Prediction: Launceston City (W) vs South Hobart (W)
Expected goals: 4.28 (Launceston City (W) 1.37 · South Hobart (W) 2.9). The model gives 15% home, 17% draw, 68% away. Over 4 goals (51%) and both teams to score (60%). Most likely score: 1-2.
On recent form, Launceston City (W) is 3-2-5 (wins-draws-losses) over its last 10 matches and South Hobart (W) 5-1-4 over its own. In the last 2 head-to-head meetings, Launceston City (W) won 0 and South Hobart (W) 2.
| Launceston City (W) | Draw | South Hobart (W) | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 15% | 17% | 68% |
| Market | 14% | 18% | 68% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours South Hobart (W) (rating 1473 vs 1517).
- H2H favours South Hobart (W): 2-0-0.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Launceston City (W) | South Hobart (W) | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 1.7 / 3.5 | 2.5 / 2 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.9 / 1.9 | 1.3 / 0.8 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 40/10/50% | 40/20/40% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 2.1 / 4 | 2.6 / 5.3 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 1.1 / 0 | 1 / 0 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Launceston City (W) 0–0–2 South Hobart (W)
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 03/05/26 Australia Tasmania Super League Women | South Hobart (W) | 6-0 HT 3-0 | Launceston City (W) |
| 30/06/18 Australia Tasmania Super League Women | South Hobart (W) | 2-0 HT 1-0 | Launceston City (W) |
Standings · Australia Tasmania Super League Women
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Devonport Strikers (W) | 12 | 12 | 0 | 0 | 58 | 3 | 36 |
| 2 | Glenorchy Knights (W) | 12 | 7 | 2 | 3 | 36 | 15 | 23 |
| 3 | South Hobart (W) | 12 | 7 | 1 | 4 | 34 | 21 | 22 |
| 4 | Kingborough Lions (W) | 11 | 4 | 3 | 4 | 22 | 25 | 15 |
| 5 | Launceston United (W) | 12 | 4 | 1 | 7 | 39 | 28 | 13 |
| 6 | Launceston City (W) | 12 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 19 | 37 | 13 |
| 7 | Taroona (W) | 12 | 3 | 1 | 8 | 15 | 34 | 10 |
| 8 | Riverside Olympic (W) | 11 | 0 | 2 | 9 | 6 | 66 | 2 |
Common opponents 6 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Launceston City (W) | South Hobart (W) |
|---|---|---|
| Devonport Strikers (W) | 0-5 L | 0-5 L |
| Launceston United (W) | 5-0 W | 0-2 L |
| Taroona (W) | 2-1 W | 2-4 L |
| Riverside Olympic (W) | 3-3 D | 6-0 W |
| Kingborough Lions (W) | 2-2 D | 2-1 W |
| Glenorchy Knights (W) | 0-5 L | 2-2 D |
| Record vs common | 2 W 2 D 2 L | 2 W 1 D 3 L |
Better against common opponents: South Hobart (W) (3 of 6 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Launceston City (W)
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27/06 | Devonport Strikers (W) Australia Tasmania Super League Women |
0-4 | 0-5 | 1 | 1 | L |
| 20/06 | Launceston United (W) Australia Tasmania Super League Women |
3-0 | 5-0 | 4 | 0 | W |
| 13/06 | Taroona (W) Australia Tasmania Super League Women |
1-0 | 2-1 | 6 | 0 | W |
| 30/05 | Riverside Olympic (W) Australia Tasmania Super League Women |
2-2 | 3-3 | 5 | 2 | D |
| 24/05 | Kingborough Lions (W) Australia Tasmania Super League Women |
1-0 | 2-2 | 7 | 2 | D |
| 09/05 | Glenorchy Knights (W) Australia Tasmania Super League Women |
0-3 | 0-5 | 2 | 1 | L |
| 06/05 | Launceston United (W) Australia Tasmania Super League Women |
0-4 | 0-7 | 6 | 1 | L |
| 03/05 | South Hobart (W) Australia Tasmania Super League Women |
0-3 | 0-6 | 4 | 2 | L |
| 18/04 | Devonport Strikers (W) Australia Tasmania Super League Women |
0-3 | 0-6 | 1 | 1 | L |
| 28/03 | Taroona (W) Australia Tasmania Super League Women |
2-0 | 5-0 | 4 | 1 | W |
South Hobart (W)
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28/06 | Kingborough Lions (W) Australia Tasmania Super League Women |
1-1 | 2-1 | 5 | 3 | W |
| 21/06 | Glenorchy Knights (W) Australia Tasmania Super League Women |
2-0 | 2-2 | 2 | 0 | D |
| 14/06 | Devonport Strikers (W) Australia Tasmania Super League Women |
0-1 | 0-5 | 4 | 2 | L |
| 29/05 | Taroona (W) Australia Tasmania Super League Women |
1-2 | 2-4 | 7 | 0 | L |
| 23/05 | Launceston United (W) Australia Tasmania Super League Women |
0-1 | 0-2 | 9 | 1 | L |
| 09/05 | Riverside Olympic (W) Australia Tasmania Super League Women |
3-0 | 6-0 | 6 | 0 | W |
| 03/05 | Launceston City (W) Australia Tasmania Super League Women |
3-0 | 6-0 | 8 | 2 | W |
| 18/04 | Kingborough Lions (W) Australia Tasmania Super League Women |
2-1 | 4-1 | 5 | 0 | W |
| 11/04 | Glenorchy Knights (W) Australia Tasmania Super League Women |
0-0 | 2-0 | 5 | 0 | W |
| 28/03 | Devonport Strikers (W) Australia Tasmania Super League Women |
1-2 | 1-5 | 2 | 2 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Launceston City (W) vs South Hobart (W)?
According to our model, the most likely result is an South Hobart (W) win (68%). Probabilities: Launceston City (W) 15%, draw 17%, South Hobart (W) 68%.
How many goals are expected in Launceston City (W) vs South Hobart (W)?
The model expects 4.28 goals (Launceston City (W) 1.37 · South Hobart (W) 2.9), with a 51% chance of over 4 goals.
Will both teams score in Launceston City (W) vs South Hobart (W)?
The model gives a 60% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-2.