Football · Australia Tasmania Premier League · 05/07, 06:30

South East United FC vs South Hobart

Expected goals: 4.72 (South East United FC 1.36 · South Hobart 3.36). The model gives 7% home, 9% draw, 84% away. Under 5 goals (56%) and both teams to score (61%). Most likely score: 1-3.

84%2

7% 9% 84%

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · South East United FC 1439 · South Hobart 1613

	South East United FC	Draw	South Hobart
Our model	11%	14%	75%
Market	4%	6%	91%

Estimated total (ours) 4.72 goals · Bet365 line 5 · -0.3

The bar above blends our model with the market. The value bets mark where the odds cover the model probability with a margin (value).

Model analysis

Expected goals4.72South East United FC 1.36 · South Hobart 3.36

Over / Under 5Under 5 · 56%

BTTSYes · 61%

Most likely total4 goals

1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 62%model estimate

Match keys

Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours South Hobart (rating 1439 vs 1613).
H2H favours South Hobart: 2-0-0.
High corners: 14.9 combined avg.
Cards-heavy: 6.1 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	South East United FC	South Hobart
Goals for / against (FT)	1.2 / 3.7	4 / 0.9
Goals for / against (HT)	0.7 / 1.8	1.3 / 0.3
Half-time result (W/D/L)	20/40/40%	60/30/10%
Corners (HT / FT)	3.1 / 3.8	5.9 / 11.1
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	3.6 / 0.1	2.5 / 0

Odds Bet365

126.00

X17.00

21.04

Handicap ⓘ

1 (+3.75)1.98

2 (-3.75)1.82

Line ⓘ

Over 51.98

Under 51.82

Diff.: 0.1 · xG: 4.9

View on Bet365 ↗

Market movement

How Bet365's odds have moved from when the line opened until now. It's market data, not a recommendation.

1X2

1 26.00 → 26.00 – 0%

X 17.00 → 17.00 – 0%

2 1.04 → 1.04 – 0%

Over/Under 5

Go premium to see every market's movement

← Analysis Join the channel

Head-to-head (H2H) · South East United FC 0–0–2 South Hobart

Swipe the table sideways →

Date	Home	Score	Away
12/04/26 Australia Tasmania Premier League	South Hobart	6-0 HT 2-0	South East United FC
09/06/25 Australia Cup Qualifying	South Hobart	3-2 HT 3-1	South East United FC

Standings · Australia Tasmania Premier League

Swipe the table sideways →

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	South Hobart	13	11	2	0	52	11	35
2	Kingborough Lions	13	10	1	2	40	12	31
3	Devonport City	12	9	1	2	36	14	28
4	Launceston City	12	8	0	4	32	21	24
5	Riverside Olympic	12	6	2	4	24	17	20
6	Clarence Zebras FC	13	6	2	5	21	20	20
7	Glenorchy Knights FC	13	3	1	9	16	26	10
8	South East United FC	13	3	0	10	14	44	9
9	Launceston United	12	1	2	9	13	42	5
10	Ulverstone	13	0	1	12	10	51	1

Common opponents 8 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	South East United FC	South Hobart
Launceston City	0-1 L	8-1 W
Glenorchy Knights FC	1-0 W	6-1 W
Kingborough Lions	0-9 L	1-1 D
Clarence Zebras FC	1-2 L	3-1 W
Ulverstone	2-0 W	6-0 W
Riverside Olympic	0-5 L	1-1 D
Launceston United	6-4 W	4-1 W
Devonport City	1-4 L	3-2 W
Record vs common	3 W 0 D 5 L	6 W 2 D 0 L

Better against common opponents: South Hobart (8 of 8 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

South East United FC

LLLWLWLLWL

Swipe the table sideways →

Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
28/06	Launceston City Australia Tasmania Premier League	0-0	0-1	4	3	L
20/06	Glenorchy Knights FC Australia Tasmania Premier League	1-0	1-0	6	7	W
14/06	Kingborough Lions Australia Tasmania Premier League	0-7	0-9	0	1	L
31/05	Clarence Zebras FC Australia Tasmania Premier League	1-1	1-2	9	1	L
23/05	Ulverstone Australia Tasmania Premier League	0-0	2-0	6	10	W
09/05	Riverside Olympic Australia Tasmania Premier League	0-3	0-5	4	1	L
02/05	Launceston United Australia Tasmania Premier League	3-2	6-4	3	4	W
19/04	Devonport City Australia Tasmania Premier League	1-2	1-4	3	4	L
12/04	South Hobart Australia Tasmania Premier League	0-2	0-6	0	2	L
28/03	Launceston City Australia Tasmania Premier League	1-1	1-6	3	4	L

South Hobart

WWWWWDWWDW

Swipe the table sideways →

Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
27/06	Glenorchy Knights FC Australia Tasmania Premier League	2-0	6-1	14	2	W
21/06	Kingborough Lions Australia Tasmania Premier League	0-0	1-1	6	6	D
13/06	Clarence Zebras FC Australia Tasmania Premier League	1-0	3-1	14	3	W
30/05	Launceston United Australia Tasmania Premier League	0-0	4-1	15	1	W
23/05	Riverside Olympic Australia Tasmania Premier League	0-1	1-1	6	4	D
09/05	Launceston City Australia Tasmania Premier League	2-0	8-1	7	0	W
02/05	Devonport City Australia Tasmania Premier League	2-1	3-2	7	4	W
18/04	Ulverstone Australia Tasmania Premier League	3-0	6-0	12	1	W
12/04	South East United FC Australia Tasmania Premier League	2-0	6-0	14	2	W
27/03	Glenorchy Knights FC Australia Tasmania Premier League	1-1	2-1	16	2	W