 | 39 | 15 |
| 11 | Perth Glory NPL | 16 | 3 | 4 | 9 | 27 | 33 | 13 |
| 12 | Balcatta | 16 | 2 | 2 | 12 | 21 | 48 | 8 |
Common opponents 9 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Armadale | Olympic Kingsway |
|---|---|---|
| Perth SC | 1-4 L | 1-2 L |
| Sorrento | 3-0 W | 4-1 W |
| Bayswater City | 0-5 L | 2-3 L |
| Fremantle City FC | 2-1 W | 1-3 L |
| Perth Glory NPL | 3-2 W | 2-1 W |
| Dianella White Eagles | 2-2 D | 3-1 W |
| Balcatta | 5-0 W | 5-4 W |
| Stirling Macedonia | 2-4 L | 0-3 L |
| Western Knights | 4-5 L | 2-1 W |
| Record vs common | 4 W 1 D 4 L | 5 W 0 D 4 L |
Better against common opponents: Olympic Kingsway (4 of 9 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Armadale
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27/06 | Perth SC Australia Western Australia Premier League |
0-2 | 1-4 | 5 | 5 | L |
| 20/06 | Sorrento Australia Western Australia Premier League |
0-0 | 3-0 | 4 | 2 | W |
| 13/06 | Bayswater City Australia Western Australia Premier League |
0-1 | 0-5 | 3 | 1 | L |
| 06/06 | Fremantle City FC Australia Western Australia Premier League |
1-1 | 2-1 | 5 | 2 | W |
| 30/05 | Perth Glory NPL Australia Western Australia Premier League |
2-2 | 3-2 | 10 | 2 | W |
| 23/05 | Dianella White Eagles Australia Western Australia Premier League |
1-0 | 2-2 | 4 | 1 | D |
| 16/05 | Perth RedStar FC Australia Western Australia Premier League |
0-1 | 0-1 | 5 | 5 | L |
| 09/05 | Balcatta Australia Western Australia Premier League |
2-0 | 5-0 | 5 | 6 | W |
| 25/04 | Stirling Macedonia Australia Western Australia Premier League |
2-1 | 2-4 | 3 | 3 | L |
| 18/04 | Western Knights Australia Western Australia Premier League |
3-1 | 4-5 | 8 | 4 | L |
Olympic Kingsway
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27/06 | Balcatta Australia Western Australia Premier League |
3-2 | 5-4 | 7 | 0 | W |
| 20/06 | Stirling Macedonia Australia Western Australia Premier League |
0-2 | 0-3 | 5 | 6 | L |
| 16/06 | Fremantle City FC Australia Cup Qualifying |
1-1 | 1-3 | 5 | 1 | L |
| 06/06 | Perth Glory NPL Australia Western Australia Premier League |
2-1 | 2-1 | 1 | 5 | W |
| 29/05 | Dianella White Eagles Australia Western Australia Premier League |
1-1 | 3-1 | 5 | 4 | W |
| 23/05 | Sorrento Australia Western Australia Premier League |
1-0 | 4-1 | 3 | 3 | W |
| 16/05 | Fremantle City FC Australia Western Australia Premier League |
2-1 | 2-2 | 2 | 3 | D |
| 08/05 | Bayswater City Australia Western Australia Premier League |
1-2 | 2-3 | 2 | 5 | L |
| 25/04 | Western Knights Australia Western Australia Premier League |
0-0 | 2-1 | 3 | 4 | W |
| 18/04 | Perth SC Australia Western Australia Premier League |
1-1 | 1-2 | 5 | 5 | L |