Prediction: Glenorchy Knights FC vs Clarence Zebras FC

Expected goals: 3.38 (Glenorchy Knights FC 2 · Clarence Zebras FC 1.38). The model gives 52% home, 22% draw, 26% away. Under 3.5 goals (51%) and both teams to score (58%). Most likely score: 1-1.

Over its last 10 matches, Glenorchy Knights FC sits at 2-1-7 (W-D-L), while Clarence Zebras FC arrives on a 5-2-3 run. In the last 6 head-to-head meetings, Glenorchy Knights FC won 5 and Clarence Zebras FC 1.

52%1
52% 22% 26%
Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Glenorchy Knights FC 1460 · Clarence Zebras FC 1491
Glenorchy Knights FCDrawClarence Zebras FC
Our model51%24%25%
Market52%21%26%
Estimated total (ours) 3.38 goals · Bet365 line 3.5

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis
Expected goals3.38Glenorchy Knights FC 2 · Clarence Zebras FC 1.38
Over / Under 3.5Under 3.5 · 51%
BTTSYes · 58%
Most likely total3 goals
1st-half goalsUnder 1.5 · 54%model estimate

Match keys

  • H2H favours Glenorchy Knights FC: 5-0-1.
  • High corners: 13.3 combined avg.
  • Cards-heavy: 6.8 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

Glenorchy Knights FCClarence Zebras FC
Goals for / against (FT)1.2 / 21.7 / 1.3
Goals for / against (HT)0.5 / 0.80.8 / 0.7
Half-time result (W/D/L)10/50/40%30/40/30%
Corners (HT / FT)1.8 / 5.53.1 / 7.8
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)3.4 / 0.23.4 / 0.2

Head-to-head (H2H) · Glenorchy Knights FC 501 Clarence Zebras FC

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DateHomeScoreAway
11/04/26
Australia Tasmania Premier League
Clarence Zebras FC2-0
HT 0-0
Glenorchy Knights FC
03/09/25
Australia Tasmania Premier League
Clarence Zebras FC1-5
HT 1-1
Glenorchy Knights FC
23/05/25
Australia Tasmania Premier League
Glenorchy Knights FC3-0
HT 2-0
Clarence Zebras FC
14/03/25
Australia Tasmania Premier League
Glenorchy Knights FC4-1
HT 0-0
Clarence Zebras FC
31/08/24
Australia Tasmania Premier League
Clarence Zebras FC1-3
HT 1-1
Glenorchy Knights FC
05/07/24
Australia Tasmania Premier League
Glenorchy Knights FC5-2
HT 1-2
Clarence Zebras FC

Standings · Australia Tasmania Premier League

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#Team PWDL GFGAPts
1 South Hobart 131120 521135
2 Kingborough Lions 131012 401231
3 Devonport City 12912 361428
4 Launceston City 12804 322124
5 Riverside Olympic 12624 241720
6 Clarence Zebras FC 13625 212020
7 Glenorchy Knights FC 13319 162610
8 South East United FC 133010 14449
9 Launceston United 12129 13425
10 Ulverstone 130112 10511

Common opponents 8 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

OpponentGlenorchy Knights FCClarence Zebras FC
South Hobart 1-6 L 1-3 L
South East United FC 0-1 L 2-1 W
Riverside Olympic 1-1 D 4-0 W
Launceston City 1-2 L 0-2 L
Launceston United 4-0 W 1-1 D
Devonport City 1-2 L 2-2 D
Ulverstone 2-1 W 4-0 W
Kingborough Lions 1-3 L 0-4 L
Record vs common 2 W 1 D 5 L 3 W 2 D 3 L

Better against common opponents: Clarence Zebras FC (5 of 8 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Glenorchy Knights FC

LLLWLWLDLL

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Date Opponent HT FT Cor.Cards Res.
27/06 South Hobart
Australia Tasmania Premier League
0-2 1-6 42 L
20/06 South East United FC
Australia Tasmania Premier League
0-1 0-1 107 L
13/06 Riverside Olympic
Australia Tasmania Premier League
0-1 1-1 63 D
30/05 Launceston City
Australia Tasmania Premier League
0-0 1-2 64 L
23/05 Launceston United
Australia Tasmania Premier League
0-0 4-0 33 W
09/05 Devonport City
Australia Tasmania Premier League
1-1 1-2 23 L
02/05 Ulverstone
Australia Tasmania Premier League
2-0 2-1 161 W
18/04 Kingborough Lions
Australia Tasmania Premier League
1-2 1-3 43 L
11/04 Clarence Zebras FC
Australia Tasmania Premier League
0-0 0-2 28 L
27/03 South Hobart
Australia Tasmania Premier League
1-1 1-2 22 L

Clarence Zebras FC

WWLWWLWLDD

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Date Opponent HT FT Cor.Cards Res.
27/06 Launceston United
Australia Tasmania Premier League
0-0 1-1 112 D
20/06 Devonport City
Australia Tasmania Premier League
1-1 2-2 45 D
13/06 South Hobart
Australia Tasmania Premier League
0-1 1-3 53 L
31/05 South East United FC
Australia Tasmania Premier League
1-1 2-1 71 W
23/05 Kingborough Lions
Australia Tasmania Premier League
0-2 0-4 64 L
10/05 Ulverstone
Australia Tasmania Premier League
3-0 4-0 144 W
02/05 Riverside Olympic
Australia Tasmania Premier League
2-0 4-0 151 W
18/04 Launceston City
Australia Tasmania Premier League
0-2 0-2 34 L
11/04 Glenorchy Knights FC
Australia Tasmania Premier League
0-0 2-0 98 W
28/03 Launceston United
Australia Tasmania Premier League
1-0 1-0 44 W

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Glenorchy Knights FC vs Clarence Zebras FC?

According to our model, the most likely result is a Glenorchy Knights FC win (52%). Probabilities: Glenorchy Knights FC 52%, draw 22%, Clarence Zebras FC 26%.

How many goals are expected in Glenorchy Knights FC vs Clarence Zebras FC?

The model expects 3.38 goals (Glenorchy Knights FC 2 · Clarence Zebras FC 1.38), with a 51% chance of under 3.5 goals.

Will both teams score in Glenorchy Knights FC vs Clarence Zebras FC?

The model gives a 58% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.