Prediction: Glenorchy Knights Reserves vs Clarence Zebras Reserves
Expected goals: 4.5 (Glenorchy Knights Reserves 2.39 · Clarence Zebras Reserves 2.11). The model gives 45% home, 21% draw, 35% away. Under 4.5 goals (53%) and both teams to score (64%). Most likely score: 2-2.
Over its last 10 matches, Glenorchy Knights Reserves sits at 1-2-7 (W-D-L), while Clarence Zebras Reserves arrives on a 4-1-5 run. In the last 6 head-to-head meetings the record reads 3 wins for Glenorchy Knights Reserves and 2 for Clarence Zebras Reserves, with 1 draw.
| Glenorchy Knights Reserves | Draw | Clarence Zebras Reserves | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 45% | 20% | 35% |
| Market | 45% | 21% | 34% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Clarence Zebras Reserves (rating 1415 vs 1467).
- H2H favours Glenorchy Knights Reserves: 3-1-2.
- Cards-heavy: 5.4 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Glenorchy Knights Reserves | Clarence Zebras Reserves | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 1.2 / 3.6 | 2.3 / 2.7 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.7 / 1.2 | 0.9 / 1.3 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 20/30/50% | 20/40/40% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 0.3 / 2.5 | 1.6 / 3.8 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 2.7 / 0.2 | 2.8 / 0.1 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Glenorchy Knights Reserves 3–1–2 Clarence Zebras Reserves
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 11/04/26 Australia Tasmania Championship | Clarence Zebras Reserves | 4-1 HT 1-1 | Glenorchy Knights Reserves |
| 06/07/24 Australia Tasmania Championship | Glenorchy Knights Reserves | 4-1 HT 3-0 | Clarence Zebras Reserves |
| 23/07/22 Australia Tasmania Championship | Glenorchy Knights Reserves | 6-2 HT 1-0 | Clarence Zebras Reserves |
| 09/04/22 Australia Tasmania Championship | Clarence Zebras Reserves | 1-2 HT 1-1 | Glenorchy Knights Reserves |
| 06/03/22 Friendly Match - 80 mins play | Glenorchy Knights Reserves | 1-1 HT 1-1 | Clarence Zebras Reserves |
| 22/05/21 Australia Tasmania Championship | Clarence Zebras Reserves | 4-3 HT 1-1 | Glenorchy Knights Reserves |
Standings · Australia Tasmania Championship
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | South Hobart FC 2 | 11 | 7 | 1 | 3 | 48 | 20 | 22 |
| 2 | New Town Eagles | 11 | 6 | 4 | 1 | 39 | 14 | 22 |
| 3 | Olympia FC Warriors | 10 | 7 | 0 | 3 | 29 | 19 | 21 |
| 4 | Hobart City FC | 11 | 5 | 4 | 2 | 26 | 20 | 19 |
| 5 | Taroona | 10 | 5 | 2 | 3 | 34 | 16 | 17 |
| 6 | Clarence Zebras Reserves | 11 | 5 | 1 | 5 | 26 | 29 | 16 |
| 7 | University of Tasmania | 11 | 2 | 1 | 8 | 22 | 43 | 7 |
| 8 | Hobart United | 11 | 2 | 1 | 8 | 18 | 57 | 7 |
| 9 | Glenorchy Knights Reserves | 10 | 1 | 2 | 7 | 12 | 36 | 5 |
| 10 | South East United FC | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
Common opponents 7 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Glenorchy Knights Reserves | Clarence Zebras Reserves |
|---|---|---|
| South Hobart FC 2 | 0-6 L | 1-3 L |
| Hobart City FC | 1-3 L | 3-1 W |
| Taroona | 2-2 D | 1-3 L |
| Hobart United | 0-5 L | 2-2 D |
| University of Tasmania | 2-1 W | 1-4 L |
| New Town Eagles | 1-5 L | 1-6 L |
| Olympia FC Warriors | 1-4 L | 0-2 L |
| Record vs common | 1 W 1 D 5 L | 1 W 1 D 5 L |
Better against common opponents: Clarence Zebras Reserves (4 of 7 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Glenorchy Knights Reserves
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26/06 | South Hobart FC 2 Australia Tasmania Championship |
0-2 | 0-6 | 1 | 0 | L |
| 13/06 | Hobart City FC Australia Tasmania Championship |
1-2 | 1-3 | – | – | L |
| 29/05 | Taroona Australia Tasmania Championship |
2-1 | 2-2 | 1 | 4 | D |
| 23/05 | Hobart United Australia Tasmania Championship |
0-0 | 0-5 | – | – | L |
| 09/05 | University of Tasmania Australia Tasmania Championship |
1-0 | 2-1 | 3 | 3 | W |
| 01/05 | New Town Eagles Australia Tasmania Championship |
0-1 | 1-5 | – | – | L |
| 17/04 | Olympia FC Warriors Australia Tasmania Championship |
1-3 | 1-4 | 5 | 3 | L |
| 11/04 | Clarence Zebras Reserves Australia Tasmania Championship |
1-1 | 1-4 | 3 | 2 | L |
| 28/03 | South Hobart FC 2 Australia Tasmania Championship |
1-1 | 2-4 | – | – | L |
| 13/03 | Hobart City FC Australia Tasmania Championship |
0-1 | 2-2 | 2 | 5 | D |
Clarence Zebras Reserves
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27/06 | Hobart United Australia Tasmania Championship |
1-1 | 2-2 | 4 | 3 | D |
| 21/06 | University of Tasmania Australia Tasmania Championship |
0-2 | 1-4 | 9 | 4 | L |
| 13/06 | South Hobart FC 2 Australia Tasmania Championship |
1-2 | 1-3 | 4 | 3 | L |
| 23/05 | Olympia FC Warriors Australia Tasmania Championship |
0-0 | 0-2 | 1 | 5 | L |
| 10/05 | New Town Eagles Australia Tasmania Championship |
0-3 | 1-6 | 6 | 1 | L |
| 02/05 | Hobart City FC Australia Tasmania Championship |
1-0 | 3-1 | 1 | 1 | W |
| 18/04 | Taroona Australia Tasmania Championship |
1-1 | 1-3 | – | – | L |
| 11/04 | Glenorchy Knights Reserves Australia Tasmania Championship |
1-1 | 4-1 | 4 | 2 | W |
| 28/03 | Hobart United Australia Tasmania Championship |
3-0 | 5-1 | – | – | W |
| 14/03 | South Hobart FC 2 Australia Tasmania Championship |
1-3 | 5-4 | 1 | 4 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Glenorchy Knights Reserves vs Clarence Zebras Reserves?
According to our model, the most likely result is a Glenorchy Knights Reserves win (45%). Probabilities: Glenorchy Knights Reserves 45%, draw 21%, Clarence Zebras Reserves 35%.
How many goals are expected in Glenorchy Knights Reserves vs Clarence Zebras Reserves?
The model expects 4.5 goals (Glenorchy Knights Reserves 2.39 · Clarence Zebras Reserves 2.11), with a 53% chance of under 4.5 goals.
Will both teams score in Glenorchy Knights Reserves vs Clarence Zebras Reserves?
The model gives a 64% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 2-2.