Football · Australia Western Australia Premier League · 04/07, 09:00

Fremantle City FC vs Bayswater City

Expected goals: 4.03 (Fremantle City FC 1.71 · Bayswater City 2.33). The model gives 27% home, 23% draw, 50% away. Over 3.5 goals (52%) and both teams to score (62%). Most likely score: 1-2.

50%2

27% 23% 50%

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Fremantle City FC 1519 · Bayswater City 1608

	Fremantle City FC	Draw	Bayswater City
Our model	28%	21%	51%
Market	26%	24%	50%

Estimated total (ours) 4.03 goals · Bet365 line 3.5 · +0.5

The bar above blends our model with the market. The value bets mark where the odds cover the model probability with a margin (value).

Model analysis

Expected goals4.03Fremantle City FC 1.71 · Bayswater City 2.33

Over / Under 3.5Over 3.5 · 52%

BTTSYes · 62%

Most likely total4 goals

1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 57%model estimate

Match keys

Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Bayswater City (rating 1519 vs 1608).
H2H favours Bayswater City: 3-2-1.
High corners: 10.7 combined avg.
Cards-heavy: 5.1 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	Fremantle City FC	Bayswater City
Goals for / against (FT)	2.2 / 1.4	2.9 / 1.6
Goals for / against (HT)	0.9 / 0.9	0.8 / 1
Half-time result (W/D/L)	20/60/20%	30/40/30%
Corners (HT / FT)	1.9 / 5.4	1.9 / 5.3
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	2.3 / 0.1	2.8 / 0.4

Odds Bet365

13.40

X3.80

21.80

Handicap ⓘ

1 (+0.5)2.00

2 (-0.5)1.80

Line ⓘ

Over 3.51.98

Under 3.51.82

Diff.: 0.55 · xG: 4.05

View on Bet365 ↗

Market movement

How Bet365's odds have moved from when the line opened until now. It's market data, not a recommendation.

1X2

1 3.40 → 3.40 – 0%

X 3.80 → 3.80 – 0%

2 1.80 → 1.80 – 0%

Over/Under 3.5

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Both teams to score

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Head-to-head (H2H) · Fremantle City FC 1–2–3 Bayswater City

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Date	Home	Score	Away
02/04/26 Australia Western Australia Premier League	Bayswater City	3-3 HT 2-0	Fremantle City FC
23/01/26 Australia Friendlies	Bayswater City	2-2 HT 2-2	Fremantle City FC
16/08/25 Australia Western Australia Premier League	Fremantle City FC	1-2 HT 1-2	Bayswater City
31/05/25 Australia Western Australia Premier League	Bayswater City	2-0 HT 1-0	Fremantle City FC
21/02/25 Australia Friendlies	Fremantle City FC	3-0 HT 1-0	Bayswater City
06/07/24 Australia Western Australia Premier League	Bayswater City	1-0 HT 1-0	Fremantle City FC

Standings · Australia Western Australia Premier League

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Bayswater City	16	10	3	3	41	22	33
2	Perth RedStar FC	15	9	4	2	26	19	31
3	Olympic Kingsway	15	9	3	3	30	22	30
4	Perth SC	16	8	5	3	38	29	29
5	Fremantle City FC	16	6	6	4	32	26	24
6	Stirling Macedonia	16	7	2	7	32	26	23
7	Sorrento	16	6	2	8	18	27	20
8	Western Knights	16	5	4	7	29	30	19
9	Dianella White Eagles	16	5	4	7	26	29	19
10	Armadale	16	4	3	9	30	39	15
11	Perth Glory NPL	16	3	4	9	27	33	13
12	Balcatta	16	2	2	12	21	48	8

Common opponents 8 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	Fremantle City FC	Bayswater City
Western Knights	3-0 W	4-4 D
Dianella White Eagles	1-0 W	4-3 W
Olympic Kingsway	3-1 W	3-2 W
Armadale	1-2 L	5-0 W
Perth RedStar FC	2-2 D	3-0 W
Perth Glory NPL	4-3 W	0-1 L
Perth SC	1-1 D	3-2 W
Sorrento	0-1 L	2-1 W
Record vs common	4 W 2 D 2 L	6 W 1 D 1 L

Better against common opponents: Bayswater City (4 of 8 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

League

Fremantle City FC

LDDWDLWWWW

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
27/06	Western Knights Australia Western Australia Premier League	0-0	3-0	7	5	W
20/06	Dianella White Eagles Australia Western Australia Premier League	0-0	1-0	3	2	W
16/06	Olympic Kingsway Australia Cup Qualifying	1-1	3-1	6	1	W
13/06	Balcatta Australia Western Australia Premier League	3-1	5-2	4	2	W
06/06	Armadale Australia Western Australia Premier League	1-1	1-2	4	2	L
30/05	Perth RedStar FC Australia Western Australia Premier League	0-2	2-2	6	2	D
23/05	Perth Glory NPL Australia Western Australia Premier League	2-2	4-3	8	2	W
16/05	Olympic Kingsway Australia Western Australia Premier League	1-2	2-2	3	3	D
08/05	Perth SC Australia Western Australia Premier League	1-0	1-1	3	5	D
25/04	Sorrento Australia Western Australia Premier League	0-0	0-1	10	0	L

Bayswater City

WWLWWWWWDW

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
26/06	Perth RedStar FC Australia Western Australia Premier League	0-0	3-0	6	1	W
20/06	Western Knights Australia Western Australia Premier League	2-2	4-4	3	5	D
16/06	Perth RedStar FC Australia Cup Qualifying	0-2	3-2	6	1	W
13/06	Armadale Australia Western Australia Premier League	1-0	5-0	4	1	W
05/06	Dianella White Eagles Australia Western Australia Premier League	1-3	4-3	1	5	W
30/05	Sorrento Australia Western Australia Premier League	0-0	2-1	10	3	W
23/05	Stirling Macedonia Australia Western Australia Premier League	0-1	2-1	7	5	W
16/05	Perth Glory NPL Australia Western Australia Premier League	0-0	0-1	10	3	L
08/05	Olympic Kingsway Australia Western Australia Premier League	2-1	3-2	5	5	W
24/04	Perth SC Australia Western Australia Premier League	2-1	3-2	1	3	W